Reds vs Cardinals match player stats Tuesday, September 10th 2024. Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals

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Reds vs Cardinals match player stats Tuesday, September 10th 2024. Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals

CIN @ STL

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Todays Matchup Details

Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals

Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 10th
10/09/24 19:45:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Reds vs Cardinals Matchup Today

TJ Friedl is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games today.

TJ Friedl will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today’s game.

TJ Friedl’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (9.3°) is considerably higher than his 5.8° angle last season.

In terms of his batting average, TJ Friedl has been unlucky this year. His .218 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233.

Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.

Andre Pallante allowed a whopping 5 earned runs in his last GS.

Andre Pallante’s high utilization rate of his fastball (69.8% this year) is likely hurting his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

The Cincinnati Reds have done a favorable job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-hit balls. Their 16.3° figure is among the highest in Major League Baseball this year (#2 overall).

Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today’s matchup.

Jake Fraley’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 14.2% on the season to 23.5% over the past two weeks.

Grading out in the 85th percentile, Jake Fraley sports a .324 BABIP this year.

Masyn Winn is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Masyn Winn has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph to 90.4-mph in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Andre Pallante in this game.

Michael Siani will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhett Lowder today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Michael Siani will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge in today’s game.

Noelvi Marte hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Noelvi Marte has been unlucky this year, notching a .234 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .290 — a .056 discrepancy.

This year, the hardest ball Noelvi Marte has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 111.5 mph (a reliable standard to evaluate power), placing in the 78th percentile.

In the last 7 days, Elly De La Cruz’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13% up to 22.2%.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Spencer Steer’s launch angle of late (28.4° in the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 16.7° seasonal angle.

Among all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

In notching a .335 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Tyler Stephenson finds himself in the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Alec Burleson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Andre Pallante has averaged 92.1 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, ranking in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.

Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Santiago Espinal’s launch angle this year (14.4°) is significantly higher than his 11.3° mark last year.

Santiago Espinal’s launch angle recently (20.7° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 14.4° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Ty France is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

Ty France has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.9-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal average of 93.5-mph.

With 6 batters who share the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Rhett Lowder figures to benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

Jose Fermin will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jose Fermin has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season’s 28.21 ft/sec to 29.01 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Fermin has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .244 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .303.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Nolan Arenado will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario as the 16th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Amed Rosario hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Amed Rosario has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.2-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 87-mph mark.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ty France ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Paul Goldschmidt will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Ty France’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (15.8°) is quite a bit better than his 11.2° mark last season.

Jordan Walker’s BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage today.

Jordan Walker has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.2-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal EV of 93.1-mph.

Spencer Steer has displayed good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile with a 1.86 K/BB rate.

Amed Rosario has put up a .360 BABIP this year, ranking in the 98th percentile.

In the past week’s worth of games, Nolan Arenado’s 71.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.1%.

As it relates to his home runs, Amed Rosario has experienced some negative variance this year. His 5.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 8.7.

Negative Match Player Stats with Reds vs Cardinals

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 7th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for TJ Friedl today.

Over the last 7 days, TJ Friedl’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 88.3 mph to 85.1 mph.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 16.9°, TJ Friedl has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4°) over the past two weeks.

Busch Stadium grades out as the #28 park in baseball for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums.

Andre Pallante will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his metrics across the board.

Cincinnati Reds batters jointly rank near the bottom of Major League Baseball this year ( 2nd-worst) when it comes to their 87.8-mph average exit velocity.

Busch Stadium profiles as the #27 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When assessing his home run talent, Jake Fraley ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Fraley is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

15% of the time that Jake Fraley has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

When it comes to his home run ability, Masyn Winn ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #3 field in the majors for suppressing home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

HRs are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all stadiums.

Rhett Lowder will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Masyn Winn in today’s game.

Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 89.7-mph mark last season has fallen to 87.7-mph.

Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Elly De La Cruz’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (5.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.8°.

Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, notching a .351 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .018 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Siani in the 4th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Michael Siani is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Michael Siani has been pinch hit for 35% of the time.

Today, Michael Siani is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39.6% rate (97th percentile).

Lars Nootbaar has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 9.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 5.1°, Lars Nootbaar has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.7°) over the past 14 days.

Noelvi Marte is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Noelvi Marte will be in a tough position today.

Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Utilizing Statcast data, Noelvi Marte ranks in the 9th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .233.

Andre Pallante will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Steer in today’s matchup.

Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Spencer Steer will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Spencer Steer has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 14 days.

Andre Pallante will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Stephenson in today’s game.

Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Tyler Stephenson has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 7 days.

Tyler Stephenson’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 90.1-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 81.1-mph in the past week.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Alec Burleson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 10% of the time.

Today, Alec Burleson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.5% rate (80th percentile).

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.5) implies that Alec Burleson has had some very good luck this year with his 23.8 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Andre Pallante in the 9th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the 3rd-worst ballpark in MLB for strikeouts.

Andre Pallante has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 6.57 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.47 — a 0.10 K/9 difference.

Hitting from the same side that Rhett Lowder throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will not have the upper hand today.

Paul Goldschmidt has displayed bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 18th percentile with a 3.94 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 7th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Santiago Espinal is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Santiago Espinal faces a tough challenge today.

Santiago Espinal has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Ty France will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ty France today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhett Lowder to throw 78 pitches in this matchup (3rd-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Rhett Lowder will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 19th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Jose Fermin is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Rhett Lowder throws from, Jose Fermin will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Jose Fermin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Rhett Lowder will hold the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado today.

Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.8% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 88.8-mph EV last season has dropped off to 86.1-mph.

Amed Rosario is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Amed Rosario meets a tough challenge today.

Extreme groundball hitters like Amed Rosario tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andre Pallante.

Amed Rosario will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Ty France’s launch angle recently (9.3° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit lower than his 12.9° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 12th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Santiago Espinal will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Santiago Espinal’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 86.3-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 83.6-mph in the past 7 days.

Jordan Walker is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Jordan Walker has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 18% of the time.

Hitting from the same side that Rhett Lowder throws from, Jordan Walker has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Spencer Steer’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 91.5-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 85.4-mph over the last two weeks.

Amed Rosario’s launch angle this year (3.6°) is quite a bit worse than his 7.5° angle last year.

Jake Fraley will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Jake Fraley’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 83.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 80.9-mph over the past 7 days.

Nolan Arenado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 17.1% to 13.8%.

Noelvi Marte is in the 19th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (37% rate this year).

When assessing his home run skill, Amed Rosario ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Siani’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 84.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 82.2-mph in the last week.

Over the last two weeks, Nolan Arenado’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (7.8°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 13.2°.

Andre Pallante has notched an 8.4% Swinging Strike% this year, grading out in the 10th percentile.

Masyn Winn’s launch angle lately (1° over the last week) is considerably lower than his 12.9° seasonal figure.

Despite posting a .316 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Masyn Winn has had positive variance on his side given the .026 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

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