Rays vs Mariners match player stats Wednesday, August 28th 2024. Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners Series Game 3

Rays vs Mariners match player stats Wednesday, August 28th 2024. Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners Series Game 3

TB @ SEA

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, August 28th
28/08/24 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Rays vs Mariners Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today

In the league, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Leonardo Rivas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Tyler Alexander in today’s matchup.

Leonardo Rivas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.1% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Leonardo Rivas will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the last week, Leonardo Rivas’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.8% up to 11.1%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Over the last 14 days, Yandy Diaz has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 4.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 0.5°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Junior Caminero is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Junior Caminero’s maximum exit velocity (a good measure of recent form and raw power) has been 116.3-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in baseball.

Jonny Deluca has been unlucky this year, posting a .251 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .043 discrepancy.

Given Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Ben Rortvedt will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Ben Rortvedt has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Checking in at the 88th percentile of THE BAT X’s Spray Score this year, Ben Rortvedt demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields – an important talent for achieving a high batting average.

Ben Rortvedt has compiled a .345 BABIP this year, grading out in the 89th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Alexander throws from, Justin Turner will have an advantage in today’s game.

Justin Turner will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Justin Turner’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 46% on the season to 72.7% over the last week.

As it relates to plate discipline, Justin Turner’s ability is quite strong, sporting a 1.64 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 90th percentile.

Victor Robles is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

Victor Robles will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Alexander in today’s matchup.

Victor Robles pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Victor Robles will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When assessing his home run talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christopher Morel is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Christopher Morel has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 91.8-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Josh Lowe is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Given Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Josh Lowe will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

Josh Lowe has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Over the last two weeks, Taylor Walls has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 27.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 17.1°.

Taylor Walls has been unlucky this year, posting a .243 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .283 — a .040 disparity.

In terms of plate discipline, Taylor Walls’s talent is quite impressive, posting a 1.7 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 89th percentile.

Over the past two weeks, Victor Robles has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 25.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.8°.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 19th-best hitter in baseball.

Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Julio Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Alexander in today’s game.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Tyler Alexander.

Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Luis Castillo in the 84th percentile among all SPs in the game.

Compared to the average starter, Luis Castillo has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an extra 5.8 adjusted pitches each outing.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jose Siri, Christopher Morel, Josh Lowe).

Ryan Blakney projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in this game.

Projected catcher Cal Raleigh profiles as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When estimating his home run ability, Dylan Moore ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Alexander throws from, Dylan Moore will have an edge today.

Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Dylan Moore will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Jorge Polanco is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Haniger in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Batting from the opposite that Tyler Alexander throws from, Mitch Haniger will have the upper hand today.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Mitch Haniger will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Randy Arozarena will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Alexander today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage today.

Cal Raleigh has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season’s 89.6-mph average.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last two weeks, Dylan Moore’s 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.2%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.217) may lead us to conclude that Dylan Moore has suffered from bad luck this year with his .201 actual batting average.

Taylor Walls has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 0.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal lower than his 7.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 14th-best batter in the league as it relates to his batting average skill.

Yandy Diaz has hit one of the hardest balls in Major League Baseball in the last 7 days — 113.6-mph — which is a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power.

Over the past 7 days, Jorge Polanco’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.2%.

Justin Turner’s launch angle of late (23.9° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 17.1° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Over the past 14 days, Christopher Morel has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 24.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.5°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Luis Castillo in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent.

The 5th-weakest projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Tampa Bay Rays have been the 10th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future, Ranking in the 75th percentile, Josh Lowe has posted a .315 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leonardo Rivas in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Junior Caminero has been hot of late, cracking 2 HRs in the past week.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Mitch Haniger has been unlucky this year, notching a .281 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .031 difference.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rays vs Mariners Series Game 3

When estimating his home run ability, Leonardo Rivas ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Leonardo Rivas is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

T-Mobile Park ranks as the #30 field in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

T-Mobile Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.

This contest is expected to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Luis Castillo will hold the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.

Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Yandy Diaz’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (0.5°) is a significant dropoff from his 4.9° figure last year.

Given Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Junior Caminero will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Junior Caminero will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Junior Caminero’s speed has fallen off this season. His 28.97 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.37 ft/sec now.

Jonny Deluca is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Luis Castillo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonny Deluca today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jonny Deluca in today’s game.

Ben Rortvedt’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ben Rortvedt is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

This year, Ben Rortvedt has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 18% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

The #1 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 15th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Justin Turner is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average.

Typically, batters like Justin Turner who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Tyler Alexander.

The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of every team on the slate today.

Over the past two weeks, Victor Robles’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%.

Because of Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Christopher Morel will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Christopher Morel will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

This year, Josh Lowe has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 20% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Lowe today.

In the last two weeks, Victor Robles’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 92.7 mph to 89.3 mph.

Taylor Walls’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Taylor Walls is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Julio Rodriguez has notched a .169 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, grading out in the 13th percentile.

Julio Rodriguez has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 16th percentile with a 4.1 K/BB rate.

Extreme flyball bats like Cal Raleigh tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tyler Alexander.

Christopher Morel has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 11.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Luis Castillo’s 2159-rpm spin rate on his fastball this season is a substantial 128-rpm fall off from last season’s 2287-rpm rate.

Luis Castillo’s high utilization rate of his fastball (62.1% this year) is likely dampening his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Dylan Moore is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

Extreme groundball bats like Dylan Moore usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Tyler Alexander.

Dylan Moore has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last two weeks.

Typically, hitters like Jorge Polanco who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Tyler Alexander.

Jorge Polanco has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week.

Jorge Polanco’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (19.8°) is a considerable dropoff from his 23.2° angle last season.

Mitch Haniger is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Mitch Haniger’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 92.6 mph to 73.7 mph.

When assessing his home run talent, Justin Turner ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Randy Arozarena’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 0%.

Randy Arozarena’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 93.8-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 91.2-mph over the past 14 days.

Josh Lowe has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week.

Cal Raleigh’s BABIP talent is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Over the past 7 days, Julio Rodriguez’s 15.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.4%.

Mitch Haniger’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 18.4% to 14.4%.

Over the last 14 days, Mitch Haniger’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will bat from his worse side (0) today against Luis Castillo… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.

Justin Turner’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 89.5-mph EV last season has fallen to 86.6-mph.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Taylor Walls ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Taylor Walls today.

Over the last 7 days, Cal Raleigh’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.5% down to 0%.

In Major League Baseball, T-Mobile Park’s RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.

Luis Castillo conceded a colossal 5 earned runs in his last game started.

Jonny Deluca’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (2.8° in the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 13° seasonal angle.

Putting up a -1.6° launch angle in the last 14 days suggests that Junior Caminero has been finding it challenging to lift the ball lately, which is a key component of hitting for power.

Junior Caminero has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .328 rate is inflated compared to his .290 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

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