Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Brewers vs Pirates Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

PNC Park grades out as the #9 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The weather report expects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

In terms of his batting average, Joey Ortiz has been unlucky this year. His .238 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .252.

By putting up a 1.65 K/BB rate this year, Joey Ortiz has demonstrated strong plate discipline, grading out in the 90th percentile.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Oneil Cruz, Joey Bart, Liover Peguero).

Aaron Civale’s 2386-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 79th percentile among all starters.

Throwing 95.2 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Mitch Keller falls in the 91st percentile.

Mitch Keller will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats in all categories.

Mitch Keller’s 2407-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 79th percentile among all SPs.

Bryan Reynolds’s BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Aaron Civale.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Garrett Mitchell is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Bryan Reynolds will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 85.9-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

The #10 park in MLB for boosting base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Sal Frelick will have an edge in today’s matchup.

PNC Park ranks as the #7 field in the game for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Mitch Keller conceded a whopping 8 earned runs in his last outing.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 10th-best field in MLB for RHB BABIP.

In the last 7 days, Rhys Hoskins’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 33.3%.

In the past 7 days, Rhys Hoskins’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 102.4-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today’s game.

Jake Bauers is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Pittsburgh (#3-worst on the slate today).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Using Statcast data, Jackson Chourio is in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .281.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Nick Gonzales is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Gonzales will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Joey Bart will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Compared to his seasonal average of 8.8°, Joey Bart has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 35.8° mark in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

Jared Triolo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Over the past 7 days, Jared Triolo’s 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.2%.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jared Triolo has had some very poor luck this year. His .276 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .306.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jackson Chourio ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast metrics, Jackson Chourio ranks in the 76th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .338.

Checking in at the 80th percentile, Jackson Chourio has notched a .339 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

As it relates to his home run talent, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Willy Adames is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

William Contreras has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last season’s 94.7-mph average.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Nick Yorke will hold that advantage today.

Nick Yorke has exhibited some good exit velocity statistics in recent games, averaging 100.1-mph on his flyballs in the last 7 days.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward, Aaron Civale has a reverse platoon split and has the misfortune of matching up with 7 same-handed bats in this outing.

William Contreras has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104.3-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal EV of 96.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Based on Statcast metrics, Willy Adames is in the 88th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 28.800.

Oneil Cruz projects as the 19th-best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Oneil Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge in today’s game.

Brice Turang is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

Brice Turang will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Keller today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 78th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Yorke in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

With a 1.99 K/BB rate this year, Sal Frelick has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 78th percentile.

Jake Bauers’s launch angle this season (22.4°) is a considerable increase over his 13.6° angle last year.

Jake Bauers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 22.4% on the season to 37.5% in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (8.2°) is a significant increase over his 4.3° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Garrett Mitchell will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Keller today.

Garrett Mitchell has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.6% seasonal rate to 19.2% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.0) provides evidence that Nick Gonzales has experienced some negative variance this year with his 8.2 actual HR/600.

Negative Match Player Stats with Brewers vs Pirates Series Game 3

Joey Ortiz is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

PNC Park has the 6th-highest fence height (on average) in MLB.

PNC Park has the 8th-largest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally bad for homers.

Mitch Keller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Ortiz today.

Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Aaron Civale to throw 5.0 IP in this game (6th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Manny Gonzalez profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 3rd-worst stadium in baseball for strikeouts.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.

Projected catcher Joey Bart grades out as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the strongest among every team in action today.

Bryan Reynolds’s 8.9° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 15th percentile.

Garrett Mitchell has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

Garrett Mitchell will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (13.3) may lead us to conclude that Garrett Mitchell has experienced some positive variance this year with his 23.0 actual HR/600.

The #8 stadium in the game for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

As it relates to his home run skill, Isiah Kiner-Falefa ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Aaron Civale will hold the platoon advantage against Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today’s game.

Sal Frelick is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Sal Frelick is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of Pittsburgh (#3-best of all teams on the slate today).

Sal Frelick will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 5th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future, Among all major league parks, PNC Park’s LF fences are the 9th-deepest.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Mitch Keller will hold the platoon advantage over Rhys Hoskins in today’s matchup.

Rhys Hoskins pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Bauers today.

Hitting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Jackson Chourio will not have the upper hand today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jackson Chourio in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Aaron Civale throws from, Nick Gonzales will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Nick Gonzales’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 90.3-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 87.4-mph in the last week.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Joey Ortiz today.

Joey Bart is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Aaron Civale will hold the platoon advantage against Joey Bart in today’s game.

Joey Bart pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Joey Bart has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 14 days.

Aaron Civale will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew McCutchen in today’s matchup.

Andrew McCutchen pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

Andrew McCutchen has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Jared Triolo is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 8th-worst venue in MLB for righty home runs.

Hitting from the same side that Aaron Civale throws from, Jared Triolo will be at a disadvantage today.

Mitch Keller will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Willy Adames in today’s game.

Willy Adames pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Willy Adames today.

Willy Adames’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 88.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 83.5-mph over the past 14 days.

Hitting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, William Contreras will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Yorke in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Nick Yorke is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Collectively, Pittsburgh Pirates batters have not performed well in regard to hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to optimize home runs (between 23° and 34°), rating 2nd-worst in the majors.

Oneil Cruz’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, decreasing from 45.3% on the season to 18.2% over the past week.

When assessing his home run ability, Brice Turang ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brice Turang has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.1%) and will be challenged by the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brice Turang today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 12th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Brice Turang’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 87.2-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 76.6-mph in the past week.

Brice Turang’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (3.1°) is quite a bit lower than his 10.2° figure last season.

Aaron Civale will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Yorke in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Posting a .229 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Andrew McCutchen is ranked in the 22nd percentile.

William Contreras’s launch angle in recent games (-0.7° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 6° seasonal figure.

Over the past week, Jackson Chourio’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.2% down to 0%.

Sporting a 3.61 K/BB rate this year, Oneil Cruz has displayed poor plate discipline, placing in the 23rd percentile.

In the last week, Jared Triolo’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 90 mph to 83.3 mph.

There has been a decrease in Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s average exit velocity this year, from 88.8 mph last year to 85.9 mph now, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .304 figure is inflated compared to his .274 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Garrett Mitchell has been lucky this year, posting a .356 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .052 discrepancy.

Over the last 14 days, Oneil Cruz’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (3.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 8°.

Nick Gonzales has displayed poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 13th percentile with a 4.23 K/BB rate.

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