
KC @ NYY






Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 10th
10/09/24 19:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Royals vs Yankees Series Game 2 Series Game 2 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.
Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.
Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the majors.
Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.
Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Tommy Pham is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
Over the past 7 days, Tommy Pham’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.2% up to 15.4%.
In the last 7 days, Tommy Pham’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 104.9-mph recently.
Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Anthony Rizzo will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Anthony Rizzo pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Anthony Rizzo will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge today.
The New York Yankees infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams playing today.
Placing in the 89th percentile, Freddy Fermin sports a .331 BABIP this year.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jasson Dominguez ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Seth Lugo.
Jasson Dominguez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Salvador Perez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Batters such as Salvador Perez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Marcus Stroman who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.
Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Marcus Stroman (50.5% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 5 FB hitters in Kansas City’s projected offense.
In his previous game started, Marcus Stroman conceded a whopping 5 earned runs.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Seth Lugo in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.
Throwing 96.4 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Seth Lugo places him the 93rd percentile.
In his last GS, Seth Lugo was on point and gave up 1 ER.
Compared to his seasonal average of 15.2°, Anthony Rizzo has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.2° angle in the last two weeks.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, MJ Melendez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
MJ Melendez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (61% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.
MJ Melendez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman today.
MJ Melendez pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Michael Massey will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Michael Massey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
Extreme flyball batters like Michael Massey generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Marcus Stroman.
Michael Massey has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.3-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 89.2-mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage today.
Marcus Stroman has averaged 93.4 adjusted pitches per GS this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.
Marcus Stroman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats in all categories.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the game.
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
Bobby Witt Jr. has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Extreme groundball batters like Bobby Witt Jr. generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Marcus Stroman.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Salvador Perez has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 13.1% seasonal rate to 20% over the past two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Kyle Isbel will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Stroman in today’s matchup.
Kyle Isbel’s launch angle lately (21.4° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably better than his 9° seasonal figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Austin Wells has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (61% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today’s game.
Aaron Judge’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 20.2% on the season to 9.1% in the last 7 days.
Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
When it comes to his batting average skill, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Austin Wells will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Given the 0.7 deviation between Seth Lugo’s 7.69 K/9 and his 8.39 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year when it comes to strikeouts and should positively regress going forward.
Aaron Judge’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 44.4% on the season to 66.7% over the past week.
Negative Match Player Stats with Royals vs Yankees Series Game 2
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Yankee Stadium as the 8th-worst field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.
Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Over the last week, Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.4% down to 0%.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 94.8-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 89.8-mph over the past 7 days.
Among all parks, Yankee Stadium’s centerfield dimensions are the 5th-deepest.
Seth Lugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Judge today.
In the last week, Aaron Judge’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 26.4% down to 16.7%.
Batting from the same side that Marcus Stroman throws from, Tommy Pham has a tough challenge in today’s game.
In today’s game, Tommy Pham is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.3% rate (95th percentile).
Extreme flyball bats like Tommy Pham usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Marcus Stroman.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Rizzo in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Anthony Rizzo is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
When assessing his home run ability, Freddy Fermin ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Freddy Fermin is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.
The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.
Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Gleyber Torres will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.
Gleyber Torres has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 6.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (13.3°) is quite a bit worse than his 17.6° angle last year.
Jasson Dominguez is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Batting from the same side that Marcus Stroman throws from, Salvador Perez encounters a tough challenge today.
Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
The Kansas City Royals have been the 9th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games, Projected catcher Austin Wells projects as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Marcus Stroman is an extreme groundball pitcher (50.5% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Yankee Stadium — the #4 HR venue among all major league parks — today.
The 2nd-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the New York Yankees.
With 7 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Seth Lugo will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.
Anthony Rizzo’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 89.9-mph EV last year has fallen off to 86.5-mph.
Anthony Rizzo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 17% to 10.3%.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for MJ Melendez in today’s matchup.
MJ Melendez’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 93.2-mph figure last season has dropped to 91-mph.
Michael Massey is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Michael Massey will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
There has been a significant decline in Michael Massey’s launch angle from last season’s 19.6° to 16.3° this year.
The #7 park in the league for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.
Seth Lugo’s 2367-rpm spin rate on his fastball this season is a big 100-rpm rise from last year’s 2267-rpm figure.
When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Marcus Stroman in the 18th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.
Marcus Stroman’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.5 mph this season (89.4 mph) below where it was last season (90.9 mph).
Marcus Stroman has compiled an 8% Swinging Strike rate this year, grading out in the 5th percentile.
Marcus Stroman has notched a 16.6% Strikeout% this year, ranking in the 7th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 17th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Batting from the same side that Marcus Stroman throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will be in a tough position in today’s game.
Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.9-mph dropping to 90.6-mph over the past 14 days.
Hitting from the same side that Marcus Stroman throws from, Freddy Fermin will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 19th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Kyle Isbel is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
11% of the time that Austin Wells has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.
In the past week’s worth of games, Austin Wells’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.9% down to 0%.
Kyle Isbel will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Over the past two weeks, Kyle Isbel’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 89.7 mph to 85.7 mph.
Aaron Judge’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 100.1-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 97.1-mph in the last 14 days.
Over the last 7 days, Austin Wells’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.8%.
Seth Lugo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Seth Lugo’s 91.6-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.2-mph decline from last year’s 92.8-mph figure.
Seth Lugo’s curveball usage has fallen by 12.5% from last year to this one (29.3% to 16.8%) .
Compared to his seasonal angle of 10.6°, Juan Soto has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.6°) over the past 14 days.
Checking in at the 21st percentile, MJ Melendez has posted a .288 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Gleyber Torres’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 92.9-mph mark last season has dropped to 90.5-mph.
Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
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