Nationals vs Mets match player stats Tuesday, September 17th 2024. Washington Nationals at New York Mets Series Game 2

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Nationals vs Mets match player stats Tuesday, September 17th 2024. Washington Nationals at New York Mets Series Game 2

WSH @ NYM

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Washington Nationals at New York Mets
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 17th
17/09/24 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Nationals vs Mets Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

In the league, Citi Field’s CF fences are the shallowest.

Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Francisco Alvarez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.6-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 88.5-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Jacob Young has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 84.9-mph to 94.3-mph in the past 7 days.

In terms of his batting average, Jacob Young has had bad variance on his side this year. His .258 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .273.

Placing in the 85th percentile, Jacob Young has posted a .324 BABIP this year.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand today.

James Wood has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

James Wood has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.8-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 96.3-mph.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Pete Alonso will hold the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker today.

Pete Alonso will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

J.D. Martinez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, J.D. Martinez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and J.D. Martinez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Luis Garcia’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Garcia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Luis Garcia will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Luis Garcia has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Luis Garcia has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 94.2-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.250) suggests that Brandon Nimmo has suffered from bad luck this year with his .226 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Jose Tena is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Jose Tena will have the handedness advantage over Tylor Megill today.

Jose Tena has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Jose Tena has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 95.9-mph.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Tylor Megill in today’s game.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Starling Marte is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Starling Marte will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Starling Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 42.4% to 50%.

Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Jose Acuna will have an edge today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Acuna will hold that advantage today.

Dylan Crews is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

Dylan Crews pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.337) suggests that Dylan Crews has had some very poor luck this year with his .295 actual wOBA.

Pete Alonso projects as the 12th-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Joey Gallo projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Joey Gallo will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Joey Gallo’s launch angle in recent games (46.5° in the last 7 days) is considerably higher than his 26.3° seasonal figure.

Joey Gallo has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 18.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 24.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joey Gallo’s true offensive ability to be a .304, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .038 gap between that mark and his actual .266 wOBA.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.339) may lead us to conclude that Starling Marte has experienced some negative variance this year with his .313 actual wOBA.

When estimating his home run talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mark Vientos is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Mark Vientos will have the handedness advantage against Mitchell Parker in today’s game.

Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Mark Vientos will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Jose Iglesias has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Jose Iglesias will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today’s game.

Jose Iglesias will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for walks.

With 6 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Tylor Megill encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Mark Vientos has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 103.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 96-mph.

Jose Iglesias has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 86.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 84-mph.

Mitchell Parker will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Among all SPs, Mitchell Parker’s fastball spin rate of 2194 rpm grades out in the 19th percentile this year.

New York Mets bats collectively rank 5th- in baseball for power this year when using their 9.1% Barrel%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tylor Megill in the 79th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

The Washington Nationals have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jose Tena, Joey Gallo, James Wood).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 4th-best venue in baseball for strikeouts.

Brandon Nimmo has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .321 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .337 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Luis Garcia ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Nationals vs Mets Series Game 2

Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

The #1 field in the game for suppressing offensive stats to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

Francisco Alvarez’s launch angle this year (7.2°) is considerably lower than his 12.3° figure last year.

In the last two weeks, Francisco Alvarez’s 31.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 38.8%.

Jacob Young is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst stadium in the game for righty batting average.

Tylor Megill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Young in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jacob Young in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst park in the league for LHB batting average.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for James Wood in today’s game.

James Wood has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 9.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 3.2% in the last two weeks.

James Wood’s launch angle lately (-4.1° over the past two weeks) is significantly worse than his 0.5° seasonal figure.

J.D. Martinez’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 93.4-mph EV last year has fallen off to 91-mph.

Last season, J.D. Martinez had a launch angle of 18.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 15.2°.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Garcia in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Mitchell Parker throws from, Brandon Nimmo will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Brandon Nimmo has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 8.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 3% over the past two weeks.

Brandon Nimmo’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 92.6-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 88.4-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Citi Field grades out as the #30 field in Major League Baseball for overall LHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Tena in today’s game.

Jose Tena has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 12.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 2.9% over the last 14 days.

Jose Tena’s launch angle recently (3.1° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 7.7° seasonal angle.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

The #8 park in the league for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Keibert Ruiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89.9-mph EV last year has fallen off to 87.2-mph.

Starling Marte is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

In the past two weeks, Starling Marte’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.5% down to 0%.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 4.7°, Starling Marte has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-5.1°) in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Acuna in the 5th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Jose Acuna is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the same side that Tylor Megill throws from, Dylan Crews has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dylan Crews in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Dylan Crews’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10% down to 0%.

The #8 field in the game for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Joey Gallo is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Joey Gallo today.

Joey Gallo has struggled with his Barrel%; his 19.4% rate last year has fallen to 13.7% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Gallo in the 0th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 21st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Over the past 7 days, Mark Vientos’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.7% down to 0%.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.7°, Mark Vientos has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.5°) in the past 14 days.

Mark Vientos has been lucky this year, compiling a .363 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .049 discrepancy.

Despite posting a .351 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jose Iglesias has been very fortunate given the .058 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293.

Jose Iglesias’s 84-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to measure power) grades out in the 3rd percentile this year.

The Washington Nationals projected lineup profiles as the 3rd-weakest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.

It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Washington Nationals offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

Projected catcher Francisco Alvarez grades out as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tylor Megill will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats in all categories.

When it comes to his home run talent, Jose Iglesias ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

It may be wise to expect weaker performance for the New York Mets offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 4th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

Mitchell Parker was on point in his previous start and gave up 0 ER.

With a 0.4 gap between Mitchell Parker’s 4.24 ERA and his 3.83 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the league this year and should positively regress in future games.

Tallying 15.1 outs per start this year on average, Tylor Megill places in the 22nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitchell Parker to throw 81 pitches today (7th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Tylor Megill has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, putting up a 10.54 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.29 — a 1.25 K/9 discrepancy.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jose Acuna ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 25th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Francisco Alvarez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 12.4% on the season to 9.1% in the last 14 days.

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