
SEA @ LAA






Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 1st
01/09/24 16:07:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Mariners vs Angels Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Angel Stadium as the 7th-best venue in the league for boosting offensive stats to lefties.
Angel Stadium has the shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°.
Batting from the opposite that Caden Dana throws from, Josh Rojas will have an advantage today.
Over the past 14 days, Josh Rojas’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.9-mph over the course of the season to 95.4-mph of late.
The Los Angeles Angels have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Mickey Moniak, Logan O’Hoppe, Jo Adell).
It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (John Bacon) calling pitches today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as an elite pitch framer.
Angel Stadium ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Bryce Miller will have the handedness advantage against 6 opposing hitters in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Zach Neto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 10th-best field in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Batting from the opposite that Caden Dana throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Angel Stadium projects as the #7 field in baseball for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Justin Turner’s 51.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.8%.
In terms of plate discipline, Justin Turner’s skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.64 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 90th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Anthony Rendon ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Anthony Rendon is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jorge Polanco is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 9th-best venue in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP.
Jorge Polanco’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 18.7% on the season to 29.2% over the last two weeks.
When assessing his home run ability, Jo Adell ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jo Adell will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Julio Rodriguez projects as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O’Hoppe in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Logan O’Hoppe is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.
Cal Raleigh projects as the 15th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Luke Raley is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage over Caden Dana in today’s game.
Angel Stadium grades out as the #9 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Nolan Schanuel is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Nolan Schanuel will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Drury will hold that advantage today.
Brandon Drury has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .159 mark is considerably lower than his .215 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Taylor Ward is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Zach Neto will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Angel Stadium ranks as the #10 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Jo Adell’s launch angle recently (55.3° in the last week’s worth of games) is significantly higher than his 14.8° seasonal figure.
As it relates to his batting average, Jo Adell has suffered from bad luck this year. His .209 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .236.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage today.
Anthony Rendon will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
In the last week, Randy Arozarena’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.5% up to 15.4%.
Brandon Drury has been unlucky this year, notching a .215 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .085 difference.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Compared to last season, Julio Rodriguez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.9% to 15.3% this season.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Josh Rojas’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (17°) is considerably better than his 10.5° figure last year.
J.P. Crawford has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last season’s 88.6-mph mark.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Logan O’Hoppe ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Logan O’Hoppe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
The Seattle Mariners have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luke Raley, Jorge Polanco, Cal Raleigh).
Given that groundball pitchers hold a big advantage over groundball batters, Caden Dana and his 39% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good spot in this outing squaring off against 3 opposing GB batters.
Caden Dana will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats across the board.
The Los Angeles Angels have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games, The #7 field in baseball for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.
Bryce Miller has averaged 17.4 outs per game per started this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile.
Mickey Moniak will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Cal Raleigh has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last season’s 89.6-mph mark.
Cal Raleigh’s launch angle lately (27.5° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably higher than his 20.9° seasonal angle.
Negative Match Player Stats with Mariners vs Angels Series Game 3
Josh Rojas is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.
Josh Rojas will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
When it comes to power, Josh Rojas has performed in the 17th percentile, having averaged 10.7 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Miller in today’s matchup.
Bryce Miller’s 2484-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a sizeable 107-rpm decline from last season’s 2591-rpm figure.
Given the 0.03 discrepancy between Bryce Miller’s 8.54 K/9 and his 8.58 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in MLB this year when it comes to strikeouts and should positively regress the rest of the season.
Bryce Miller will have the handedness advantage over Zach Neto in today’s matchup.
Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
In the past 7 days, Zach Neto’s 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.2%.
J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for J.P. Crawford today.
Placing in the 7th percentile, J.P. Crawford sits with a .244 BABIP this year.
When assessing his home run ability, Justin Turner ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Justin Turner has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
The 10th-deepest left field dimensions in the league are found in Angel Stadium.
Caden Dana will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Turner in today’s matchup.
Typically, batters like Justin Turner who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Caden Dana.
Caden Dana will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Arozarena in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Randy Arozarena in today’s matchup.
Randy Arozarena’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 93.7-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 91-mph in the past week.
Using Statcast metrics, Randy Arozarena is in the 15th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .221.
Batting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Anthony Rendon meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
Anthony Rendon’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 90.1-mph figure last season has fallen to 87.9-mph.
Over the past two weeks, Anthony Rendon’s 8.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16%.
Anthony Rendon has hit 0 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 0th percentile for power.
Typically, hitters like Jorge Polanco who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Caden Dana.
Jorge Polanco will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Jorge Polanco has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 82.9-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
Jorge Polanco’s launch angle this season (16.8°) is significantly lower than his 21.4° figure last year.
Jorge Polanco has put up a .224 batting average this year, checking in at the 19th percentile.
Jo Adell is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Bryce Miller will have the handedness advantage over Jo Adell in today’s matchup.
In the past week’s worth of games, Jo Adell’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.7% down to 0%.
Jo Adell’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 89.5-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 83.5-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
Caden Dana will hold the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez today.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Julio Rodriguez today.
Julio Rodriguez’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 90.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 87.8-mph over the last two weeks.
Julio Rodriguez has notched a .184 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, placing in the 19th percentile.
Hitting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Logan O’Hoppe has a tough challenge today.
Logan O’Hoppe pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 79th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
From last year to this one, Logan O’Hoppe’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 20% to 17%.
As it relates to plate discipline, Logan O’Hoppe’s ability is quite poor, sporting a 4.69 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 10th percentile.
Typically, bats like Cal Raleigh who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Caden Dana.
Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Cal Raleigh’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 91.6-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 83.1-mph over the last 7 days.
Sporting a .245 BABIP this year, Cal Raleigh grades out in the 8th percentile.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luke Raley in today’s game.
Using Statcast metrics, Luke Raley ranks in the 19th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .226.
Luke Raley has shown bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 9th percentile with a 4.78 K/BB rate.
Justin Turner will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
When estimating his home run talent, Nolan Schanuel ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nolan Schanuel has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.2-mph dropping to 75.4-mph over the past week.
Nolan Schanuel’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 16.7% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.
When it comes to his home runs, Nolan Schanuel has experienced some positive variance this year. His 13.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 10.2.
This year, the hardest ball Nolan Schanuel has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 103.9 mph (an advanced stat to evaluate power), ranking in the 0th percentile.
Brandon Drury is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Bryce Miller will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Drury in today’s game.
Brandon Drury has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 11.1% rate last year has fallen off to 3.7% this season.
There has been a significant decline in Brandon Drury’s launch angle from last year’s 11.8° to 3.4° this year.
Hitting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Taylor Ward will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
In the past 7 days, Zach Neto’s 18.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.4%.
Luke Raley has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 25.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly inflated relative to his 22.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.
When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Mickey Moniak has been pinch hit for 21% of the time.
Mickey Moniak’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 89.6-mph seasonal average has decreased to 85.6-mph over the past two weeks.
From last year to this one, Mickey Moniak’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 21% to 12%.
Mickey Moniak’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 12% on the season to 0% in the past 14 days.
Posting a 3.81 K/BB rate this year, Julio Rodriguez has shown weak plate discipline, placing in the 20th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bryce Miller in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 14.2°, Josh Rojas has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.9°) over the past two weeks.
Grading out in the 22nd percentile, J.P. Crawford has put up a .359 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 7th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
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