Mariners vs Astros match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Sunday, August 16th

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SEA @ HOU

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Mariners @ Astros Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Sunday, August 16th
Time : 16/08/26 19:20:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Seattle Mariners Series Game 3 Game Today

When assessing his batting average skill, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,Jeremy Pena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Among all parks, Minute Maid Park’s left field dimensions are the shallowest.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Using Statcast metrics, Christian Walker grades out in the 78th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 26.400.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Josh Naylor is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Josh Naylor will have an advantage today.

,Josh Naylor has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 4.9% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last 7 days.

,Over the past 7 days, Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.3-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph recently.

,Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Victor Robles has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last year’s 87.5-mph EV.

,Victor Robles’s quickness has gotten better this year. His 28.08 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.55 ft/sec now.

,Minute Maid Park ranks as the #9 stadium in MLB for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Cole Young will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Brown in today’s game.

,The 2nd-best projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill belongs to the Houston Astros.

,It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Tripp Gibson) behind the plate in this game.

,Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryan Woo in today’s matchup.

,Daulton Varsho is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Considering Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Daulton Varsho will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Daulton Varsho has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 94.9-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal average of 90.7-mph.

,Cole Young’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Sporting a .271 batting average this year, Cole Young is ranked in the 82nd percentile.

,Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46.2% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Isaac Paredes will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,Isaac Paredes has posted a .342 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Trammell in the 79th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Taylor Trammell will have the handedness advantage over Bryan Woo in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Woo has a large platoon split.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Taylor Trammell will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Taylor Trammell has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 13% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week’s worth of games.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Minute Maid Park profiles as the #9 field in baseball for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Victor Robles has been unlucky this year, putting up a .251 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .042 difference.

,Victor Robles’s BABIP talent is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Cam Smith ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Cam Smith will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,In the past 7 days, Cam Smith’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.9% up to 22.2%.

,Over the last week, Cam Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 100.8-mph in recent games.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Christian Walker’s maximum exit velocity (a strong proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 110-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the league.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Dominic Canzone has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

,Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Dominic Canzone will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Dominic Canzone has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last year’s 94.1-mph figure.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Dominic Canzone’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.1-mph over the course of the season to 99.3-mph in recent games.

,Jose Altuve’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jose Altuve is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

,Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41.1% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Hunter Brown in this game.

,Batters such as Cal Raleigh with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Brown who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

,Cal Raleigh has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 95.5-mph in the past two weeks.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Cal Raleigh’s 31.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 22.4%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cal Raleigh’s true offensive talent to be a .332, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .076 deviation between that figure and his actual .256 wOBA.

,Over the past two weeks, Taylor Trammell’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.9-mph in recent games.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the league.

,Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in the majors.

,Given Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Yordan Alvarez will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,By putting up a .373 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Randy Arozarena is positioned in the 93rd percentile.

,Checking in at the 95th percentile, Randy Arozarena has notched a .291 batting average this year.

,The Seattle Mariners have been the unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season,Projected catcher Yainer Diaz grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Hunter Brown has relied on his sinker 5% more often this season (28.6%) than he did last year (23.6%).

,Cal Raleigh projects as the 9th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Brendan Donovan is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,Brendan Donovan will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Brown in today’s game.

,Brendan Donovan has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Hunter Brown in the 84th percentile among all starters in the majors.

,Hunter Brown has been granted a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, recording 4.5 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average pitcher.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the best venue in the game for strikeouts.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 10th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Julio Rodriguez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.7-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89.9-mph EV.

,Julio Rodriguez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 43.1% on the season to 60% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, posting a .325 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .350 — a .025 discrepancy.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Yainer Diaz will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,By putting up a .272 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Yainer Diaz grades out in the 78th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bryan Woo in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Bryan Woo has averaged 17.3 outs per game per started this year, placing in the 85th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,In the last two weeks, Julio Rodriguez’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Brendan Donovan has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 12.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount lower than his 18.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Cal Raleigh has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12.9% seasonal rate to 21.1% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,As it relates to his batting average, Brendan Donovan has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .280 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .303.

,Randy Arozarena’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 17.2% on the season to 23.1% over the past 7 days.

Negatives with the Houston Astros Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 2nd-worst venue in MLB for RHB batting average.

,Among all major league parks, the 3rd-highest fence height (on average) are at Minute Maid Park.

,Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

,The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

,Considering Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Jeremy Pena will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

,Christian Walker has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (90% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Bryan Woo will have the handedness advantage over Christian Walker in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Woo’s large platoon split.

,The #2 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Josh Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 82nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Victor Robles ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Victor Robles is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Cole Young is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bryan Woo as the 16th-best SP in the league right now.

,Cal Raleigh, the Mariners’s expected catcher today, profiles as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 4th-worst park in Major League Baseball for batting average.

,Christian Walker’s BABIP skill is projected in the 14th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Isaac Paredes’s BABIP skill is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Taylor Trammell is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

,This year, Taylor Trammell has been pulled from the game early in 22% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

,Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,There has been a decrease in Daulton Varsho’s average exit velocity this year, from 89.5 mph last year to 86.6 mph now,Hitting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Victor Robles meets a tough challenge today.

,Cam Smith is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

,Bryan Woo will hold the platoon advantage over Cam Smith in today’s game… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Woo’s large platoon split.

,Over the past 7 days, Christian Walker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.

,Dominic Canzone has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 25% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

,Bryan Woo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve today… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Woo’s large platoon split.

,Over the past 7 days, Jose Altuve’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.

,Over the past week, Jeremy Pena’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.2% down to 0%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Cal Raleigh is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Trammell in the 11th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Yordan Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 96.1-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 90.9-mph in the past 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Yordan Alvarez’s true offensive ability to be a .412, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .023 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .435 wOBA.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Naylor in today’s matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Randy Arozarena will have a tough challenge today.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Randy Arozarena today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Hunter Brown in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

,Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Hunter Brown will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brock Rodden in the 22nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Brock Rodden is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Brendan Donovan’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 89.7-mph mark last year has fallen to 84.9-mph.

,Given Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Isaac Paredes will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Julio Rodriguez meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Julio Rodriguez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Yainer Diaz is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

,Dominic Canzone hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

,Isaac Paredes has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 5.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last two weeks.

,Bryan Woo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yainer Diaz today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Woo’s large platoon split.

,Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.4% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

,Randy Arozarena’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 93.3-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 90.5-mph in the past 14 days.

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