St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants match player stats | Series Game 3 Sunday, September 29th

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St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants match player stats | Series Game 3 Sunday, September 29th

STL @ SF

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 29th
29/09/24 15:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Cardinals vs Giants Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Tyler Fitzgerald has big-time HR ability (76th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (32% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael McGreevy struggles to strike batters out (7th percentile K%) — great news for Fitzgerald.

Extreme groundball hitters like Tyler Fitzgerald tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Michael McGreevy.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Tyler Fitzgerald will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the last week, Tyler Fitzgerald’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.8% up to 30%.

Brendan Donovan’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brendan Donovan is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Oracle Park profiles as the #10 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the league, Oracle Park’s RF dimensions are the shallowest.

Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hayden Birdsong in today’s matchup.

Masyn Winn is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Over the last week, Masyn Winn’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.6% up to 11.1%.

Over the past week, Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.1-mph over the course of the season to 90.3-mph in recent games.

Posting a .276 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Masyn Winn has performed in the 86th percentile.

Checking in at the 75th percentile, Masyn Winn has posted a .266 batting average this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an edge in today’s matchup.

LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

LaMonte Wade Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 10th-best field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average.

This season, Jordan Walker has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.7 mph compared to last year’s 91.4 mph mark.

Jordan Walker has been unlucky this year, posting a .270 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .042 difference.

Alec Burleson is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage against Hayden Birdsong in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Michael Siani will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Michael Conforto ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Conforto is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

Michael Conforto will hold the platoon advantage over Michael McGreevy in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Heliot Ramos has a ton of pop (88th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (28% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael McGreevy struggles to strike batters out (24th percentile K%) — great news for Ramos.

Heliot Ramos has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Heliot Ramos will hold that advantage today.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Pedro Pages’s maximum exit velocity (a strong measure of recent form and raw power) has been 109.7-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in baseball.

A consistent launch angle is a measure of good hitting, and Pedro Pages has been very consistent with his of late, posting a 34.6° launch angle standard deviation in the last two weeks.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage today.

In the last 7 days, Patrick Bailey’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.7% up to 25%.

Patrick Bailey has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 101.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 91.1-mph figure.

In the past 7 days, Patrick Bailey’s 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Matt Chapman generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Michael McGreevy.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as the majors’s 12th-best home run hitter.

Matt Chapman has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 13% seasonal rate to 25% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Hayden Birdsong in the 82nd percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

Vic Carapazza grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be umping in today’s game.

Patrick Bailey, the Giants’s expected catcher today, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hayden Birdsong has been one of the luckiest hurlers in the league on balls in play this year with a .259 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

Hayden Birdsong has put up a 1.79 K/BB rate this year, placing in the 20th percentile.

As a team, St. Louis Cardinals batters have shined as it relates to hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (between -4° and 26°), placing 3rd-best in the majors.

When assessing his home run talent, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage in today’s game.

Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

Extreme groundball hitters like Mike Yastrzemski are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Michael McGreevy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Paul Goldschmidt’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.6-mph over the course of the season to 101.9-mph of late.

Paul Goldschmidt’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (15.7°) is considerably higher than his 12.6° mark last year.

Paul Goldschmidt has been unlucky this year, putting up a .305 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .028 gap.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Conforto will hold that advantage today.

The San Francisco Giants have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Heliot Ramos, Matt Chapman, Jerar Encarnacion, Tyler Fitzgerald).

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hayden Birdsong in today’s game.

Lars Nootbaar has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year’s 89.1-mph EV.

Lars Nootbaar’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 14.8% on the season to 0% in the past week.

Placing in the 77th percentile, Jordan Walker has notched a .276 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Batting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Brett Wisely will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Brett Wisely will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Over the past 7 days, Brett Wisely’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.2%.

In the past two weeks, Brendan Donovan’s 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46%.

Grant McCray will hold the platoon advantage over Michael McGreevy today.

Grant McCray will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

Over the last 7 days, Nolan Arenado’s 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.9%.

Nolan Arenado has posted a .268 batting average this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.

When estimating his home run talent, Tyler Fitzgerald ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Negative Match Player Stats with Cardinals vs Giants Series Game 3

Tyler Fitzgerald is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

The #4 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

Oracle Park has the tallest fences among all major league stadiums.

Oracle Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 2nd-best pitching conditions of the day.

Among every team in action today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brendan Donovan today.

Over the past 7 days, Brendan Donovan’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.

When estimating his home run talent, Masyn Winn ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

This year, LaMonte Wade Jr. has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 23% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

Jordan Walker is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Jordan Walker has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 19% of the time.

Hayden Birdsong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Walker today.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Alec Burleson has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 10% of the time.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Burleson today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Michael Siani ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Siani is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Michael Siani has been pinch hit for 33% of the time.

The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.

Placing in the 24th percentile, Michael Conforto sits with a .276 BABIP this year.

Michael McGreevy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Heliot Ramos in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 25th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Pedro Pages is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Pedro Pages has been pinch hit for 13% of the time.

Patrick Bailey has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Michael McGreevy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Chapman in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hayden Birdsong to throw 82 pitches today (15th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Oracle Park ranks as the #27 stadium in baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hayden Birdsong has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, notching a 10.24 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.63 — a 0.61 K/9 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the worst park in Major League Baseball for walks.

In the last week, Heliot Ramos’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15% down to 5.3%.

19% of the time that Mike Yastrzemski has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Hitting from the same side that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Michael McGreevy in the 16th percentile among all starters in baseball.

Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Michael McGreevy (49.4% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 3 FB hitters in San Francisco’s projected batting order.

Michael McGreevy will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Hayden Birdsong will hold the platoon advantage over Masyn Winn in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Masyn Winn in today’s matchup.

Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.

Brett Wisely is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

This year, Brett Wisely has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 17% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Paul Goldschmidt will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Grant McCray ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Grant McCray is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Grant McCray has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 11% of the time.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 7th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Lars Nootbaar in today’s matchup.

Ranking in the 16th percentile, Patrick Bailey has put up a .284 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Hayden Birdsong will have the handedness advantage against Nolan Arenado in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Despite posting a .340 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes LaMonte Wade Jr. has experienced some positive variance given the .011 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

Batting from the same side that Michael McGreevy throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

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