Todays Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Rays vs Phillies Matchup Today

Junior Caminero’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Junior Caminero is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.

Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s game.

In the last 14 days, Junior Caminero’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.7-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today’s game.

J.T. Realmuto has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.7% seasonal rate to 16% over the last 14 days.

J.T. Realmuto has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 92.1-mph over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent.

Hunter Bigge will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Marsh today.

Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Over the last two weeks, Brandon Marsh’s 60.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.3%.

Dylan Carlson has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Cristopher Sanchez.

Dylan Carlson’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (20.8°) is significantly better than his 15° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dylan Carlson’s true offensive talent to be a .305, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .048 disparity between that mark and his actual .257 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage today.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Nick Castellanos’s 64.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.4%.

Ben Rortvedt has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Ranking in the 81st percentile, Ben Rortvedt has posted a .325 BABIP this year.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Junior Caminero ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in the game for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Bigge throws from, Bryson Stott encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as Major League Baseball’s 4th-best home run batter.

Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Hunter Bigge throws from, Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Kyle Schwarber will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The #6 stadium in the league for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Christopher Morel will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Christopher Morel has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 94.6-mph.

Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Jonny Deluca will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Jonny Deluca pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jonny Deluca’s launch angle recently (24.6° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 15.2° seasonal figure.

Despite posting a .267 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonny Deluca has had bad variance on his side given the .029 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.

Jose Caballero is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Jose Caballero will have an advantage in today’s game.

Jose Caballero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Jose Caballero’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (26.7° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 17° seasonal mark.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Compared to his seasonal average of 14.7°, Christopher Morel has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 21.5° mark over the last 14 days.

Johan Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Johan Rojas’s quickness has improved this year. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 30.11 ft/sec now.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Trea Turner has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 92.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Yandy Diaz will have an edge today.

Despite posting a .328 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yandy Diaz has experienced some negative variance given the .019 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .347.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

Hitting from the same side that Hunter Bigge throws from, Bryce Harper will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Cristopher Sanchez’s overall pitching talent is in the 94th percentile out of all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball currently.

Recording 17.7 outs per game per started this year on average, Cristopher Sanchez checks in at the 90th percentile.

The 3rd-worst projected lineup of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #25 venue in baseball for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Cristopher Sanchez.

Taylor Walls has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph to 93.8-mph in the past week.

Compared to his seasonal average of 18.2°, Taylor Walls has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.2° figure in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (7.8) provides evidence that Taylor Walls has had bad variance on his side this year with his 2.8 actual HR/600.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ben Rortvedt, Josh Lowe, Jose Caballero, Christopher Morel).

Considering that groundball batters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Cristopher Sanchez (55.6% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in the opposing team’s projected lineup.

Cristopher Sanchez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats across the board.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Marsh ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to plate discipline, Taylor Walls’s talent is quite strong, sporting a 1.87 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rays vs Phillies

The #1 venue in the game for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Citizens Bank Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 7th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today.

Extreme groundball hitters like Junior Caminero usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Junior Caminero today.

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

J.T. Realmuto will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Bigge today.

Brandon Marsh is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

The #1 venue in the majors for suppressing base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense profiles as the best among every team in action today.

Dylan Carlson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Dylan Carlson’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 92.4-mph average last year has fallen to 89.2-mph.

Batting from the opposite that Hunter Bigge throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 8th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Ben Rortvedt is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

Junior Caminero has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days.

When it comes to his home runs, Bryson Stott has experienced some positive variance this year. His 13.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 10.1.

In terms of his batting average, Kyle Schwarber has been very fortunate this year. His .249 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ben Rortvedt ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cristopher Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Ben Rortvedt today.

Christopher Morel has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Christopher Morel will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Christopher Morel has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 16.1% rate last year has fallen off to 11% this year.

Jonny Deluca is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jonny Deluca in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Caballero in today’s game.

Jose Caballero has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 5.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last two weeks.

Jose Caballero’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 83.8-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 81.7-mph over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 7th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Johan Rojas is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

Trea Turner will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Bigge in today’s matchup.

Johan Rojas will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Bigge in today’s game.

J.T. Realmuto’s launch angle this year (8.5°) is significantly worse than his 16.6° angle last year.

Extreme groundball hitters like Yandy Diaz are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.

Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Bryce Harper has struggled with his Barrel%; his 15.4% rate last season has lowered to 9.7% this season.

Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 93.7-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 87.9-mph over the last two weeks.

Bryce Harper’s launch angle lately (7.6° in the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 13.8° seasonal angle.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

Citizens Bank Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences in MLB.

Over his last 3 games started, Cristopher Sanchez has experienced a sizeable decrease in his fastball spin rate: from 2115 rpm over the whole season to 2063 rpm lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 18th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Ranking in the 23rd percentile, Bryson Stott has posted a .273 BABIP this year.

In the past 7 days, Nick Castellanos’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.

Nick Castellanos has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 94.6-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal figure of 90.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 8th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Taylor Walls is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.352) provides evidence that Kyle Schwarber has had positive variance on his side this year with his .366 actual wOBA.

In the last 14 days, Dylan Carlson’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 20.8°.

Yandy Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 91.9-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 84.2-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Taylor Walls will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Taylor Walls’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 18.1% to 14.8%.

In the last two weeks, Trea Turner’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (5.8°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.7°.

Trea Turner has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .348 figure is inflated compared to his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jonny Deluca has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) in the past week’s worth of games.

Brandon Marsh has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph dropping to 89.3-mph over the past 7 days.

Brandon Marsh’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 19.4% on the season to 8.3% in the last week’s worth of games.

Bryson Stott has put up a .188 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

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