
WSH @ PIT





Todays Series Game 4 Matchup Details
Series Game 4
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 8th
08/09/24 13:35:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Nationals vs Pirates Series Game 4 Series Game 4 Matchup Today
Luis Garcia’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Luis Garcia is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
PNC Park ranks as the #8 field in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.6-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Over the past week, Jacob Young’s 63.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.7%.
Sporting a .326 BABIP this year, Jacob Young is ranked in the 86th percentile.
Dylan Crews is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.
In the last 14 days, Dylan Crews has averaged an impressive 97.7-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential.
Batting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Joey Gallo will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.9) implies that Joey Gallo has suffered from bad luck this year with his 17.7 actual HR/600.
A consistent launch angle is an indicator of good hitting, and Dylan Crews has been very consistent with his lately, posting a 35.6° launch angle standard deviation over the past 14 days.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (69% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have an edge in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today’s game.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Connor Joe is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.
Connor Joe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Jared Triolo will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Jared Triolo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Hitting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal average of 15.1°, CJ Abrams has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24.4° angle in the last 7 days.
The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Jared Jones.
Keibert Ruiz’s launch angle this year (19.7°) is significantly higher than his 15.1° angle last year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Bryan De La Cruz will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Bryan De La Cruz will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
When it comes to his home run ability, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
Oneil Cruz has a ton of pop (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (30.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Patrick Corbin has a pitch-to-contact profile (13th percentile K%) — great news for Cruz.
Andres Chaparro is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Notching 2 home runs over the past week, Andres Chaparro has been on fire recently.
Compared to his seasonal average of 15.2°, Connor Joe has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 34.4° figure in the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, James Wood ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
James Wood is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, James Wood will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Luis Garcia will hold the platoon advantage over Jared Jones today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP ability.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Jose Tena is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Bryan De La Cruz’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (17.2°) is quite a bit better than his 12.3° angle last year.
Despite posting a .286 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bryan De La Cruz has had bad variance on his side given the .027 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.
Nick Gonzales’s BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nick Gonzales is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Nick Gonzales will have an advantage today.
PNC Park has the 9th-deepest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums.
Patrick Corbin was firing on all cylinders in his last start and conceded 2 ER.
Patrick Corbin has relied on his sinker 7% less often this season (34.5%) than he did last year (41.5%).
Over the past 14 days, Jacob Young’s 18.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.3%.
Andres Chaparro’s launch angle in recent games (28.3° over the last 7 days) is a significant increase over his 17.6° seasonal figure.
Nick Gonzales will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
When it comes to his home runs, Nick Gonzales has experienced some negative variance this year. His 9.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.1.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz’s true offensive skill to be a .293, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .025 disparity between that mark and his actual .268 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.278) provides evidence that Jacob Young has been unlucky this year with his .260 actual batting average.
Jose Tena will hold the platoon advantage against Jared Jones in today’s game.
Jose Tena’s launch angle recently (19.4° in the last week) is a significant increase over his 11.7° seasonal mark.
Patrick Corbin was rolling in his last outing and put up 8 strikeouts.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jared Jones in the 87th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.
The Washington Nationals have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (James Wood, Joey Gallo, Jose Tena).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yasmani Grandal (the Pirates’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be a good pitch framer.
Jared Jones will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.
Compared to his seasonal average of 11.7°, Jared Triolo has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 21.1° figure over the past two weeks.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.303) provides evidence that Jared Triolo has been unlucky this year with his .272 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Joey Gallo as the majors’s 7th-best home run hitter.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jared Jones in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.
The Washington Nationals projected offense grades out as the 4th-worst on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.
It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Washington Nationals offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 4th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.
Over the last 14 days, Bryan Reynolds has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 22° compared to his seasonal mark of 12°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Negative Match Player Stats with Nationals vs Pirates Series Game 4
PNC Park has the 6th-highest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for pitching of all games on the slate today.
Luis Garcia has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Luis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Luis Garcia has been lucky this year, putting up a .334 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .018 disparity.
When estimating his home run skill, Jacob Young ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jacob Young is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
Homers are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest in Major League Baseball.
The #9 park in the game for suppressing home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.
Batting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Dylan Crews will have a tough challenge today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Gallo in the 0th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Joey Gallo is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Dylan Crews in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 5th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
13% of the time that Isiah Kiner-Falefa has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early.
The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Patrick Corbin, Bryan Reynolds has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph dropping to 87.1-mph over the last 7 days.
When starting against a left-handed starter this year, Connor Joe has been pinch hit for 22% of the time.
Connor Joe has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.
Connor Joe’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 88.9-mph EV last season has dropped off to 85.2-mph.
Jared Triolo is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Over the last 7 days, Jared Triolo’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 90.1 mph to 86.5 mph.
CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (96% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for CJ Abrams today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.
Bryan De La Cruz is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Bryan De La Cruz has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 7 days.
Batting from the same side that Patrick Corbin throws from, Oneil Cruz encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Oneil Cruz has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 16.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 11.1% in the last week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Chaparro in the 21st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Batting from the same side that Jared Jones throws from, Andres Chaparro meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 88.8-mph EV last year has lowered to 85.5-mph.
Over the past 7 days, Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 87.9 mph to 79.2 mph.
The #9 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.
James Wood has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for James Wood today.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, James Wood’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.3% down to 0%.
Jose Tena has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Jose Tena will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Jose Tena has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph dropping to 87.8-mph over the last week.
Over the last 14 days, Nick Gonzales’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.
Over the last week, Nick Gonzales’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 90.6 mph to 80.4 mph.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Patrick Corbin’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 8th percentile among all SPs in the majors right now.
It may be wise to expect positive regression for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the unluckiest offense in the game this year.
PNC Park grades out as the #7 stadium in baseball for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Pittsburgh Pirates have 8 batters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin in this matchup.
In the last week’s worth of games, CJ Abrams’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Joey Gallo in today’s game.
Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Jared Jones will have the handedness advantage against Jacob Young in today’s game.
Jacob Young will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Patrick Corbin in the 25th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.
The #4 stadium in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jared Jones is projected to throw 83 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least of the day.
The Washington Nationals have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Jared Jones in this matchup.
Andres Chaparro will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
In the last 14 days, James Wood’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 95.8 mph to 88.9 mph.
Jared Jones has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors on balls in play this year with a .268 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.
Jose Tena has been lucky this year, posting a .310 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .288 — a .022 disparity.
Nick Gonzales has recorded a .289 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 21st percentile.
Jared Triolo’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (5.5°) is considerably lower than his 12.4° mark last season.
Dylan Crews has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, lifting balls between -4° and 26° just 27.8% of the time in the past week’s worth of games.
Over the last 7 days, Bryan De La Cruz’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.9%.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Bryan Reynolds ranks in just the 17th percentile with a 9.4° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in baseball.
Oneil Cruz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 13.8% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.
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