Marlins vs Pirates match player stats Monday, September 9th 2024. Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates

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Marlins vs Pirates match player stats Monday, September 9th 2024. Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates

MIA @ PIT

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Todays Matchup Details

Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates

Todays Game is on Monday, September 9th
09/09/24 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Marlins vs Pirates Matchup Today

Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

PNC Park profiles as the #8 venue in the game for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

This contest is predicted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today’s matchup.

The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the worst out of every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.276) may lead us to conclude that Otto Lopez has had some very poor luck this year with his .253 actual batting average.

Jonah Bride is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.

Jonah Bride has posted a .331 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 79th percentile.

Connor Norby’s BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Connor Norby is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 7th-best park in the league for batting average.

Given the 0.81 disparity between Paul Skenes’s 2.13 ERA and his 2.94 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year and ought to perform worse the rest of the season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Valente Bellozo’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 7th percentile among all starters in MLB right now.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games, Due to his large reverse platoon split, Valente Bellozo will be at a disadvantage squaring off against 6 batters in the projected lineup who share his handedness in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes today.

Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

Ranking in the 91st percentile, Xavier Edwards has posted a .354 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

As it relates to plate discipline, Xavier Edwards’s skill is quite strong, putting up a 1.39 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 95th percentile.

Jonah Bride has displayed strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 91st percentile with a 1.63 K/BB rate.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (24.5% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 5th-most strikeout-heavy set of hitters of all teams on the slate.

Valente Bellozo’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (60.2% this year) ought to work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Kyle Stowers has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 95.3-mph over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Paul Skenes projects as the 8th-best pitcher in the game currently when assessing his strikeout ability, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tallying 95 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Paul Skenes places him the 89th percentile.

The Miami Marlins have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Norby, Kyle Stowers, David Hensley, Griffin Conine).

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Paul Skenes will hold that advantage in today’s game.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Otto Lopez has experienced some negative variance this year. His .282 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .301.

Negative Match Player Stats with Marlins vs Pirates

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 20th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Kyle Stowers has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

In the league, the 6th-highest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.

PNC Park has the 8th-most fair ground among all stadiums — generally bad for HRs.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Stowers in today’s matchup.

Otto Lopez is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Paul Skenes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Otto Lopez in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball batters like Otto Lopez usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Paul Skenes.

Paul Skenes will hold the platoon advantage over Jonah Bride in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Jonah Bride is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.3% rate (83rd percentile).

Extreme groundball hitters like Jonah Bride tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Paul Skenes.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jonah Bride today.

Jonah Bride has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.4-mph dropping to 82.7-mph over the last two weeks.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Connor Norby has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 11% of the time.

Hitting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Connor Norby will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Connor Norby today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Connor Norby’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.1% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Paul Skenes as the best SP in the game currently.

The weakest projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the Miami Marlins.

PNC Park has the 9th-deepest left field dimensions among all major league parks.

Considering that groundball pitchers have a big advantage over groundball batters, Paul Skenes and his 47.4% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong position today facing 4 opposing GB batters.

Valente Bellozo is an extreme flyball pitcher (40% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #21 HR venue in Major League Baseball in today’s game.

Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

In his previous start, Valente Bellozo was on point and allowed 0 ER.

Jesus Sanchez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Jesus Sanchez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Over the past week, Jesus Sanchez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.9% down to 0%.

Jesus Sanchez’s launch angle of late (3.8° in the past two weeks) is significantly lower than his 7.9° seasonal mark.

Jesus Sanchez has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 17th percentile with a 3.97 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 1st percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

PNC Park profiles as the #24 ballpark in MLB for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Paul Skenes, Xavier Edwards has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Typically, bats like Xavier Edwards who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Paul Skenes.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Valente Bellozo is projected to throw 81 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers today.

When estimating his home run skill, Jonah Bride ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Valente Bellozo in the 14th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the worst park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Xavier Edwards in today’s matchup.

Xavier Edwards’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 86.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 81.3-mph over the past week.

Kyle Stowers’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, going from 51.2% on the season to 20% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 9th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Otto Lopez in today’s game.

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