NYY @ TOR






Yankees @ Blue Jays Matchup Details
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, August 14th
Time : 14/08/26 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the New York Yankees Game Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Jones as the 15th-best hitter in the game when estimating his BABIP talent.
,Spencer Jones is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
,The #6 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
,Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.
,Batting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Spencer Jones will have an advantage today.
,Nathan Lukes is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.
,Batting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Nathan Lukes will have the upper hand today.
,Nathan Lukes will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
,Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
,Batting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand today.
,Trent Grisham is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays only has 1 same-handed RP.
,Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage today.
,In the last week’s worth of games, Andres Gimenez’s 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.2%.
,Brett Bateman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
,Brett Bateman will hold the platoon advantage over Gerrit Cole today.
,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brett Bateman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Hitting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an advantage today.
,The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jazz Chisholm Jr. can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
,Jazz Chisholm Jr. has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.5-mph.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
,Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Batting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Luis Garcia Jr. will have an edge today.
,Luis Garcia Jr. may have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays has just 1 same-handed RP.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 4th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average skill.
,Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
,Rogers Centre profiles as the #6 stadium in the majors for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
,George Springer is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
,George Springer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
,George Springer will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
,Ryan McMahon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber in today’s game.
,Ryan McMahon will probably have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays only has 1 same-handed RP.
,Compared to his seasonal average of 12.3°, Andres Gimenez has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 19.4° figure in the last week.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
,Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
,Batting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Ben Rice will have the upper hand in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
,Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
,Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today’s matchup.
,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Lombard in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
,George Lombard is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
,George Lombard hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
,Over the past 14 days, George Lombard’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.7% up to 16.7%.
,George Lombard has exhibited some good exit velocity stats of late, averaging 98.2-mph on his flyballs over the last 14 days.
,The New York Yankees have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Spencer Jones, Ryan McMahon, Jazz Chisholm Jr.).
,Alejandro Kirk, the Blue Jays’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 5th-best park in the game for strikeouts.
,Shane Bieber will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his metrics in all categories.
,Despite posting a .314 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes George Springer has had bad variance on his side given the .031 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .345.
,In the past 14 days, Ryan McMahon’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 97.4-mph recently.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Jones in the 86th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
,Alejandro Kirk’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Alejandro Kirk has posted a .342 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 78th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Hitting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today’s game.
,The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Austin Wells can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
,Austin Wells has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.2-mph EV.
,Luis Garcia Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 12th-best batter in MLB.
,The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ben Rice has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
,The Toronto Blue Jays have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season,Rogers Centre grades out as the #5 park in MLB for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gerrit Cole today.
,Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Gerrit Cole has gone to his fastball a lot this year, though: 52.5% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.
,The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Spencer Jones has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
,The New York Yankees have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future,With a 6.06 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that deals with the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher’s control), Shane Bieber places in the 14th percentile.
,Gerrit Cole has averaged 17.3 outs per start this year, checking in at the 85th percentile.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Gerrit Cole in the 87th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.
,Out of all starting pitchers, Gerrit Cole’s fastball velocity of 96.2 mph ranks in the 84th percentile this year.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 84th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
,Alejandro Kirk has compiled a .284 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Despite posting a .305 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has suffered from bad luck given the .057 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .362.
,In the last week’s worth of games, Austin Wells’s 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.3%.
,Trent Grisham hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Bateman in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Alejandro Kirk ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Negatives with the Toronto Blue Jays Game Today
This year, Spencer Jones has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 31% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
,Among all parks, the 8th-tallest average fence height are at Rogers Centre.
,According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 6th-most suitable for pitching on the slate today.
,Spencer Jones will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
,Spencer Jones has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 93.7-mph dropping to 91.2-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 12th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
,The New York Yankees infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams today.
,Nathan Lukes has averaged 11.7 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 20th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Trent Grisham will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
,Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
,The #4 ballpark in the majors for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
,Andres Gimenez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 88.5-mph seasonal average has lowered to 84.7-mph over the last 14 days.
,When it comes to his home run talent, Brett Bateman ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Over the last 14 days, Brett Bateman has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
,Nathan Lukes’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 18.9% to 13.4%.
,Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
,Jazz Chisholm Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
,Jazz Chisholm Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last 14 days.
,Brett Bateman has been cold lately, notching a 84.1-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks.
,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Luis Garcia Jr. has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 30% of the time.
,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Garcia Jr. in today’s matchup.
,Luis Garcia Jr. has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days.
,Gerrit Cole will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today’s game.
,Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 12.4% rate last season has decreased to 6.7% this season.
,Gerrit Cole will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Springer in today’s matchup.
,George Springer has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 14 days.
,Ryan McMahon is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.
,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Ryan McMahon has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time.
,Ryan McMahon will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
,When estimating his home run skill, Andres Gimenez ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Ben Rice will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
,In the past 7 days, Ben Rice’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.3%.
,Despite posting a .376 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ben Rice has experienced some positive variance given the .027 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .349.
,George Springer has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph dropping to 81.5-mph in the last week.
,In the last 14 days, Jesus Sanchez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 93.9 mph to 87.7 mph.
,Posting a 3.96 K/BB rate this year, Jesus Sanchez has demonstrated poor plate discipline, placing in the 12th percentile.
,The #4 stadium in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
,Shane Bieber will have the handedness advantage over George Lombard in today’s game.
,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for George Lombard in today’s matchup.
,Notching a 1.5° launch angle in the past 14 days suggests that George Lombard has been finding it challenging to lift the ball recently, which is a key component of hitting for power.
,Shane Bieber struggled when it came to striking batters out in his last outing and posted 2 Ks.
,Among all starters, Shane Bieber’s fastball velocity of 91.7 mph ranks in the 20th percentile this year.
,Shane Bieber has recorded a 16.4% Strikeout% this year, grading out in the 20th percentile.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 21st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
,Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.
,Gerrit Cole will have the handedness advantage against Alejandro Kirk today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 3rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
,Austin Wells is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.
,Austin Wells has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 25% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.
,Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 94.4-mph mark last year has dropped off to 89.8-mph.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Gerrit Cole in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Wells (the Yankees’s expected catcher in today’s game) projects as a good pitch framer.
,Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Shane Bieber must realize this, because he has used his non-fastballs a lot this year: 61.9% of the time, ranking in the 86th percentile.
,Placing in the 5th percentile, Trent Grisham has posted a .237 BABIP this year.
,Shane Bieber has averaged 14.2 outs per outing this year, grading out in the 17th percentile.
,The Toronto Blue Jays (18.6 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone team of batters of all teams today.
,In his last outing, Gerrit Cole wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out and was only able to tally 2 Ks.
,Austin Wells will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
,Trent Grisham has notched a .224 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Alejandro Kirk has struggled with his Barrel%; his 10.3% rate last season has decreased to 2.3% this year.
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