Astros vs Phillies match player stats Monday, August 26th 2024. Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies

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Astros vs Phillies match player stats Monday, August 26th 2024. Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies

HOU @ PHI

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Todays Matchup Details

Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies

Todays Game is on Monday, August 26th
26/08/24 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Astros vs Phillies Matchup Today

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums , — generally good for homers.

The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the worst out of every team today.

Victor Caratini has compiled a .276 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Grading out in the 78th percentile, Victor Caratini sports a .328 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Placing in the 86th percentile, Victor Caratini has notched a .275 batting average this year.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

The #6 field in the game for boosting home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Hitting from the opposite that Ronel Blanco throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge today.

Bryce Harper has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

J.T. Realmuto will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

In notching a .271 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , J.T. Realmuto has performed in the 81st percentile.

J.T. Realmuto has compiled a .320 BABIP this year, placing in the 82nd percentile.

Jeremy Pena’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #6 field in baseball for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Batting from the opposite that Ronel Blanco throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Ben Gamel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today’s game.

Jake Meyers’s BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Meyers has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 95.8-mph over the last week.

Jake Meyers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 19.6% on the season to 46.2% in the last week.

Austin Hays pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Austin Hays will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Austin Hays has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 10.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 20.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Grading out in the 81st percentile, Austin Hays has hit 39.7% of his balls in the air this year with a velocity of 100 mph or faster.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

J.T. Realmuto, the Phillies’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 10th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citizens Bank Park.

Zack Wheeler has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the league on balls in play this year with a .246 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

As a team, Houston Astros bats have shined as it relates to hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to best-produce base hits (between -4° and 26°), placing 3rd-best in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Jake Meyers’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 89.3-mph now compared to just 86-mph then.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Alec Bohm’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alec Bohm is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Alec Bohm will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ronel Blanco in the 79th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

Ronel Blanco has averaged 94.6 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 89th percentile.

Victor Caratini, the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jose Altuve’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

In the past two weeks, Jose Altuve’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.2-mph in recent games.

When assessing his strikeout talent, Zack Wheeler projects as the 19th-best starter in Major League Baseball right now, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Compared to the average starting pitcher, Zack Wheeler has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing an additional 8.3 adjusted pitches each game.

Zack Wheeler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing batters in today’s game.

Austin Hays has compiled a .322 BABIP this year, placing in the 80th percentile.

Bryson Stott has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 87-mph mark.

Victor Caratini has compiled a .436 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, placing in the 79th percentile.

Alex Bregman has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.1% seasonal rate to 19.2% in the last two weeks.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jose Altuve ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 17th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Trea Turner will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jeremy Pena has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5.4% seasonal rate to 14.7% over the last two weeks.

Jeremy Pena has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 105.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 91.2-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz as the 16th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average skill.

Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the majors’s 5th-best home run hitter.

Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Ronel Blanco in today’s game.

Yainer Diaz has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.2% seasonal rate to 13.2% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

In notching a .324 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Victor Caratini is ranked in the 75th percentile for offensive skills.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Yainer Diaz ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Ronel Blanco throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Brandon Marsh has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9.7% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past two weeks.

Alec Bohm has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 90.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best hitter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 47.1% on the season to 52.9% in the past 14 days.

Trea Turner has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 91.4-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Negative Match Player Stats with Astros vs Phillies

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Caratini in the 24th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Victor Caratini is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

The #5 ballpark in the league for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Citizens Bank Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to drop to the 5th-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Over the last 14 days, Bryce Harper’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.2% down to 0%.

Bryce Harper’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 13% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Bryce Harper has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 31.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly inflated relative to his 22.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ronel Blanco will have the handedness advantage against J.T. Realmuto in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Zack Wheeler throws from, Jeremy Pena will have a tough matchup today.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jeremy Pena in today’s matchup.

By putting up a 4.31 K/BB rate this year, Jeremy Pena has displayed bad plate discipline, ranking in the 13th percentile.

Bryson Stott is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Bryson Stott has paced 10.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 16th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Grading out in the 16th percentile, Bryson Stott has notched a .175 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Ben Gamel is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

This year, Ben Gamel has been pulled from the game early in 23% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Ben Gamel will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Jake Meyers is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Zack Wheeler will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Meyers today.

Austin Hays is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

This year, Austin Hays has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 14% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Hitting from the same side that Ronel Blanco throws from, Austin Hays will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Zack Wheeler will have the handedness advantage over Alex Bregman in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alex Bregman in today’s game.

In the last week, Alex Bregman’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 90.3 mph to 84.8 mph.

Batting from the same side that Ronel Blanco throws from, Nick Castellanos will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Nick Castellanos has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

In the past week’s worth of games, Nick Castellanos’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 90.3 mph to 80.1 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zack Wheeler as the 10th-best SP in the league currently.

Compared to their .326 overall projected rate, the .313 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Houston Astros projected batting order today suggests this version of the lineup significantly a bit watered down.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 6th-worst ballpark in MLB for batting average.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Meyers today.

Batting from the same side that Ronel Blanco throws from, Alec Bohm will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Alec Bohm has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last week.

Alec Bohm’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (4.6° over the last 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 9.2° seasonal figure.

Ronel Blanco will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Ronel Blanco’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.1 mph this year (92.7 mph) below where it was last season (93.8 mph).

Batting from the same side that Zack Wheeler throws from, Jose Altuve will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Altuve in today’s game.

Jose Altuve’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 92.9-mph mark last year has fallen off to 90.7-mph.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, J.T. Realmuto’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 20th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Victor Caratini in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Ronel Blanco throws from, Trea Turner faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

This year, there has been a decline in Trea Turner’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.23 ft/sec last year to 29.46 ft/sec currently.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.250) implies that Trea Turner has experienced some positive variance this year with his .302 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Ranking in the 17th percentile, Bryson Stott has put up a .265 BABIP this year.

Hitting from the same side that Zack Wheeler throws from, Yainer Diaz will not have the upper hand today.

Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Yainer Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 21.6% to 11.9%.

Kyle Schwarber has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 13.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past week.

Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 17.5% to 13.2%.

Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 43.6% on the season to 28.6% over the past two weeks.

The Philadelphia Phillies projected batting order profiles as the 2nd-strongest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.

In his last start, Ronel Blanco allowed a monstrous 5 earned runs.

Kyle Schwarber’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (3.9° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 13° seasonal mark.

In the past week, Victor Caratini’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.

Brandon Marsh is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Trea Turner has been cold of late, posting a 2.9% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) in the last two weeks.

Trea Turner has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .349 figure is quite a bit higher than his .309 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ronel Blanco’s high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (62.4% this year) should work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

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