Giants vs Brewers match player stats Thursday, August 29th 2024. San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers Series Game 3

Giants vs Brewers match player stats Thursday, August 29th 2024. San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers Series Game 3

SF @ MIL

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Thursday, August 29th
29/08/24 14:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Giants vs Brewers Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Grant McCray’s BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 9th-best venue in MLB for lefty home runs.

American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height among all parks.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Grant McCray will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home run skill, Jake Bauers ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Bauers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field.

Brice Turang will hold the platoon advantage over Hayden Birdsong in today’s matchup.

Jackson Chourio’s BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Chourio has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

The #9 venue in the league for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Tyler Fitzgerald has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Matt Chapman projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

Curt Casali has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 89.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 87.3-mph.

Curt Casali’s launch angle lately (23° in the past week) is quite a bit better than his 19.4° seasonal figure.

Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jackson Chourio will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

When estimating his home run ability, Tyler Fitzgerald ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Michael Conforto ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Conforto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Joey Ortiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Willy Adames is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Willy Adames will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Heliot Ramos’s BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Heliot Ramos is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

As it relates to his home run talent, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rhys Hoskins will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Grant McCray hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Grant McCray has been hot in recent games, putting up a a 21.1% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) over the last two weeks.

Batting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Grading out in the 77th percentile, Mike Yastrzemski sits with a .292 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Blake Perkins will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ranking in the 92nd percentile, Blake Perkins sits with a .339 BABIP this year.

When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Hayden Birdsong in the 86th percentile among all SPs in the game.

The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Among all SPs, Hayden Birdsong’s fastball velocity of 95.2 mph ranks in the 89th percentile this year.

Hayden Birdsong has posted a 12.4% Swinging Strike% this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.

Grading out in the 88th percentile, Hayden Birdsong has notched a 26.3% strikeout rate this year.

Heliot Ramos has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 16.5% seasonal rate to 22.6% over the past 14 days.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Heliot Ramos’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.2-mph over the course of the season to 101.3-mph of late.

The San Francisco Giants have been the 10th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in the future, Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Aaron Civale will hold that advantage today.

Aaron Civale’s 2393-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 81st percentile among all starters.

Aaron Civale has been unlucky this year, notching a 4.84 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.50 — a 0.34 discrepancy.

Hitting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Sal Frelick will have an advantage in today’s game.

Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Hayden Birdsong has been one of the luckiest mound aces in Major League Baseball on balls in play this year with a .263 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Michael Conforto will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Civale in today’s game.

The San Francisco Giants have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler Fitzgerald, Heliot Ramos, Matt Chapman, Grant McCray).

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Brice Turang will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Sal Frelick’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Sal Frelick will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Perkins in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Joey Ortiz has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.3% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the past 7 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.264) may lead us to conclude that Joey Ortiz has had bad variance on his side this year with his .245 actual batting average.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

In notching a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Matt Chapman is positioned in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability.

Rhys Hoskins has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.3% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last week.

Curt Casali has been unlucky this year, putting up a .240 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .280 — a .040 discrepancy.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and William Contreras will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

William Contreras has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last year’s 94.7-mph average.

Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage over Hayden Birdsong in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Jake Bauers’s launch angle this year (22.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 13.6° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an advantage in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Tyler Fitzgerald’s 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.5%.

Negative Match Player Stats with Giants vs Brewers Series Game 3

Grant McCray is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the strongest among every team today.

Grant McCray will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Jake Bauers pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

Jake Bauers has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 18.7% rate last year has dropped to 11.6% this season.

Jake Bauers’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 96.5-mph average last season has lowered to 94.5-mph.

Sporting a .211 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Jake Bauers grades out in the 7th percentile.

When estimating his home run ability, Brice Turang ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brice Turang’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (3.9°) is quite a bit lower than his 10.2° figure last year.

Over the past week, Brice Turang’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46%.

Brice Turang has hit 7.8 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 9th percentile for power.

Batting from the same side that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Jackson Chourio will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Jackson Chourio has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 20.5 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal higher than his 14.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jackson Chourio ranks in just the 9th percentile with a 7.1° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in baseball.

Batting from the same side that Aaron Civale throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tyler Fitzgerald today.

Tyler Fitzgerald has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 7 days.

Tyler Fitzgerald’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 91-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 83.3-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Aaron Civale will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Chapman in today’s game.

Matt Chapman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Over the past 7 days, Matt Chapman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.7% down to 0%.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 16.2°, Matt Chapman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-12.5°) in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curt Casali in the 7th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Curt Casali is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

This year, Curt Casali has been pinch hit for in 24% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Aaron Civale will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Curt Casali in today’s game.

Hayden Birdsong will hold the platoon advantage over William Contreras in today’s game.

William Contreras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, William Contreras’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 96.7 mph to 80.9 mph.

In the last 7 days, William Contreras’s 5.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9.5%.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, William Contreras has been very fortunate this year. His .352 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .335.

Tyler Fitzgerald’s launch angle lately (13° over the past week) is a significant dropoff from his 18.7° seasonal figure.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Conforto today.

Joey Ortiz is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Joey Ortiz faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Joey Ortiz has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Joey Ortiz’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 41.3% on the season to 31.3% in the last week.

Sporting a .227 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Michael Conforto finds himself in the 20th percentile.

Michael Conforto has posted a .232 batting average this year, placing in the 25th percentile.

Hayden Birdsong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Willy Adames in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Willy Adames’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.3% down to 0%.

Willy Adames has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph dropping to 86.1-mph over the past 14 days.

In the past week’s worth of games, Willy Adames’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19%.

Aaron Civale will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Heliot Ramos today.

Heliot Ramos has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Heliot Ramos in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Heliot Ramos’s true offensive talent to be a .320, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .038 gap between that mark and his actual .358 wOBA.

Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

Hayden Birdsong will have the handedness advantage over Rhys Hoskins in today’s matchup.

Rhys Hoskins’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 93.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 77.4-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

In the past 14 days, Rhys Hoskins’s 4.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 16th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

22% of the time that Mike Yastrzemski has started against a northpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Perkins in the 25th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Blake Perkins is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

The switch-hitting Blake Perkins will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Hayden Birdsong, Blake Perkins’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 90-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 83.2-mph over the past week.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Hayden Birdsong is projected to throw 83 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers today.

Hayden Birdsong will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Hayden Birdsong has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting a 10.72 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.65 — a 1.07 K/9 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for walks.

Aaron Civale has used his cut-fastball 6% less often this season (31.4%) than he did last season (37.4%).

Aaron Civale has posted a 4.91 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that concentrates on the things a pitcher can most influence) this year, ranking in the 16th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 4th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Sal Frelick is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Sal Frelick has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 83.1-mph dropping to 77.6-mph in the past two weeks.

Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 85.5-mph figure last year has dropped off to 83.2-mph.

The Milwaukee Brewers have been the luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future, In his previous game started, Hayden Birdsong performed well and conceded 0 ER.

With a 0.22 gap between Aaron Civale’s 8.42 K/9 and his 8.20 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to see worse results in the future.

Aaron Civale has posted an 8.9% Swinging Strike percentage this year, grading out in the 20th percentile.

Sal Frelick has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .299 mark is a fair amount higher than his .281 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

This year, LaMonte Wade Jr. has been pinch hit for in 21% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

LaMonte Wade Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Blake Perkins’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 12.7% on the season to 0% over the past week.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Grant McCray ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 7th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Curt Casali ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Curt Casali in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 14th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mike Yastrzemski in today’s game.

Mike Yastrzemski has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 9.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 3.8% over the past 14 days.

From last year to this one, LaMonte Wade Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.8% to 13.7%.

LaMonte Wade Jr. has been lucky this year, putting up a .355 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .024 difference.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 10.7°, Joey Ortiz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.4°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Despite posting a .326 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Joey Ortiz has had positive variance on his side given the .016 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

Brice Turang has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 8.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly inflated relative to his 4.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Matt Chapman’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (8.7°) is quite a bit lower than his 13.3° figure last season.

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