
KC @ CLE






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Monday, August 26th
26/08/24 13:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Royals vs Guardians Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Andres Gimenez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.1-mph to 90.7-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Andres Gimenez has had bad variance on his side this year. His .275 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .308.
When it comes to his home run talent, MJ Melendez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
Nick Sandlin will hold the platoon advantage against MJ Melendez in today’s game.
MJ Melendez has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Maikel Garcia has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Maikel Garcia’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 11.5% to 16.2%.
As it relates to his batting average, Maikel Garcia has experienced some negative variance this year. His .235 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .279.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Lane Thomas ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
Lane Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans in today’s matchup.
Lane Thomas pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Nick Sandlin throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will be in a tough position in today’s game.
The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Vinnie Pasquantino stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Michael Massey is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.
The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.
Nick Sandlin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Massey today.
The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Massey can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
When estimating his home run ability, Jhonkensy Noel ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Jhonkensy Noel will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Jhonkensy Noel pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jhonkensy Noel will hold that advantage in today’s game.
In MLB, Progressive Field’s left field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.
Freddy Fermin pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Freddy Fermin has notched a .344 BABIP this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Jose Ramirez ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the league.
Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.
Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jose Ramirez will hold that advantage today.
Batting from the same side that Nick Sandlin throws from, Kyle Isbel will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
David Fry is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
David Fry will have the handedness advantage against Cole Ragans today.
David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
David Fry will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 4th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his batting average skill.
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.
Bobby Witt Jr. has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Michael Massey pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Steven Kwan’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.
Steven Kwan has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Bobby Witt Jr. has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last year’s 90.7-mph mark.
Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Paul DeJong has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.1% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past week.
Paul DeJong has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.8-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.8-mph.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Paul DeJong’s 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.1%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Salvador Perez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 95.1-mph in the last week.
There has been a significant improvement in Garrett Hampson’s launch angle from last season’s 11.5° to 17.4° this year.
Garrett Hampson has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 0.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit lower than his 9.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.98 ft/sec this year, Garrett Hampson is remarkably quick.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Steven Kwan will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Steven Kwan has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 87.7-mph average to last year’s 85.3-mph EV.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dairon Blanco in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Batting from the opposite that Nick Sandlin throws from, Dairon Blanco will have an edge in today’s game.
Sporting a .320 BABIP since the start of last season, Dairon Blanco is positioned in the 80th percentile.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Josh Naylor ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Naylor is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.
Josh Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Josh Naylor will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Austin Hedges will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans in today’s game.
Austin Hedges pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Austin Hedges will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Austin Hedges’s launch angle this season (20.1°) is quite a bit better than his 15.7° angle last year.
Tyler Freeman’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Tyler Freeman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans today.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Tyler Freeman will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Tyler Freeman’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 87.8-mph now compared to just 85.8-mph then.
Garrett Hampson’s BABIP talent is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Posting a .318 BABIP this year, Garrett Hampson is positioned in the 77th percentile.
Salvador Perez, the Royals’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for walks.
Cole Ragans will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Cole Ragans’s 94.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1.1-mph decline from last year’s 96-mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Maikel Garcia has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .272 figure is deflated compared to his .309 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 10th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Tyler Freeman ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Cole Ragans has averaged 98.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 99th percentile.
As it relates to his strikeout talent, Cole Ragans projects as the 10th-best starting pitcher in MLB currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Cole Ragans was rolling in his last outing and accumulated 9 strikeouts.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Negative Match Player Stats with Royals vs Guardians
Andres Gimenez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Progressive Field projects as the #24 stadium in MLB for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Progressive Field has the 7th-deepest CF fences among all major league parks.
Among all major league stadiums, the 4th-highest average fence height are at Progressive Field.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 7th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for MJ Melendez today.
MJ Melendez’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 93.2-mph figure last year has dropped to 91-mph.
Maikel Garcia has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
The #4 field in baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.
Batting from the opposite that Nick Sandlin throws from, Maikel Garcia will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Lane Thomas has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last two weeks.
Lane Thomas’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 94.8-mph mark last season has lowered to 89.4-mph.
The Cleveland Guardians infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best out of every team on the slate today.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 21st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Michael Massey will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Michael Massey’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.5% down to 0%.
Jhonkensy Noel is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jhonkensy Noel’s true offensive ability to be a .300, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .093 difference between that figure and his actual .393 wOBA.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Tyler Gentry ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Tyler Gentry is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Freddy Fermin is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Nick Sandlin throws from, Freddy Fermin will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
In the last 7 days, Jose Ramirez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%.
Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 91.1-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 84-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
Kyle Isbel’s BABIP ability is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kyle Isbel is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.
This year, David Fry has been pinch hit for in 14% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.
David Fry has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 7 days.
In the last week, Vinnie Pasquantino’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.3% down to 0%.
Bobby Witt Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Sandlin today.
Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Despite posting a .417 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bobby Witt Jr. has been very fortunate given the .040 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .377.
Freddy Fermin will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Cole Ragans will have the handedness advantage against Steven Kwan in today’s game.
In the last 7 days, Steven Kwan’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 87.7 mph to 83.6 mph.
Steven Kwan’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 18.5% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
Despite posting a .357 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Steven Kwan has had positive variance on his side given the .047 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul DeJong in the 7th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Paul DeJong is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
This year, Paul DeJong has been pinch hit for in 11% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today.
Batting from the opposite that Nick Sandlin throws from, Paul DeJong will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Nick Sandlin throws from, Salvador Perez will have the upper hand in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 15th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Garrett Hampson is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.
This year, Garrett Hampson has been pulled from the game early in 50% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Dairon Blanco is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.
25% of the time that Dairon Blanco has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
Batting from the same side that Cole Ragans throws from, Josh Naylor meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
Josh Naylor has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 8.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hedges in the 0th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Austin Hedges is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
Austin Hedges has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 30% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year.
Tyler Freeman is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.
In today’s matchup, Tyler Freeman is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.2% rate (93rd percentile).
Hitting from the opposite that Nick Sandlin throws from, Garrett Hampson will have an advantage today.
Today, Garrett Hampson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.7% rate (89th percentile).
Cole Ragans projects as the 13th-best pitcher in MLB currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Cole Ragans has a large reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 6 opposite-handed hitters today.
Among all starting pitchers, Cole Ragans’s fastball spin rate of 2548 rpm is in the 96th percentile this year.
David Fry’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 88.1-mph seasonal average has decreased to 78.7-mph in the past 7 days.
Despite posting a .348 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes David Fry has been very fortunate given the .040 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.
Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Josh Naylor has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph dropping to 82.4-mph in the past week.
Josh Naylor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 15% on the season to 0% over the past week.
In today’s matchup, Dairon Blanco is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 41.2% rate (100th percentile).
In the last week, Jose Ramirez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16%.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Maikel Garcia in today’s game.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.254) provides evidence that Salvador Perez has experienced some positive variance this year with his .274 actual batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 12th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 44.3% to 38.4%.
Jose Ramirez has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .359 figure is considerably higher than his .336 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
There has been a decrease in Austin Hedges’s average exit velocity this year, from 87.2 mph last year to 83.3 mph now, When assessing his home run ability, Andres Gimenez ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the same side that Cole Ragans throws from, Andres Gimenez has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Andres Gimenez’s launch angle this season (8.8°) is quite a bit worse than his 12.9° mark last year.
The Cleveland Guardians (19.4 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy team of batters on the slate today.
Over the past 7 days, Vinnie Pasquantino’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 92.5 mph to 82.2 mph.
Tyler Freeman’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 47.2% to 41.3%.
Tyler Freeman’s 3.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 10th percentile this year.
Sporting a .280 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, MJ Melendez grades out in the 17th percentile.
Batting from the opposite that Nick Sandlin throws from, Tyler Gentry will have an edge in today’s game.
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