Dodgers vs Marlins match player stats Tuesday, September 17th 2024. Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins

Dodgers vs Marlins match player stats Tuesday, September 17th 2024. Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins

LAD @ MIA

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Todays Matchup Details

Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins

Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 17th
17/09/24 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Dodgers vs Marlins Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average ability.

Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

The #3 field in baseball for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

Given Darren McCaughan’s large platoon split, Freddie Freeman will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Freddie Freeman stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best field in the league for RHB base hits.

Teoscar Hernandez has strong power (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Darren McCaughan has a pitch-to-contact profile (22nd percentile K%) — great news for Hernandez.

The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team on the slate today.

In the past week, Teoscar Hernandez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.4% up to 25%.

Jonah Bride is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jonah Bride will hold that advantage today.

Jonah Bride has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal average of 90.8-mph.

With a 1.73 K/BB rate this year, Jonah Bride has shown favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 90th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 14th-best batter in MLB.

Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Max Muncy is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Considering Darren McCaughan’s large platoon split, Max Muncy will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.

The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Muncy has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Otto Lopez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.5% up to 11.8%.

Tommy Edman’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Over the last week, Tommy Edman’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph of late.

Tommy Edman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 12.6% to 20.6%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Darren McCaughan’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 4th percentile out of all SPs in the majors currently.

The best projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward, LoanDepot Park projects as the #3 field in Major League Baseball for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Smith in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Will Smith has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 91.6-mph over the past week.

Will Smith’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (21.8°) is a significant increase over his 12.4° figure last year.

In the past week’s worth of games, Will Smith’s 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.5%.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Given Darren McCaughan’s large platoon split, Shohei Ohtani will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Shohei Ohtani can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

When it comes to his home run ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Bobby Miller throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Stowers can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Kyle Stowers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Bobby Miller will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

In his previous game started, Bobby Miller conceded a monstrous 6 earned runs.

Bobby Miller’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.4 mph this season (97 mph) below where it was last season (98.4 mph).

Bobby Miller has used his slider 7.6% less often this year (9.8%) than he did last year (17.4%).

Hitting from the opposite that Bobby Miller throws from, Griffin Conine will have an edge today.

Griffin Conine will probably have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Los Angeles Dodgers has just 1 same-handed RP.

Griffin Conine hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Griffin Conine will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Over the last 7 days, Tommy Edman’s 31.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 84th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Bobby Miller in today’s game.

Jesus Sanchez may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Los Angeles Dodgers only has 1 same-handed RP.

Jesus Sanchez will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Jake Burger is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Jake Burger has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.6-mph EV.

Based on Statcast data, Jake Burger ranks in the 88th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 28.900.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Darren McCaughan will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Connor Norby is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Connor Norby will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Connor Norby has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 13.9% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

In the past week, Otto Lopez’s 17.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.4%.

Otto Lopez has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 7.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal lower than his 11.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Miguel Rojas’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last two weeks, Miguel Rojas’s 57.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.9%.

Sporting a .285 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Miguel Rojas is ranked in the 92nd percentile.

Max Muncy projects as the 16th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Max Muncy has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.1% seasonal rate to 25% over the past 7 days.

LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums.

Nick Fortes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Nick Fortes’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 41.5% on the season to 53.6% in the last 14 days.

Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, posting a .251 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .268 — a .017 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Gavin Lux will hold the platoon advantage over Darren McCaughan in today’s matchup… and even better, McCaughan has a large platoon split.

Gavin Lux will probably have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Gavin Lux hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Compared to his seasonal average of 20.4°, Mookie Betts has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.2° mark in the last 14 days.

Mookie Betts has compiled a .386 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 95th percentile.

Xavier Edwards is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Xavier Edwards will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

With a .351 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Xavier Edwards grades out in the 90th percentile.

In terms of plate discipline, Xavier Edwards’s talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.47 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 95th percentile.

Miguel Rojas has compiled a .290 batting average this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile.

The Miami Marlins have 4 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Norby, Kyle Stowers, Griffin Conine, Jake Burger).

Nick Fortes has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 86.5-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 84.5-mph figure.

By putting up a 1.67 K/BB rate this year, Miguel Rojas has shown impressive plate discipline, placing in the 89th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 13th-best batter in baseball.

Compared to his seasonal average of 13.8°, Freddie Freeman has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 16.8° figure in the last 7 days.

As it relates to his home run ability, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Teoscar Hernandez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 95.9-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Xavier Edwards’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 49.7% on the season to 58.3% over the last 7 days.

Shohei Ohtani has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 95.5-mph to 98.2-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Over the past 7 days, Connor Norby’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.8-mph over the course of the season to 103.3-mph of late.

In the past week, Connor Norby’s 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 24.1%.

Negative Match Player Stats with Dodgers vs Marlins

LoanDepot Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

This contest is projected to have the 5th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Freddie Freeman has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

In the past week, Freddie Freeman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.8% down to 0%.

Darren McCaughan will hold the platoon advantage over Teoscar Hernandez in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering McCaughan’s large platoon split.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Teoscar Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Bride in the 19th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Batting from the same side that Bobby Miller throws from, Jonah Bride faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

In today’s game, Jonah Bride is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.5% rate (84th percentile).

Given Darren McCaughan’s large platoon split, Mookie Betts will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.

Typically, batters like Mookie Betts who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Darren McCaughan.

Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 5th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Max Muncy pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball batters like Max Muncy generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Darren McCaughan.

Otto Lopez is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the same side that Bobby Miller throws from, Otto Lopez will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Otto Lopez has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 84.1-mph over the past 14 days.

Tommy Edman is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

LoanDepot Park has the 4th-deepest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Tommy Edman will face a mismatch against Darren McCaughan and his large platoon split in today’s game.

Darren McCaughan is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #23 HR venue in the majors today.

Because flyball batters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Darren McCaughan (37.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 3 FB hitters in the opposition’s projected lineup.

Jonah Bride’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (-0.9° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is significantly lower than his 8.3° seasonal angle.

Will Smith is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #22 field in baseball for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Darren McCaughan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Smith today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering McCaughan’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Shohei Ohtani in today’s matchup.

Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

LoanDepot Park projects as the #22 venue in the majors for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In notching a .245 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Kyle Stowers is positioned in the 22nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 23rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

In the past 14 days, Kyle Stowers’s 32% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 49.5%.

The 4th-weakest projected batting order of the day in terms of overall batting skill belongs to the Miami Marlins.

The Miami Marlins have been the 9th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Darren McCaughan to throw 80 pitches today (5th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Griffin Conine in the 5th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Griffin Conine is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

In the past week, Griffin Conine’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10% down to 0%.

Jesus Sanchez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the past two weeks, Jesus Sanchez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.4% down to 0%.

Bobby Miller will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Burger today.

Jake Burger pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.

When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Darren McCaughan in the 8th percentile among all SPs in MLB.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (20.6 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 5th-least strikeout-heavy set of batters of the day.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 10th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

In his last game started, Darren McCaughan wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to tally 1 Ks.

Bobby Miller will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Norby today.

Connor Norby pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.

Despite posting a .331 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Connor Norby has had positive variance on his side given the .030 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .301.

Jesus Sanchez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, falling from 11.7% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Extreme groundball bats like Will Smith generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Darren McCaughan.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 11th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Miguel Rojas is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

Considering Darren McCaughan’s large platoon split, Miguel Rojas will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game.

Miguel Rojas has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Bobby Miller has recorded 13.5 outs per start this year, checking in at the 3rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Nick Fortes is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

Bobby Miller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Fortes in today’s game.

Gavin Lux is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gavin Lux in today’s matchup.

In the past week, Gavin Lux’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.

Jake Burger has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 12.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 6.7% in the last two weeks.

As it relates to his home run ability, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Bobby Miller, As it relates to his home run talent, Miguel Rojas ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In his last start, Bobby Miller didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 9th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Max Muncy will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Griffin Conine ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Xavier Edwards has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Over the last 14 days, Xavier Edwards’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 86.5 mph to 82.1 mph.

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