Mariners @ Astros Matchup Details

Positives for the Seattle Mariners Game Today

Cole Young’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Cole Young is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Cole Young will have the handedness advantage over Peter Lambert in today’s matchup.

,Cole Young has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 91.9-mph in the last two weeks.

,Ranking in the 84th percentile, Cole Young sports a .272 batting average this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

,Josh Naylor will hold the platoon advantage over Peter Lambert today.

,Josh Naylor has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 4.9% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past 7 days.

,Josh Naylor has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 89.3-mph.

,Josh Naylor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 16.5% on the season to 33.3% in the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty home runs.

,Yainer Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,Randy Arozarena has put up a .370 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile.

,Grading out in the 83rd percentile, Randy Arozarena has notched a .466 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

,Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.

,Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46.3% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.

,Isaac Paredes will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Isaac Paredes has compiled a .345 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 79th percentile.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The #10 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert in today’s game.

,Brendan Donovan has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Brendan Donovan has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 12.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 18.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the majors.

,Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Minute Maid Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers.

,Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Cal Raleigh projects as the 8th-best home run hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Peter Lambert in today’s game.

,Cal Raleigh has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 13.1% seasonal rate to 25% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Cal Raleigh has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 93.7-mph in the past 14 days.

,Brendan Donovan’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Posting a .366 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Brendan Donovan is ranked in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability.

,When it comes to his batting average talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 10th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Julio Rodriguez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.8-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal EV of 93-mph.

,Julio Rodriguez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 43.2% on the season to 66.7% in the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Julio Rodriguez’s true offensive talent to be a .348, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .026 deviation between that figure and his actual .322 wOBA.

,Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Taylor Trammell will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Taylor Trammell will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,In the past 14 days, Taylor Trammell’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph lately.

,This year, the hardest ball Taylor Trammell has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.3 mph (an advanced metric to study power), grading out in the 91st percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Cam Smith will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,Over the last 7 days, Cam Smith’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.8% up to 50%.

,Cam Smith has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.6-mph EV.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Dominic Canzone has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert today.

,Sporting a .298 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Dominic Canzone is ranked in the 97th percentile.

,Checking in at the 88th percentile, Dominic Canzone has notched a .357 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Jeremy Pena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Nick Allen will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage today.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage today.

,Daulton Varsho has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 90.6-mph.

,When assessing his home run skill, Taylor Trammell ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 17th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Sporting a .372 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Dominic Canzone grades out in the 96th percentile for offensive skills.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 24.7°, Cal Raleigh has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 27.9° figure in the last 14 days.

,Cal Raleigh has been unlucky this year, compiling a .256 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .074 discrepancy.

,With a .358 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Cal Raleigh grades out in the 88th percentile for offensive ability.

,Peter Lambert has averaged 93.3 adjusted pitches per GS this year, grading out in the 84th percentile.

,The #1 park in the game for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Peter Lambert has a reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 6 opposite-handed batters in this game.

,Colt Emerson will have the handedness advantage over Peter Lambert today.

,Over the last week, Colt Emerson’s 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46%.

,Despite posting a .259 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Colt Emerson has had bad variance on his side given the .028 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .287.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 4th-worst field in Major League Baseball for batting average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Over the past week, Taylor Ward’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.8% up to 14.3%.

,Taylor Ward has been unlucky this year, compiling a .324 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .340 — a .016 gap.

,Taylor Ward’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 47.9% on the season to 56.5% in the last two weeks.

,Randy Arozarena has posted a .291 batting average this year, placing in the 94th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 76th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Julio Rodriguez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Julio Rodriguez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 14.9% on the season to 23.1% over the past two weeks.

,Yainer Diaz’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Posting a .272 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Yainer Diaz is positioned in the 78th percentile.

,Over the last 14 days, Colt Emerson’s 22.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.2%.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.303) suggests that Brendan Donovan has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .282 actual batting average.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,George Kirby has averaged 92.6 adjusted pitches per start this year, placing in the 82nd percentile.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.

,The 5th-best projected lineup of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Houston Astros.

,The Houston Astros as a unit rank 2nd- overall in Major League Baseball this year when it comes to the maximum exit velocity of all of the balls their [HITTER}s have hit.

Negatives with the Houston Astros Game Today

The #7 field in the league for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,The league’s 3rd-highest average fence height can be found at Minute Maid Park.

,Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense.

,The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

,Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Josh Naylor is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,Yainer Diaz is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

,George Kirby will have the handedness advantage over Yainer Diaz today.

,Peter Lambert will have the handedness advantage against Randy Arozarena in today’s matchup.

,Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Brendan Donovan is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brendan Donovan today.

,In the last 14 days, Yordan Alvarez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 18.1% down to 12.9%.

,In the last week, Yordan Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 96.2 mph to 87 mph.

,Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,Today, Cal Raleigh is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 43.3% rate (100th percentile).

,Minute Maid Park profiles as the #27 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Hitting from the same side that Peter Lambert throws from, Julio Rodriguez will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,Today, Julio Rodriguez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.8% rate (90th percentile).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Trammell in the 11th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Taylor Trammell is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

,Taylor Trammell has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 22% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

,Cam Smith is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

,Minute Maid Park profiles as the #27 venue in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Dominic Canzone hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Dominic Canzone will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Over the last 14 days, Yordan Alvarez’s 6.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 20.9%.

,Hitting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage today.

,Over the last 7 days, Jeremy Pena’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Nick Allen is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

,This year, Nick Allen has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 21% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 6th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Cal Raleigh’s BABIP ability is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Yainer Diaz, the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Peter Lambert has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting an 8.79 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.05 — a 0.73 K/9 difference.

,Cole Young will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Colt Emerson is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Colt Emerson today.

,Hitting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Cam Smith encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,The 3rd-best projected offense of all teams today in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Seattle Mariners.

,The Seattle Mariners have been the unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games,Among all parks, Minute Maid Park’s LF dimensions are the shallowest.

,Given the 1.45 disparity between Peter Lambert’s 3.09 ERA and his 4.54 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year and should negatively regress in the future.

,Josh Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 82nd percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Peter Lambert will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taylor Ward today.

,In today’s matchup, Taylor Ward is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.9% rate (91st percentile).

,There has been a decrease in Daulton Varsho’s average exit velocity this year, from 89.5 mph last year to 86.4 mph now,George Kirby will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Isaac Paredes today.

,Peter Lambert will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his metrics across the board.

,Colt Emerson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 5.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 4th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Over the last 14 days, Isaac Paredes’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.

,Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for George Kirby today.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, George Kirby’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 80th percentile among all starting pitchers in the league right now.

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