Phillies vs Nationals match player stats Friday, September 27th 2024. Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals

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Phillies vs Nationals match player stats Friday, September 27th 2024. Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals

PHI @ WSH

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Todays Matchup Details

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals

Todays Game is on Friday, September 27th
27/09/24 18:45:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Phillies vs Nationals Matchup Today

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Trey Lipscomb will hold the platoon advantage over Ranger Suarez in today’s game.

Trey Lipscomb has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Trey Lipscomb will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Trey Lipscomb has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .231 mark is deflated compared to his .259 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

Among all the teams in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Keibert Ruiz’s launch angle this year (20.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 15.1° mark last season.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Marsh ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today’s game… and moreover, Williams has a large platoon split.

Brandon Marsh has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.7% seasonal rate to 15.8% over the past 14 days.

Brandon Marsh has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.7-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.4-mph.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best hitter in MLB.

Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Considering Trevor Williams’s large platoon split, Bryce Harper will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

Bryce Harper has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.6% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

J.T. Realmuto has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

J.T. Realmuto has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.6% seasonal rate to 19.2% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 13th-best hitter in the game when estimating his batting average talent.

Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

Trea Turner’s launch angle of late (24.3° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 11.4° seasonal mark.

Nick Castellanos’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 15% to 19%.

Projected catcher J.T. Realmuto grades out as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ranger Suarez in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Checking in at the 86th percentile, Trea Turner has notched a .346 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

As it relates to his home runs, Austin Hays has had bad variance on his side this year. His 9.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 20.5.

Placing in the 81st percentile, Austin Hays has hit 39.1% of his balls in the air this year with a velocity of 100+ mph.

Posting a .321 BABIP this year, Austin Hays is positioned in the 80th percentile.

Juan Yepez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Juan Yepez will have an advantage today.

Juan Yepez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Despite posting a .265 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Keibert Ruiz has had bad variance on his side given the .024 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .289.

Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Jacob Young will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

Because of Trevor Williams’s large platoon split, Kyle Schwarber will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Kyle Schwarber pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.4% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Dylan Crews is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Dylan Crews will have an edge in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Over the last 14 days, J.T. Realmuto’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.4-mph over the course of the season to 96.5-mph lately.

Bryson Stott is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams today… and moreover, Williams has a large platoon split.

Bryson Stott’s launch angle this year (14.3°) is considerably better than his 9.9° figure last year.

Bryson Stott’s launch angle of late (21.3° in the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 14.3° seasonal mark.

Jose Tena’s BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Tena is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jose Tena will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

James Wood will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 19% on the season to 25% in the last 14 days.

Dylan Crews has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.7-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 95.2-mph.

Jose Tena has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.2-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 96-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as Major League Baseball’s 3rd-best home run batter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Nasim Nunez will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Nasim Nunez is remarkably quick, grading out in the 94th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.27 ft/sec this year.

Juan Yepez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 5.8% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

James Wood has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11% seasonal rate to 16.1% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Jacob Young has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 90.8-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 85.1-mph mark.

Negative Match Player Stats with Phillies vs Nationals

When assessing his home run skill, Trey Lipscomb ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trey Lipscomb is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Typically, batters like Trey Lipscomb who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ranger Suarez.

In notching a 3.600 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Trey Lipscomb finds himself in the 13th percentile for power.

Trey Lipscomb’s 0.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 13th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 1st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Ranger Suarez in today’s matchup.

Keibert Ruiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 89.9-mph mark last season has dropped to 87.4-mph.

In the past week, Keibert Ruiz’s 18.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.1%.

Keibert Ruiz has recorded a .257 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 3rd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Trey Lipscomb ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Trey Lipscomb ranks in just the 3rd percentile with a 0.6° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in MLB.

Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Brandon Marsh’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.1%.

Despite posting a .331 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brandon Marsh has been very fortunate given the .015 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Bryce Harper has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 29.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 22.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

Because of Trevor Williams’s large platoon split, J.T. Realmuto will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for J.T. Realmuto in today’s matchup.

J.T. Realmuto’s launch angle this season (9.4°) is quite a bit lower than his 16.6° angle last season.

J.T. Realmuto has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 15th percentile with a 4 K/BB rate.

Because of Trevor Williams’s large platoon split, Trea Turner will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Trea Turner’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 92.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 88-mph over the past two weeks.

This season, there has been a decline in Trea Turner’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.23 ft/sec last year to 29.54 ft/sec currently.

When it comes to his batting average, Trea Turner has been lucky this year. His .294 BA has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268.

Trevor Williams will have the handedness advantage against Nick Castellanos today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Williams’s large platoon split.

Nick Castellanos will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ranger Suarez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

The Washington Nationals projected batting order projects as the worst on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.

The Washington Nationals have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games, Given that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Ranger Suarez (50.6% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 7 GB hitters in the opposing club’s projected offense.

Washington Nationals batters collectively rank 30th- in baseball for power this year when judging by their 5.7% Barrel%.

Trea Turner has been cold lately, posting a 2.4% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) in the past 14 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.327) may lead us to conclude that Trea Turner has experienced some positive variance this year with his .345 actual wOBA.

Austin Hays is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Austin Hays has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 12% of the time.

Considering Trevor Williams’s large platoon split, Austin Hays will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Austin Hays today.

From last year to this one, Austin Hays’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 18% to 10.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Juan Yepez in the 20th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Juan Yepez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, going from 37% on the season to 20.8% over the last two weeks.

Juan Yepez has been lucky this year, compiling a .332 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .298 — a .034 deviation.

Keibert Ruiz’s launch angle of late (3.5° over the last week) is considerably worse than his 20.1° seasonal angle.

Keibert Ruiz has posted a .263 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 4th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Jacob Young is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

Typically, bats like Jacob Young who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Ranger Suarez.

In the last 14 days, Jacob Young’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (1.1°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 4.6°.

Jacob Young has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 3.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 0.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Schwarber in today’s matchup.

Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 17.5% to 14%.

Kyle Schwarber has been lucky this year, putting up a .367 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .355 — a .012 gap.

Typically, bats like Dylan Crews who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ranger Suarez.

Dylan Crews has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 6.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 14 days.

Dylan Crews’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, decreasing from 6.5% on the season to 2.8% over the last 14 days.

When it comes to his home run ability, Bryson Stott ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Bryson Stott’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 89.7-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 82.9-mph in the last week.

Bryson Stott has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 11.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is inflated compared to his 8.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Placing in the 14th percentile, Bryson Stott sits with a .171 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Ranger Suarez will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Tena in today’s game.

Typically, hitters like Jose Tena who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ranger Suarez.

Over the last two weeks, Jose Tena’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 2.8%.

Over the last 7 days, Jose Tena’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jose Tena’s true offensive talent to be a .288, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .023 difference between that figure and his actual .311 wOBA.

Hitting from the same side that Ranger Suarez throws from, James Wood has a tough challenge today.

Typically, bats like James Wood who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ranger Suarez.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 6.9°, James Wood’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly of late (1.2° in the past 14 days).

James Wood has been lucky this year, putting up a .343 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .020 disparity.

Nick Castellanos has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 20.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably higher than his 17.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Placing in the 19th percentile, Bryson Stott sits with a .270 BABIP this year.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Nasim Nunez ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nasim Nunez is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Typically, batters like Nasim Nunez who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ranger Suarez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nasim Nunez in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Bryce Harper has been lucky this year. His .380 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .361.

This year, Jacob Young’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 1st percentile at 85 mph.

Jacob Young has posted a .291 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 24th percentile.

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