Royals @ Rockies Matchup Details

Positives for the Kansas City Royals Game Today

Coors Field grades out as the #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.

,High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 86°.

,Josh Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today.

,The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Rojas has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

,Willi Castro is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Coors Field grades out as the #1 ballpark in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Michael Wacha in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his home run skill, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Mickey Moniak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today’s matchup.

,Ezequiel Tovar will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

,Despite posting a .247 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ezequiel Tovar has had bad variance on his side given the .049 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.

,Cole Carrigg is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Cole Carrigg will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Compared to last season, Nick Loftin has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.9% to 21.9% this season.

,Over the past 14 days, Nick Loftin’s 50% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.9%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as Major League Baseball’s 14th-best home run hitter.

,Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,Jake McCarthy is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

,Jake McCarthy will have the handedness advantage against Michael Wacha today.

,T.J. Rumfield is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Coors Field grades out as the #5 stadium in MLB for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, T.J. Rumfield will have an edge in today’s game.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Jac Caglianone ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jac Caglianone is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Coors Field grades out as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Tyler Tolbert’s speed has improved this season. His 28.91 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.48 ft/sec now.

,Tyler Tolbert has put up a .286 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the 5th-best venue in the league for righty home runs.

,Nick Loftin has displayed good plate discipline this year, placing in the 89th percentile with a 1.48 K/BB rate.

,Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Salvador Perez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.1% seasonal rate to 17.2% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Carter Jensen is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Carter Jensen will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carter Jensen in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Tomoyuki Sugano will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Tomoyuki Sugano’s 2415-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 81st percentile out of all starting pitchers.

,Tomoyuki Sugano has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 5.25 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.16 — a 0.91 K/9 gap.

,Jac Caglianone will have the handedness advantage over Tomoyuki Sugano in today’s game.

,Michael Massey has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

,Michael Massey will have the handedness advantage over Tomoyuki Sugano in today’s game.

,The Kansas City Royals projected offense profiles as the 2nd-weakest on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.

,Tomoyuki Sugano was in good form in his last outing and gave up 1 ER.

,Kansas City has performed as the #26 squad in the league when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (42.4% rate this year).

,Michael Wacha will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Among all starting pitchers, Michael Wacha’s fastball velocity of 92.5 mph ranks in the 17th percentile this year.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Michael Wacha has been granted more leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying 5.1 more adjusted pitches-per-start than league average.

,In his last outing, Michael Wacha turned in a great performance and posted 7 strikeouts.

,With a 0.56 gap between Michael Wacha’s 7.07 K/9 and his 7.63 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see positive regression the rest of the season.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Colorado Rockies Game Today

Josh Rojas’s BABIP skill is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Josh Rojas is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

,25% of the time that Josh Rojas has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Rojas in today’s matchup.

,There has been a decrease in Josh Rojas’s average exit velocity this season, from 89.6 mph last year to 84.7 mph now,Willi Castro has displayed weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 18th percentile with a 3.62 K/BB rate.

,Mickey Moniak has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (87% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

,This year, Mickey Moniak has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 20% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

,Despite posting a .371 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mickey Moniak has had positive variance on his side given the .049 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.

,In terms of plate discipline, Mickey Moniak’s ability is quite bad, sporting a 5.14 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 4th percentile.

,Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Michael Wacha will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today’s matchup.

,Over the past two weeks, Ezequiel Tovar’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.6% down to 0%.

,Ezequiel Tovar’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 89.5-mph average last season has decreased to 87.3-mph.

,In the past week, Ezequiel Tovar’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18%.

,In the past 14 days, Cole Carrigg’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.8% down to 0%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cole Carrigg’s true offensive talent to be a .299, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .077 deviation between that figure and his actual .376 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Loftin in the 22nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Nick Loftin is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Nick Loftin will be in a tough position today.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nick Loftin in today’s matchup.

,Nick Loftin has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph dropping to 83.4-mph over the last 14 days.

,Michael Wacha will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Goodman in today’s matchup.

,Hunter Goodman has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 17.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Hunter Goodman’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 90.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 78-mph over the past week.

,Despite posting a .367 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Hunter Goodman has experienced some positive variance given the .039 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

,Posting a .217 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Hunter Goodman is positioned in the 11th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 10th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,When starting against a northpaw this year, Jake McCarthy has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 18% of the time.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Jake McCarthy’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%.

,Jake McCarthy has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.1-mph dropping to 80.9-mph in the past week.

,In the past week, Jake McCarthy’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.4%.

,T.J. Rumfield has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 5.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week.

,T.J. Rumfield has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 83.8-mph dropping to 81-mph over the past 7 days.

,T.J. Rumfield has been lucky this year, putting up a .367 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .298 — a .069 gap.

,T.J. Rumfield’s 83.8-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in MLB this year: 2nd percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Rumfield in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jac Caglianone today.

,Jac Caglianone’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, decreasing from 11.6% on the season to 0% over the last week.

,Jac Caglianone has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 12th percentile with a 4.03 K/BB rate.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Tyler Tolbert ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Tyler Tolbert is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

,30% of the time that Tyler Tolbert has started against a righty hurler since the start of last season, he has been pinch hit for.

,Tomoyuki Sugano will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Tolbert today.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyler Tolbert in today’s matchup.

,Isaac Collins is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

,The switch-hitting Isaac Collins will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Tomoyuki Sugano,Isaac Collins will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Isaac Collins’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.4-mph figure last year has decreased to 87.1-mph.

,Isaac Collins’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 87.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 84-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 9th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Hitting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Salvador Perez encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Salvador Perez in today’s game.

,Salvador Perez has displayed weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 4th percentile with a 5.26 K/BB rate.

,Checking in at the 2nd percentile, Salvador Perez has posted a .233 BABIP this year.

,Carter Jensen will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Carter Jensen has displayed weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 24th percentile with a 3.24 K/BB rate.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Tolbert in the 10th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Isaac Collins’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 45.1% to 39.1%.

,When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Tomoyuki Sugano in the 4th percentile among all SPs in MLB.

,Coors Field projects as the #30 venue in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,With 6 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Tomoyuki Sugano will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

,24% of the time that Michael Massey has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,Michael Massey will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Michael Massey’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 89.9-mph seasonal average has dropped to 85.8-mph over the last 14 days.

,Michael Massey’s launch angle this year (17.1°) is significantly worse than his 21.8° mark last year.

,Using Statcast metrics, Michael Massey grades out in the 12th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .232.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Tomoyuki Sugano’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 4th percentile out of all SPs in Major League Baseball right now.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best field in the majors for batting average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 13th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Michael Wacha in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.

,The 3rd-worst projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Colorado Rockies.

,Due to his large reverse platoon split, Michael Wacha will benefit from squaring off against 6 hitters in the projected lineup of opposing handedness in today’s outing.

,Michael Wacha was rolling in his previous start and conceded 0 ER.

,Colorado’s 87.7-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the worst in the majors: #30 overall.

,Sporting a .246 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Josh Rojas has performed in the 17th percentile for offensive skills.

,Salvador Perez has put up a .273 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 8th percentile.

,Despite posting a .352 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake McCarthy has had positive variance on his side given the .054 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .298.

,Sporting a 4.02 K/BB rate this year, Hunter Goodman has demonstrated poor plate discipline, ranking in the 12th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Loftin in the 25th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

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