Phillies vs Mets match player stats Thursday, September 19th 2024. Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets

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Phillies vs Mets match player stats Thursday, September 19th 2024. Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets

PHI @ NYM

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Todays Matchup Details

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets

Todays Game is on Thursday, September 19th
19/09/24 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Phillies vs Mets Matchup Today

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 5th-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Severino today.

Kyle Schwarber hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s shallowest CF fences today.

The New York Mets infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams playing today.

Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

In Major League Baseball, Citi Field’s centerfield fences are the shallowest.

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 15% to 18.7%.

The New York Mets have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Eddy Alvarez, Mark Vientos, J.D. Martinez).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 4th-best field in the game for strikeouts.

Taijuan Walker has relied on his four-seam fastball 5.1% less often this year (12.3%) than he did last year (17.4%).

Pete Alonso projects as the 12th-best home run hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best hitter in the game when assessing his BABIP ability.

Brandon Marsh will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Severino in today’s matchup.

Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Brandon Marsh has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 93.3-mph.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Trea Turner ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Grading out in the 86th percentile, Trea Turner has notched a .350 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

By putting up a .464 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Trea Turner grades out in the 82nd percentile.

When it comes to his home run talent, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and J.D. Martinez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Luis Severino has averaged 94.5 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 87th percentile.

The Philadelphia Phillies have been the 6th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse the rest of the season, According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as a good pitch framer.

The #1 field in the majors for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Francisco Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Francisco Alvarez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 93.6-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Over the past 14 days, Nick Castellanos’s 70% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 13th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his batting average ability.

Pete Alonso has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 13% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last week.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Alec Bohm is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alec Bohm is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

By putting up a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Alec Bohm has performed in the 81st percentile for offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Jesse Winker is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Jesse Winker will have an edge today.

Jesse Winker has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jesse Winker will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home run ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Severino in today’s game.

Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

There has been a significant improvement in Bryson Stott’s launch angle from last year’s 9.9° to 14.5° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

J.T. Realmuto has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the last 14 days.

J.T. Realmuto has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.2-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94.3-mph.

Johan Rojas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s shallowest CF fences today.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Johan Rojas’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.2-mph over the course of the season to 91.9-mph lately.

Kyle Schwarber has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 103.2-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 97.9-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Brandon Nimmo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker today.

Brandon Nimmo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Bryce Harper’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.3% up to 23.1%.

When it comes to his home run skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mark Vientos has big-time HR ability (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (29% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Taijuan Walker is a pitch-to-contact type (18th percentile K%) — great news for Vientos.

Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s shallowest CF fences today.

Mark Vientos will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jose Iglesias is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Iglesias will hold that advantage today.

Jose Iglesias has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.2-mph to 90.3-mph over the last two weeks.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Alec Bohm’s 90.5-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in the league this year: 75th percentile.

Jose Iglesias’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last 14 days, Mark Vientos’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.2-mph over the course of the season to 103.2-mph lately.

Mark Vientos has recorded a .356 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 88th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brandon Marsh ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Marsh ranks in the 88th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.8% rate this year).

Compared to his seasonal average of 7°, Francisco Alvarez has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24° figure in the past week’s worth of games.

Jose Iglesias’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 12.6% on the season to 21.9% in the last two weeks.

Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Bryson Stott has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24.3° figure over the last 7 days.

Posting a 1.79 K/BB rate this year, Bryson Stott has displayed favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 86th percentile.

Brandon Nimmo will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

J.D. Martinez has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 15.5% seasonal rate to 22.7% over the last two weeks.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

J.T. Realmuto’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 14.9% on the season to 26.3% over the last 14 days.

Negative Match Player Stats with Phillies vs Mets

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to LHB.

Citi Field’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Schwarber in today’s matchup.

Over the last 7 days, Kyle Schwarber’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.8% down to 0%.

Over the last 7 days, Kyle Schwarber’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.7%.

Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

In terms of his home runs, Bryce Harper has had some very good luck this year. His 29.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.7.

Citi Field profiles as the #21 stadium in baseball for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Luis Severino will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Castellanos in today’s matchup.

Nick Castellanos will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

In the last week, Nick Castellanos’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.6% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Taijuan Walker in the 6th percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Taijuan Walker to be on a pitch count in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 83 pitches.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Taijuan Walker today.

In his previous GS, Taijuan Walker wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to tally 0 Ks.

Taijuan Walker’s 90.4-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1.5-mph fall off from last year’s 91.9-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst venue in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to righties.

Hitting from the same side that Taijuan Walker throws from, Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

In the last two weeks, Pete Alonso’s 36% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.3%.

In terms of his home runs, Pete Alonso has experienced some positive variance this year. His 30.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 27.8.

Brandon Marsh is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Marsh in today’s game.

Brandon Marsh’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, falling from 46.8% on the season to 10% in the past week’s worth of games.

Batting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Trea Turner has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trea Turner in today’s matchup.

Trea Turner has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 6.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 7 days.

Taijuan Walker will hold the platoon advantage over J.D. Martinez today.

J.D. Martinez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 96.9-mph EV last year has fallen off to 94.6-mph.

The 4th-best projected batting order of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Luis Severino has relied on his non-fastballs 11% less often this season (40.1%) than he did last year (51.1%).

Among all starters, Luis Severino’s fastball spin rate of 2214 rpm grades out in the 23rd percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst stadium in the majors for RHB batting average.

Taijuan Walker will have the handedness advantage against Francisco Alvarez in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alec Bohm’s true offensive ability to be a .325, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .016 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .341 wOBA.

The #8 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Jesse Winker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.7% to 9.8%.

Despite posting a .342 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jesse Winker has been very fortunate given the .018 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .324.

Francisco Alvarez’s launch angle this season (7°) is quite a bit worse than his 12.3° angle last season.

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Bryson Stott’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 89.7-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 85.3-mph over the past 7 days.

The #1 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Bryce Harper has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .383 figure is a good deal higher than his .361 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, J.T. Realmuto meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Johan Rojas ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Johan Rojas is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Johan Rojas has been pinch hit for 23% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

In the past week’s worth of games, Jesse Winker’s 12.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 7th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Brandon Nimmo has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.6% seasonal rate has lowered to 3% in the last 14 days.

In the past two weeks, Brandon Nimmo’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 92.6 mph to 89.8 mph.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Brandon Nimmo’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4.2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.3°.

Mark Vientos is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the same side that Taijuan Walker throws from, Mark Vientos will have a disadvantage today.

Mark Vientos has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 14.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Hitting from the same side that Taijuan Walker throws from, Jose Iglesias will be at a disadvantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jose Iglesias’s true offensive talent to be a .294, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .063 gap between that figure and his actual .357 wOBA.

Brandon Marsh’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 18.8% on the season to 12% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 25th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Luis Severino will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats in all categories.

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