
LAD @ ARI





Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 1st
01/09/24 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Dodgers vs D-Backs Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.
Chase Field profiles as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to better offense.
Josh Bell will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have an advantage today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.
Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Based on Statcast metrics, Mookie Betts is in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .288.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Randal Grichuk will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Wrobleski today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 6th-best hitter in the game when estimating his batting average ability.
Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Given Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Freddie Freeman will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.
Because of Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Max Muncy will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.
Over the last 14 days, Max Muncy has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12% to 20%.
There has been a significant improvement in Max Muncy’s launch angle from last season’s 21.8° to 27° this year.
Kevin Newman will have the handedness advantage over Justin Wrobleski today.
Kevin Newman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Ranking in the 80th percentile, Kevin Newman sports a .269 batting average this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for BABIP.
Justin Wrobleski will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Justin Wrobleski’s fastball velocity over his last 3 GS (93.5 mph) has been a considerable dropoff from than his seasonal rate (94.5 mph).
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Justin Wrobleski has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 65.3% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Justin Wrobleski.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 9th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.
Over the last 14 days, Teoscar Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.1-mph over the course of the season to 106.2-mph of late.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.
Jake McCarthy will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Jake McCarthy has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 89.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 87.3-mph.
Jake McCarthy’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (14.9°) is a considerable increase over his 11.1° mark last season.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Corbin Carroll will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Corbin Carroll has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 88.9-mph figure.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Brandon Pfaadt’s overall pitching talent is in the 80th percentile out of all starting pitchers in baseball right now.
Brandon Pfaadt will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his metrics in all categories.
Among all starters, Brandon Pfaadt’s fastball spin rate of 2557 rpm ranks in the 97th percentile this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Batting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Max Muncy projects as the 18th-best home run batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Max Muncy has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.6-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 90.3-mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Posting a .346 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Teoscar Hernandez has performed in the 85th percentile for offensive skills.
Eugenio Suarez has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.8% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the past 7 days.
Geraldo Perdomo has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.3-mph average to last season’s 87.1-mph EV.
In his last outing, Brandon Pfaadt conceded a staggering 6 earned runs.
Freddie Freeman projects as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Freddie Freeman has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 92-mph in the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Considering Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Gavin Lux will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.
Over the last two weeks, Gavin Lux’s 64% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.3%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in MLB.
Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Shohei Ohtani will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today’s matchup… and the cherry on top, Pfaadt has a large platoon split.
Corbin Carroll has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.2% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the past two weeks.
Randal Grichuk will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Brandon Pfaadt in the 78th percentile among all SPs in baseball.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Gavin Lux’s 16% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.7%.
Shohei Ohtani has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 95.1-mph mark.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Grading out in the 96th percentile, Mookie Betts has notched a .382 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
As it relates to plate discipline, Mookie Betts’s ability is quite good, putting up a 0.86 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 100th percentile.
Negative Match Player Stats with Dodgers vs D-Backs Series Game 3
Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-driest conditions on the slate at 29%.
In today’s matchup, Josh Bell is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.2% rate (90th percentile).
Over the last 14 days, Josh Bell’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.6% down to 0%.
Josh Bell’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 88.3-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 81.3-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Josh Bell’s launch angle recently (1.1° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 11° seasonal figure.
In MLB, Chase Field’s CF fences are the 3rd-deepest.
Over the last week, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 91.8-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 83.7-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
With a 3.7 K/BB rate this year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has displayed weak plate discipline, ranking in the 23rd percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mookie Betts in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Pfaadt’s large platoon split.
Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Mookie Betts has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 12.5% rate last year has fallen to 5.7% this season.
The standard deviation of Randal Grichuk’s launch angle this year (31.1°) is in the 7th percentile. A high mark like this tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play.
Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Over the last 14 days, Freddie Freeman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%.
Freddie Freeman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 20.1% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 5th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Max Muncy is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Max Muncy pulls many of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Max Muncy in today’s matchup.
When assessing his home run skill, Kevin Newman ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kevin Newman is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
Kevin Newman has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.
Kevin Newman’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 85.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 82.8-mph over the past 14 days.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Arizona Diamondbacks today holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .310, which is a fair amount lower than their actual wOBA of .332 this year.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward, Among all SPs, Justin Wrobleski’s fastball velocity of 94.5 mph grades out in the 80th percentile this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 13th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Geraldo Perdomo has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph dropping to 82.2-mph over the last 7 days.
Over the past week, Geraldo Perdomo’s 18.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.5%.
Given Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Teoscar Hernandez will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.
Teoscar Hernandez has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.
Teoscar Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Teoscar Hernandez’s launch angle recently (6° over the past 14 days) is significantly lower than his 9.5° seasonal angle.
The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
Justin Wrobleski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake McCarthy today.
Over the past 7 days, Jake McCarthy’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.8%.
Despite posting a .354 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake McCarthy has experienced some positive variance given the .047 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 11th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Chase Field ranks as the #29 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Corbin Carroll has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.
Hitting from the same side that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Corbin Carroll will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 40.3% to 33.6%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Pfaadt to throw 84 pitches in today’s game (12th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The best projected lineup of the day in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.
It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Los Angeles Dodgers offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.
Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
Eugenio Suarez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 85.5-mph in the last week.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Kevin Newman ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Wrobleski to throw 78 pitches in today’s game (7th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The Arizona Diamondbacks (20.4 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the least strikeout-heavy team of batters on the slate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 15th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Gavin Lux is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.
When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Gavin Lux has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 12% of the time.
In today’s matchup, Gavin Lux is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.6% rate (97th percentile).
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gavin Lux in today’s game.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) may lead us to conclude that Randal Grichuk has experienced some positive variance this year with his .266 actual batting average.
Shohei Ohtani will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Brandon Pfaadt’s sinker percentage has spiked by 12.3% from last year to this one (9.9% to 22.2%) .
Max Muncy’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, going from 37.6% on the season to 25% in the last week.
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