Red Sox vs Rays match player stats Tuesday, September 17th 2024. Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

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Red Sox vs Rays match player stats Tuesday, September 17th 2024. Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

BOS @ TB

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Todays Matchup Details

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 17th
17/09/24 18:50:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Red Sox vs Rays Matchup Today

Tyler O’Neill projects as the 10th-best home run batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler O’Neill is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Tyler O’Neill pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Tyler O’Neill has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 17% seasonal rate to 36.4% in the last week.

Tyler O’Neill has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.2-mph average to last season’s 92.8-mph mark.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 18th-best batter in Major League Baseball.

Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Baz in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, Rafael Devers grades out in the 81st percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .272.

Checking in at the 93rd percentile, Rafael Devers has posted a .367 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 76th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Among all major league stadiums, Tropicana Field’s LF fences are the 4th-shallowest.

Trevor Story’s launch angle this year (19°) is significantly higher than his 15.2° angle last year.

Trevor Story’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (25° in the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 21.7° seasonal figure.

As it relates to his home runs, Trevor Story has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His 10.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.6.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Josh Lowe is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Josh Lowe will have the upper hand today.

Josh Lowe will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Josh Lowe has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph dropping to 87.9-mph over the past 7 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.8) suggests that Josh Lowe has had some very poor luck this year with his 15.7 actual HR/600.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Masataka Yoshida ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Masataka Yoshida has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand in today’s game.

There has been a significant improvement in Masataka Yoshida’s launch angle from last season’s 3.9° to 9.9° this year.

Masataka Yoshida’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (31.6° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 11.7° seasonal mark.

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball.

With 6 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Shane Baz will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Shane Baz has been lucky this year, putting up a 3.28 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.49 — a 1.21 difference.

Shane Baz has compiled a .252 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the game on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Boston Red Sox hitters as a group place 4th- in the majors for power this year when judging by their 92.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Nick Pivetta’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 77th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball right now.

In his last outing, Nick Pivetta was rolling and allowed 1 ER.

Nick Pivetta’s slider rate has increased by 12.3% from last season to this one (17.4% to 29.7%) .

Nick Pivetta has been unlucky this year, notching a 4.24 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.13 — a 0.11 difference.

Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jonathan Aranda will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal average of 12.4°, Jonathan Aranda has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 23.8° angle over the past 7 days.

Jonathan Aranda has been hot lately, posting a 95.4-mph average exit velocity over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Jose Caballero is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.8% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jose Caballero will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jose Caballero has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 87-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 83.9-mph mark.

This season, Jose Caballero has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90.4 mph compared to last year’s 87.7 mph mark.

Ben Rortvedt will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Pivetta today.

Ben Rortvedt has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Ben Rortvedt will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Ben Rortvedt’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (32.2° in the last 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 9.5° seasonal mark.

With a .382 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Rafael Devers has performed in the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Baz today.

Wilyer Abreu has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 91.8-mph mark.

Placing in the 90th percentile, Wilyer Abreu has posted a .354 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like Junior Caminero generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Pivetta.

Junior Caminero will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

In the last week, Junior Caminero’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.2% up to 15.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz in today’s game.

Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

This season, Jarren Duran has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.1 mph compared to last year’s 90.3 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 15th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Wilyer Abreu has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 22.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal lower than his 28.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Brandon Lowe has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.9% seasonal rate to 20% over the past week.

Junior Caminero has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.6-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 89.3-mph EV.

Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Triston Casas will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Triston Casas has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 103-mph in the past week.

Triston Casas has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.6-mph average to last year’s 95.1-mph figure.

In notching a .328 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Triston Casas has performed in the 78th percentile.

Sporting a .316 BABIP since the start of last season, Triston Casas is positioned in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O’Neill in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

The Boston Red Sox have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Wilyer Abreu, Trevor Story, Triston Casas, Tyler O’Neill).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

Shane Baz’s 2413-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 84th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Posting a .320 BABIP this year, Ben Rortvedt finds himself in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Triston Casas has averaged 27.9 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 88th percentile for power.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Trevor Story has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .259 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .283.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Wilyer Abreu has notched a .342 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nick Pivetta in the 94th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Christopher Morel, Josh Lowe, Jose Siri).

In his last game started, Nick Pivetta performed well and notched 9 strikeouts.

Negative Match Player Stats with Red Sox vs Rays

Batting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Tyler O’Neill will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyler O’Neill in today’s game.

Tyler O’Neill has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .372 figure is quite a bit higher than his .332 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #3 venue in baseball for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

Rafael Devers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 9th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Rafael Devers in today’s game.

Rafael Devers has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 13.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 5.9% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Rafael Devers’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 95.5-mph seasonal average has lowered to 93.1-mph in the past two weeks.

Trevor Story has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

14% of the time that Trevor Story has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Hitting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Trevor Story meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Trevor Story will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

This year, Josh Lowe has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 19% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 5th-worst park in the majors for lefty batting average.

Josh Lowe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past week, Josh Lowe’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.2% down to 0%.

Josh Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 13.1% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

As it relates to plate discipline, Josh Lowe’s skill is quite poor, posting a 3.6 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 25th percentile.

Masataka Yoshida hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-deepest CF fences today.

Masataka Yoshida will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Masataka Yoshida has been cold in recent games, putting up a 86.3-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Masataka Yoshida’s true offensive talent to be a .330, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .020 gap between that figure and his actual .350 wOBA.

It may be wise to expect worse numbers for the Boston Red Sox offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 3rd-worst ballpark in baseball for base hits.

Shane Baz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his metrics across the board.

In his last start, Shane Baz performed well and conceded 2 ER.

Shane Baz’s 95-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 86th percentile among all SPs.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Pivetta in today’s game.

Nick Pivetta’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 starts (2246 rpm) has been quite a bit lower than than his seasonal rate (2319 rpm).

Jonathan Aranda has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

14% of the time that Jonathan Aranda has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Jonathan Aranda has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 19.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 13.3% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 5th-worst ballpark in baseball for righty batting average.

Batting from the same side that Nick Pivetta throws from, Jose Caballero has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Jose Caballero’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (7.3° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is significantly lower than his 16.7° seasonal mark.

Based on Statcast data, Jose Caballero is in the 13th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .279.

In notching a .224 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Jose Caballero is positioned in the 16th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ben Rortvedt ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ben Rortvedt is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Ben Rortvedt has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 17% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Ben Rortvedt has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.1-mph dropping to 77.1-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

In the past 14 days, Ben Rortvedt has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.8°, Rafael Devers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.6°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

This year, Wilyer Abreu has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 35% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

In today’s game, Wilyer Abreu is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.2% rate (80th percentile).

Wilyer Abreu will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Wilyer Abreu has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 12.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last week.

Nick Pivetta will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Junior Caminero in today’s game.

In today’s game, Junior Caminero is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39% rate (92nd percentile).

Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Jarren Duran’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, falling from 13.9% on the season to 10.3% in the past 14 days.

Despite posting a .360 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jarren Duran has had positive variance on his side given the .022 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .338.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 19.2°, Wilyer Abreu has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-12.8°) over the last two weeks.

10% of the time that Brandon Lowe has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Brandon Lowe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Ben Rortvedt’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Triston Casas’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Triston Casas has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (72% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Triston Casas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 9th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Triston Casas today.

Junior Caminero has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .245 BA is significantly inflated relative to his .230 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Shane Baz is projected to throw 82 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 9th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

Trevor Story has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.2-mph dropping to 82-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Triston Casas’s launch angle in recent games (-1.1° over the past 14 days) is significantly lower than his 8.8° seasonal figure.

Nick Pivetta has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, notching a 10.86 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.33 — a 0.53 K/9 difference.

Jose Caballero has put up a .290 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 21st percentile.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jose Caballero’s talent is quite poor, putting up a 4.68 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 9th percentile.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.269) suggests that Triston Casas has had some very good luck this year with his .323 actual wOBA.

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