BAL @ COL





Orioles @ Rockies Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 1st
Time : 01/09/26 20:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Baltimore Orioles Series Game 2 Game Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
,Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
,Hitting from the opposite that Gabriel Hughes throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge in today’s game.
,Colton Cowser has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph to 98.2-mph over the past week.
,The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Ezequiel Tovar has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 87.5-mph average.
,Compared to his seasonal average of 17.7°, Ezequiel Tovar has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 25.6° figure in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
,Coors Field profiles as the #5 park in the league for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Leody Taveras will get to bat from his good side against Gabriel Hughes today.
,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
,The #1 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Hunter Goodman projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.
,Batting from the opposite that Gabriel Hughes throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
,Connor Norby will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
,In the last week’s worth of games, Connor Norby’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.3% up to 14.3%.
,The #5 stadium in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
,Connor Norby has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 92-mph.
,Batting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Zac Veen will have an advantage in today’s game.
,Zac Veen will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
,Zac Veen has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 17.2° figure is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (84th percentile).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
,Jackson Holliday has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (68% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
,Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage over Gabriel Hughes today.
,Jake McCarthy is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Batting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an advantage today.
,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Willi Castro is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
,As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will get to bat from his strong side against Kyle Bradish today.
,Willi Castro will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Basallo in the 85th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
,Samuel Basallo will hold the platoon advantage over Gabriel Hughes today.
,Samuel Basallo has paced 27.9 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile for power.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
,Pete Alonso projects as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
,Pete Alonso has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 14.1% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week’s worth of games.
,T.J. Rumfield is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Batting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, T.J. Rumfield will have the upper hand today.
,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and T.J. Rumfield will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Beavers in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
,Dylan Beavers is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
,Hitting from the opposite that Gabriel Hughes throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an advantage in today’s game.
,When it comes to his home run talent, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Batting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
,Mickey Moniak will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
,When it comes to his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (71% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
,Coby Mayo has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.9% seasonal rate to 22.7% over the past 14 days.
,Cole Carrigg is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
,Cole Carrigg will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
,Cole Carrigg has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.3% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week.
,The Baltimore Orioles (25.3% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the most strikeout-heavy group of hitters on the slate today.
,Gabriel Hughes will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats in all categories.
,Gabriel Hughes was firing on all cylinders in his last outing and compiled 7 strikeouts.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in the league for batting average.
,Gabriel Hughes’s high usage rate of his fastball (62.3% this year) is likely hurting his results, consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kyle Bradish in the 76th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.
,Kyle Bradish has averaged 94.3 adjusted pitches per start this year, placing in the 89th percentile.
,The Colorado Rockies (24.8% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 2nd-most strikeout-heavy team of hitters on the slate.
,Kyle Bradish’s 2400-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 78th percentile out of all starters.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Kyle Bradish’s overall pitching talent is in the 85th percentile among all SPs in the league currently.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Colorado Rockies in today’s game holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .301, which is a good deal worse than their actual wOBA of .322 this year.
,Kyle Bradish was on point in his previous outing and gave up 2 ER.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
,Mickey Moniak’s launch angle this year (22.2°) is quite a bit better than his 17.4° mark last year.
Negatives with the Colorado Rockies Series Game 2 Game Today
Colton Cowser is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.
,Colton Cowser has been pinch hit for 27% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.
,Colton Cowser will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
,Colton Cowser has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days.
,Utilizing Statcast data, Colton Cowser is in the 17th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .290.
,Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
,Kyle Bradish will hold the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today’s game.
,Ezequiel Tovar’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 89.5-mph average last season has dropped off to 87.5-mph.
,Ezequiel Tovar has notched a .244 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 1st percentile.
,Sporting a .196 batting average this year, Ezequiel Tovar grades out in the 3rd percentile.
,Colton Cowser’s launch angle in recent games (4.7° over the last week) is considerably lower than his 13.8° seasonal angle.
,Leody Taveras is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Leody Taveras in today’s matchup.
,Over the past 14 days, Leody Taveras’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 90.2 mph to 85 mph.
,Leody Taveras’s launch angle this season (15.8°) is a significant dropoff from his 22.2° figure last season.
,In the past week’s worth of games, Leody Taveras’s 16.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.5%.
,Kyle Bradish will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Goodman today.
,Hunter Goodman’s launch angle recently (13.8° in the last week’s worth of games) is considerably lower than his 18.3° seasonal mark.
,Despite posting a .364 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Hunter Goodman has been lucky given the .046 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.
,Based on Statcast data, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .217.
,As it relates to plate discipline, Hunter Goodman’s talent is quite weak, sporting a 4.1 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 8th percentile.
,Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
,Gunnar Henderson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 14 days.
,Gunnar Henderson’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 93.1-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 83.5-mph over the last 14 days.
,Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.3°, Gunnar Henderson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.5°) over the past two weeks.
,Connor Norby is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.
,Batting from the same side that Kyle Bradish throws from, Connor Norby meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
,Connor Norby has notched a .225 batting average this year, grading out in the 21st percentile.
,Connor Norby’s launch angle lately (10.4° in the past week’s worth of games) is quite a bit worse than his 17.9° seasonal angle.
,Zac Veen is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.
,By putting up a .199 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Zac Veen is ranked in the 5th percentile for offensive ability.
,Zac Veen has posted a .148 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Jackson Holliday has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 10% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.
,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Holliday today.
,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Jackson Holliday’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.
,Jackson Holliday’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 86.9-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 84.2-mph over the last week.
,Placing in the 18th percentile, Jackson Holliday sports a .292 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 10th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
,Jake McCarthy’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 90.9-mph figure last season has lowered to 88.8-mph.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake McCarthy’s true offensive skill to be a .297, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .047 deviation between that figure and his actual .344 wOBA.
,Posting a 9.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jake McCarthy finds himself in the 25th percentile for power.
,Jake McCarthy has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 15th percentile with a 3.59 K/BB rate.
,Willi Castro has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph dropping to 81.2-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
,Willi Castro has been lucky this year, compiling a .331 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .024 gap.
,Sporting a 3.22 K/BB rate this year, Willi Castro has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 23rd percentile.
,Samuel Basallo has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.
,Samuel Basallo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
,Samuel Basallo has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 12.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week.
,Samuel Basallo has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph dropping to 77.5-mph over the past 7 days.
,Samuel Basallo’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, decreasing from 42.7% on the season to 16.7% over the last 7 days.
,Gunnar Henderson’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, going from 45.4% on the season to 27.3% over the last week.
,Ranking in the 13th percentile, Gunnar Henderson sports a .257 BABIP this year.
,Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.7°, Jackson Holliday has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5°) in the past 14 days.
,Gabriel Hughes will hold the platoon advantage over Pete Alonso today.
,Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
,Over the past week, Pete Alonso’s 10% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.4%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Rumfield in the 14th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
,Over the last 14 days, T.J. Rumfield’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 88.2 mph to 85.5 mph.
,Over the past week, T.J. Rumfield has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power).
,Despite posting a .361 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes T.J. Rumfield has had positive variance on his side given the .066 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.
,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Dylan Beavers has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 24% of the time.
,Dylan Beavers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
,Placing in the 24th percentile for power, Dylan Beavers has averaged 12.4 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.
,Mickey Moniak is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
,Mickey Moniak’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 92.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 82.7-mph over the past week.
,Mickey Moniak’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 16.4% on the season to 0% over the last 14 days.
,Despite posting a .339 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mickey Moniak has experienced some positive variance given the .030 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.
,Mickey Moniak has displayed weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 4th percentile with a 5.13 K/BB rate.
,Batting from the same side that Gabriel Hughes throws from, Coby Mayo faces a tough challenge in today’s game.
,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Coby Mayo in today’s matchup.
,Coby Mayo has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 5th percentile with a 4.61 K/BB rate.
,Based on Statcast metrics, Zac Veen ranks in the 23rd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 8.300.
,Cole Carrigg has been lucky this year, posting a .338 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .295 — a .043 difference.
,In terms of power, Cole Carrigg grades out in the 22nd percentile, having paced 11.9 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.
,Coby Mayo has posted a .208 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Hughes to throw 79 pitches today (3rd-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
,The #1 stadium in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
,With 6 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Gabriel Hughes will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
,Among all SPs, Gabriel Hughes’s fastball velocity of 91.7 mph ranks in the 20th percentile this year.
,Gabriel Hughes has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his ERA this year; his 6.61 figure is quite a bit higher than his 4.29 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
,Leody Taveras’s launch angle in recent games (6° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit lower than his 15.8° seasonal mark.
,Ezequiel Tovar has compiled a .312 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, placing in the 4th percentile.
,Compared to his seasonal angle of 10.2°, Samuel Basallo has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.1°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
,Samuel Basallo, the Orioles’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,With 6 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Kyle Bradish will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
,Kyle Bradish will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
,Ranking in the 14th percentile, Coby Mayo sits with a .219 batting average this year.
,Kyle Bradish has recorded a .317 BABIP this year, making him one of the unluckiest mound aces in the majors on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.
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