
LAA @ DET





Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Thursday, August 29th
29/08/24 13:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Angels vs Tigers Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today
Comerica Park projects as the #8 park in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.
Dillon Dingler will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
In the last 14 days, Dillon Dingler’s 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 26.7%.
As it relates to his home run talent, Jo Adell ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jo Adell will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal in today’s matchup.
The Detroit Tigers outfield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams in action today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Jack Kochanowicz’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 21st percentile out of all starters in the game currently.
The Detroit Tigers have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future, The #9 ballpark in MLB for boosting walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.
The Detroit Tigers have 6 hitters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Kochanowicz in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability.
Riley Greene is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Comerica Park as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB batting average.
Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Matt Vierling is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Matt Vierling will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Matt Vierling has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph average.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Taylor Ward is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Taylor Ward will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Taylor Ward has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Colt Keith is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O’Hoppe in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Logan O’Hoppe is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Logan O’Hoppe will have an edge in today’s matchup.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Anthony Rendon ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Anthony Rendon will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal today.
Jo Adell has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 93.4-mph over the past week.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jo Adell has had some very poor luck this year. His .295 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .324.
Nolan Schanuel is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Nolan Schanuel’s launch angle lately (24.3° in the last week’s worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 9.4° seasonal angle.
Nolan Schanuel has shown strong plate discipline this year, grading out in the 95th percentile with a 1.35 K/BB rate.
When estimating his home run ability, Logan O’Hoppe ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Zach Neto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Zach Neto will have an edge in today’s game.
Nolan Schanuel’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 47.1% on the season to 62.5% in the past week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Batters such as Spencer Torkelson with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jack Kochanowicz who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Jace Jung is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.
Jace Jung will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Kochanowicz in today’s game.
Jace Jung will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Spencer Torkelson will hold that advantage today.
The Detroit Tigers have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jace Jung, Spencer Torkelson, Dillon Dingler, Trey Sweeney).
Hitting from the opposite that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Riley Greene will have an advantage in today’s game.
Jace Jung has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, angling balls between 23° and 34° 27.3% of the time over the past 7 days.
Over the past 7 days, Anthony Rendon’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.8-mph over the course of the season to 93.8-mph of late.
Despite posting a .270 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Rendon has had some very poor luck given the .053 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Colt Keith will have the handedness advantage against Jack Kochanowicz today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Colt Keith will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Riley Greene ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Kerry Carpenter will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Negative Match Player Stats with Angels vs Tigers Series Game 3
Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.
Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield fences in the majors.
This game is expected to have the 9th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Jack Kochanowicz will have the handedness advantage over Dillon Dingler today.
In the past 14 days, Dillon Dingler’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%.
Jo Adell is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
Jo Adell will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Jo Adell’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.5%.
The 5th-worst projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Detroit Tigers.
Out of all SPs, Jack Kochanowicz’s fastball velocity of 95.1 mph grades out in the 86th percentile this year.
Jack Kochanowicz has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in the game on balls in play this year with a .328 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.
Today, Riley Greene is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35% rate (83rd percentile).
Extreme flyball bats like Riley Greene tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Kochanowicz.
Riley Greene has been lucky this year, notching a .358 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .342 — a .016 gap.
Hitting from the same side that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Matt Vierling will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
Matt Vierling’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 14% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.
As it relates to plate discipline, Matt Vierling’s skill is quite weak, posting a 3.57 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 24th percentile.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Taylor Ward in today’s game.
This year, Kerry Carpenter has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 28% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kerry Carpenter’s true offensive skill to be a .330, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .049 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .379 wOBA.
Colt Keith has been pinch hit for 16% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.
In today’s game, Colt Keith is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.8% rate (89th percentile).
Colt Keith’s launch angle lately (1.3° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is a significant dropoff from his 11.1° seasonal figure.
Logan O’Hoppe hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Logan O’Hoppe will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Over the past week, Logan O’Hoppe’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.6% down to 0%.
As it relates to plate discipline, Logan O’Hoppe’s ability is quite bad, putting up a 4.4 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 12th percentile.
Anthony Rendon has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Anthony Rendon in today’s game.
Anthony Rendon’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (9.5°) is significantly worse than his 12.7° mark last year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Tarik Skubal will have the handedness advantage against Nolan Schanuel in today’s game.
Nolan Schanuel will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Today, Zach Neto is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34% rate (81st percentile).
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Zach Neto in today’s game.
Zach Neto has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 81.1-mph in the last week.
Zach Neto’s launch angle of late (6.8° in the last 14 days) is considerably lower than his 12.1° seasonal angle.
Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.
Batting from the same side that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Spencer Torkelson will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 5th-deepest LF fences today.
Spencer Torkelson’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 94.1-mph figure last year has dropped to 89.2-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jace Jung in the 17th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
The standard deviation of Jace Jung’s launch angle has been very inconsistent recently (24.1° in the past 14 days), which is a proxy for poor bat control and not seeing the ball well.
Jace Jung is notably slow, grading out in the 15th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.76 ft/sec this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jack Kochanowicz in the 1st percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jack Kochanowicz to throw 84 pitches in this outing (15th-most on the slate), taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The #3 venue in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.
With a .288 wOBA in the last 14 days, Jace Jung has been struggling at the plate.
Colt Keith’s 89.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to measure power) ranks in the 14th percentile this year.
Nolan Schanuel’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 88.7-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 81.8-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
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