Reds vs Mets match player stats Sunday, September 8th 2024. Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets Series Game 3

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Reds vs Mets match player stats Sunday, September 8th 2024. Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets Series Game 3

CIN @ NYM

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 8th
08/09/24 13:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Reds vs Mets Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Citi Field.

Jake Fraley will have the handedness advantage over Luis Severino in today’s game.

Jake Fraley has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 3.1% seasonal rate to 10% over the past week.

In the past week, Jake Fraley’s 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.7%.

Jake Fraley has posted a .328 BABIP this year, placing in the 88th percentile.

Santiago Espinal has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph to 90.8-mph in the last two weeks.

Compared to his seasonal average of 14.2°, Santiago Espinal has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 25.5° angle in the last 7 days.

Santiago Espinal’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (12.9°) is considerably better than his 8.8° figure last year.

Santiago Espinal has shown strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 77th percentile with a 2.03 K/BB rate.

Amed Rosario hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s shallowest CF fences today.

Amed Rosario has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph to 94.3-mph over the past 7 days.

Amed Rosario’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 10.9% on the season to 23.8% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

Tyler Stephenson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s shallowest CF fences today.

Checking in at the 77th percentile, Tyler Stephenson has notched a .336 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Placing in the 76th percentile, Tyler Stephenson has notched a .291 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In terms of plate discipline, Spencer Steer’s ability is quite good, posting a 1.89 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Jesse Winker is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

Jesse Winker will hold the platoon advantage over Julian Aguiar today… and moreover, Aguiar has a large platoon split.

Jesse Winker has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Jonathan India pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Jonathan India’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.6% up to 23.1%.

Jonathan India’s launch angle in recent games (20.8° over the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 13.2° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Because of Julian Aguiar’s large platoon split, Brandon Nimmo will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Ty France has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.9-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 88.9-mph figure.

Ty France’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (15.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 11.2° mark last year.

Over the last 7 days, Ty France’s 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.4%.

Throwing 94.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Luis Severino falls in the 87th percentile.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Brock Ballou) calling pitches in this game.

Francisco Alvarez, the Mets’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the 9th-best venue in MLB for strikeouts.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Luis Severino.

Elly De La Cruz’s launch angle this season (10.4°) is considerably higher than his 3.4° angle last season.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Pete Alonso pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the majors’s 11th-best home run hitter.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, TJ Friedl will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

T.J. Friedl’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (10.6°) is considerably better than his 5.8° mark last season.

In the last week, T.J. Friedl’s 63.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.4%.

As it relates to his home run skill, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and J.D. Martinez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Over the last 14 days, J.D. Martinez’s 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

J.D. Martinez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Mark Vientos has strong power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (28.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Julian Aguiar struggles to strike batters out (20th percentile K%) — great news for Vientos.

Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Iglesias will hold that advantage today.

With a .344 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jose Iglesias has performed in the 87th percentile.

Jose Iglesias has compiled a .432 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, checking in at the 79th percentile.

Placing highest in MLB this year, Cincinnati Reds hitters as a unit have recorded a 16.3° launch angle on their hardest-hit balls (an advanced stat to study power skills).

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Francisco Lindor will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Francisco Lindor has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13.8% seasonal rate to 20.5% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Ty France has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill.

In the last two weeks, Amed Rosario’s 61.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44%.

With a .365 BABIP this year, Amed Rosario has performed in the 99th percentile.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage today.

Jesse Winker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today.

J.D. Martinez has compiled a .341 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Jose Iglesias has recorded a .309 batting average this year, checking in at the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Pete Alonso has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.7% seasonal rate to 20% in the past two weeks.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Negative Match Player Stats with Reds vs Mets Series Game 3

As it relates to his home run skill, Jake Fraley ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Fraley is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

The #1 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Citi Field’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 27%.

When assessing his home run talent, Santiago Espinal ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Santiago Espinal is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 8th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Amed Rosario is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Batting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Amed Rosario meets a tough challenge today.

Hitting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Tyler Stephenson meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

In the past 7 days, Tyler Stephenson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.7% down to 0%.

Luis Severino will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Steer today.

Spencer Steer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Over the past two weeks, Spencer Steer’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.

Jesse Winker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.7% to 9.7%.

Despite posting a .349 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jesse Winker has had positive variance on his side given the .025 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .324.

Luis Severino will hold the platoon advantage over Jonathan India in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jonathan India in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks, Brandon Nimmo’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 0%.

Brandon Nimmo’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 92.8-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 82.2-mph over the last 14 days.

Ty France is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Luis Severino will have the handedness advantage over Ty France today.

Luis Severino’s higher usage rate of his fastball this year (60.1 vs. 48.9% last year) is not ideal since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Among all starters, Luis Severino’s fastball spin rate of 2214 rpm ranks in the 23rd percentile this year.

Placing in the 23rd percentile, Luis Severino put up a 9.1% Swinging Strike% this year.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Elly De La Cruz in today’s matchup.

Over the last week, Elly De La Cruz’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 93.7 mph to 90.7 mph.

Jonathan India has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph dropping to 84.1-mph over the last two weeks.

Because of Julian Aguiar’s large platoon split, Pete Alonso will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (27.7) may lead us to conclude that Pete Alonso has had some very good luck this year with his 30.8 actual HR/600.

TJ Friedl’s BABIP ability is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for TJ Friedl in today’s game.

J.D. Martinez is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Julian Aguiar will hold the platoon advantage over J.D. Martinez in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Aguiar’s large platoon split.

Hitting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Santiago Espinal encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Considering Julian Aguiar’s large platoon split, Mark Vientos will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Mark Vientos’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 95.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 80-mph over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 3rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Jose Iglesias is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Given Julian Aguiar’s large platoon split, Jose Iglesias will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

The #1 field in the league for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Julian Aguiar… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Aguiar’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Fraley in today’s game.

Ty France will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .372 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mark Vientos has had some very good luck given the .055 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

In the last two weeks, Brandon Nimmo’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (2.2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.2°.

Over the past 7 days, J.D. Martinez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.9% down to 0%.

In the past week’s worth of games, T.J. Friedl’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 88.4 mph to 82.3 mph.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 16.8°, T.J. Friedl has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Over the past two weeks, Elly De La Cruz’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.7°.

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