
PIT @ NYY





Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 29th
29/09/24 15:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Pirates vs Yankees Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #10 field in baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 6th-lowest average fence height.
The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Clarke Schmidt.
Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Juan Soto will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team in action today.
Last season, Isiah Kiner-Falefa had an average launch angle of 4.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 8.6°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Clarke Schmidt in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Yankee Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the majors for righty home runs.
Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Jose Trevino will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Jose Trevino has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.4-mph average to last season’s 85.8-mph mark.
Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Juan Soto has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last year to 20.1% this year.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.2-mph to 92.3-mph over the last 7 days.
Joey Bart is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.
Compared to his seasonal average of 9.9°, Joey Bart has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 40.7° mark in the past 7 days.
Joey Bart has put up a .344 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 88th percentile.
Joey Bart has put up a .313 BABIP this year, placing in the 76th percentile.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Oswaldo Cabrera will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Oswaldo Cabrera’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 37.3% to 43.5%.
Posting a 2.02 K/BB rate this year, Jose Trevino has displayed good plate discipline, grading out in the 81st percentile.
Jared Triolo’s BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jared Triolo has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Jared Triolo’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 42% on the season to 56% in the past two weeks.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jared Triolo has suffered from bad luck this year. His .275 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .303.
Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Giancarlo Stanton will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Giancarlo Stanton has big-time HR ability (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (29.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Falter struggles to strike batters out (16th percentile K%) — great news for Stanton.
Gleyber Torres’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Gleyber Torres is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.
Gleyber Torres will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter today.
Gleyber Torres has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (16.5) may lead us to conclude that Nick Gonzales has been unlucky this year with his 9.5 actual HR/600.
Utilizing Statcast data, Nick Gonzales grades out in the 89th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .280.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Anthony Volpe will have an edge in today’s game.
Anthony Volpe has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Andrew McCutchen has made big gains with his Barrel%, improving his 6.8% rate last year to 12.1% this year.
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Clarke Schmidt in the 81st percentile among all SPs in MLB.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jared Triolo, Oneil Cruz, Joey Bart).
Projected catcher Jose Trevino projects as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 10th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Over the past two weeks, Bryan Reynolds’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph lately.
Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Aaron Judge will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 78th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Bailey Falter’s 91.3-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1.2-mph rise from last season’s 90.1-mph figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Oneil Cruz has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 96.3-mph.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.326) provides evidence that Nick Gonzales has had some very poor luck this year with his .306 actual wOBA.
Nick Gonzales is in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (46.6% rate this year).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Given the 1.35 gap between Clarke Schmidt’s 2.55 ERA and his 3.90 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year and should see negative regression in future games.
The Pittsburgh Pirates as a unit place overall in the league this year in regard to the maximum exit velocity of all of the balls their [HITTER}s have hit.
Andrew McCutchen’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 17.5% on the season to 27.3% in the past 14 days.
Anthony Volpe will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Jasson Dominguez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.
Jasson Dominguez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Jasson Dominguez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 104.9-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal EV of 96-mph.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Aaron Judge will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jasson Dominguez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Negative Match Player Stats with Pirates vs Yankees Series Game 3
Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.
This contest is forecasted to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.
Bryan Reynolds has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.
Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Bailey Falter will have the handedness advantage over Juan Soto in today’s matchup.
Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
As it relates to his home run skill, Isiah Kiner-Falefa ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #22 venue in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The 5th-deepest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Yankee Stadium.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Oneil Cruz in today’s game.
Oneil Cruz’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (-2° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 7.7° seasonal figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Trevino in the 19th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Jose Trevino is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 9th-worst park in baseball for left-handed batting average.
Batting from the same side that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.
The #9 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.
Clarke Schmidt will have the handedness advantage over Joey Bart in today’s matchup.
Oswaldo Cabrera is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Trevino in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Jared Triolo is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.
Giancarlo Stanton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Gleyber Torres’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 92.9-mph mark last year has fallen to 90-mph.
Nick Gonzales has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (70% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
Anthony Volpe has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Andrew McCutchen will not have the upper hand in today’s game.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Clarke Schmidt is projected to throw 81 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 14th-least of all pitchers on the slate.
Edwin Moscoso grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches today.
Clarke Schmidt has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 9.74 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.22 — a 0.52 K/9 difference.
Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Joey Bart pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Bailey Falter in the 24th percentile among all starters in the league.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bailey Falter to throw 77 pitches in today’s game (6th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Bailey Falter will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Bailey Falter’s higher utilization rate of his fastball this season (62.7 compared to 52.8% last year) is not ideal since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Andrew McCutchen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Aaron Judge has been lucky this year, putting up a .476 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .430 — a .046 difference.
Clarke Schmidt will have the handedness advantage against Jared Triolo in today’s game.
Posting a 3.76 K/BB rate this year, Giancarlo Stanton has shown bad plate discipline, checking in at the 19th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Clarke Schmidt in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching skills.
The #1 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Bailey Falter, Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.294) implies that Gleyber Torres has had some very good luck this year with his .309 actual wOBA.
Batting from the same side that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Nick Gonzales encounters a tough challenge today.
The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Bailey Falter, Jasson Dominguez pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
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