Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox match player stats | Series Game 3 Sunday, September 29th

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Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox match player stats | Series Game 3 Sunday, September 29th

TB @ BOS

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 29th
29/09/24 15:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Rays vs Red Sox Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 field in the majors for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan Pepiot in today’s matchup.

Ryan Pepiot has been one of the luckiest hurlers in MLB on balls in play this year with a .259 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

Boston Red Sox batters jointly rank 4th- in MLB for power this year when using their 9.1% Barrel%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an edge today.

Masataka Yoshida hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Masataka Yoshida will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in MLB for run-scoring.

Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF fences in the league.

In terms of his home runs, Taylor Walls has suffered from bad luck this year. His 2.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 8.2.

When it comes to plate discipline, Taylor Walls’s ability is quite impressive, sporting a 2.02 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 81st percentile.

Jonny Deluca is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Jonny Deluca has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 84.8-mph to 88.7-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Despite posting a .269 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonny Deluca has suffered from bad luck given the .026 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Wilyer Abreu will hold that advantage today.

Josh Lowe’s BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, Josh Lowe will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Josh Lowe is apt to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP.

Josh Lowe has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal average of 19.2°, Wilyer Abreu has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23° figure in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP.

Brandon Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Quinn Priester in today’s matchup.

The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

As it relates to his home run skill, Triston Casas ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Triston Casas is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today.

Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage against Quinn Priester today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Connor Wong will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Connor Wong’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (24.6° over the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 14.5° seasonal mark.

Extreme groundball bats like Josh Lowe tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Quinn Priester.

Josh Lowe has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 93.8-mph over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Jarren Duran will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today’s matchup.

Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Tyler O’Neill as the league’s 10th-best home run hitter.

Tyler O’Neill is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Tyler O’Neill pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Tyler O’Neill will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his home run skill, Trevor Story ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trevor Story is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage today.

Trevor Story has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last week.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Triston Casas will hold that advantage today.

Romy Gonzalez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Romy Gonzalez has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Romy Gonzalez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Romy Gonzalez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.9% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for right-handed BABIP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 11th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average talent.

Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (16.9) implies that Yandy Diaz has suffered from bad luck this year with his 13.6 actual HR/600.

Junior Caminero’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

Junior Caminero hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Junior Caminero has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12.2% seasonal rate to 23.3% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences today.

Christopher Morel has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 94.7-mph.

Despite posting a .279 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christopher Morel has suffered from bad luck given the .037 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

Logan Driscoll will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Quinn Priester in today’s game.

The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Logan Driscoll stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Brandon Lowe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O’Neill in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Considering that flyball pitchers have a big advantage over flyball batters, Quinn Priester and his 50.8% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good spot in this game squaring off against 2 opposing FB batters.

Quinn Priester will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his metrics across the board.

Yandy Diaz has been unlucky this year, compiling a .329 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .019 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 11th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP skill.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan Aranda may have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Ryan Pepiot in the 88th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

The Boston Red Sox have 5 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Triston Casas, Tyler O’Neill, Connor Wong, Wilyer Abreu, Trevor Story).

The Barrel% of Tyler O’Neill has significantly improved, with an increase from 12.4% last year to 17.5% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Junior Caminero has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.4-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal average of 96.6-mph.

As it relates to his home runs, Junior Caminero has had some very poor luck this year. His 17.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 24.9.

Over the past two weeks, Romy Gonzalez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 104.8-mph recently.

Utilizing Statcast data, Romy Gonzalez ranks in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .335.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Placing in the 76th percentile, Yandy Diaz has posted a .335 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rays vs Red Sox Series Game 3

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Ryan Pepiot’s overall pitching talent is in the 86th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball right now.

Doug Eddings projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone today.

Fenway Park has the 2nd-highest fences in the league.

The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Ryan Pepiot turned in a great performance in his last GS and allowed 2 ER.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.3°, Masataka Yoshida has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.4°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 8th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Taylor Walls is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Quinn Priester, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonny Deluca in the 25th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Quinn Priester will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonny Deluca in today’s game.

Jonny Deluca will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Wilyer Abreu has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 36% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

Wilyer Abreu has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 11.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 4.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Josh Lowe has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Josh Lowe has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 18% of the time.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Lowe in today’s matchup.

Brandon Lowe’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 89.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 84.9-mph over the past 14 days.

Brandon Lowe’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (5.4° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 17.9° seasonal angle.

Triston Casas has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .340 mark is inflated compared to his .293 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jonathan Aranda in today’s game.

Connor Wong is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

Ryan Pepiot will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Wong in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Connor Wong’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.

Jarren Duran’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 94-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 91.8-mph in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran’s true offensive skill to be a .338, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .019 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .357 wOBA.

Hitting from the same side that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Tyler O’Neill encounters a tough challenge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tyler O’Neill’s true offensive talent to be a .338, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .019 deviation between that mark and his actual .357 wOBA.

Ryan Pepiot will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Story in today’s game.

Trevor Story’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 88.5-mph mark last season has dropped to 85.7-mph.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.266) provides evidence that Trevor Story has been lucky this year with his .301 actual wOBA.

Romy Gonzalez is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.

Quinn Priester will hold the platoon advantage over Yandy Diaz in today’s matchup.

Typically, bats like Yandy Diaz who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Quinn Priester.

Quinn Priester will hold the platoon advantage over Junior Caminero today.

Extreme flyball hitters like Junior Caminero tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Quinn Priester.

Christopher Morel is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Hitting from the same side that Quinn Priester throws from, Christopher Morel has a tough challenge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan Driscoll in the 12th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Logan Driscoll is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

This year, Logan Driscoll has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 27% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Quinn Priester in the 21st percentile among all starters in baseball.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Quinn Priester is projected to throw 80 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 13th-least on the slate.

Connor Wong, the Red Sox’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Quinn Priester has notched a 14.5% Strikeout% this year, checking in at the 13th percentile.

Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Junior Caminero will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ryan Pepiot is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 14th-least of all pitchers today.

Ryan Pepiot has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 9.79 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.59 — a 0.20 K/9 deviation.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Lowe today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christopher Morel in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 19th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Hitting from the same side that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Romy Gonzalez will have a tough matchup today.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Jonny Deluca’s 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

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