Astros vs Guardians match player stats | Series Game 2 Saturday, September 28th Houston Astros at Cleveland Guardians

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Astros vs Guardians match player stats | Series Game 2 Saturday, September 28th Houston Astros at Cleveland Guardians

HOU @ CLE

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Houston Astros at Cleveland Guardians
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, September 28th
28/09/24 18:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Astros vs Guardians Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Josh Naylor is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for left-handed base hits.

The weather report projects the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Hitting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Josh Naylor will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Lane Thomas is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to better offense.

Lane Thomas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.

Yainer Diaz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

Progressive Field projects as the #5 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Steven Kwan will have the upper hand today.

Steven Kwan has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

The 3rd-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Progressive Field.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball.

Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Jon Singleton is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Given Ben Lively’s large platoon split, Jon Singleton will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Bo Naylor will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Bo Naylor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Given Ben Lively’s large platoon split, Jason Heyward will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Jason Heyward pulls many of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Victor Caratini has compiled a .258 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

With a .327 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Victor Caratini grades out in the 79th percentile.

Jon Singleton’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (24.4° in the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 12.3° seasonal figure.

Steven Kwan’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

The #8 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-most humidity of all games on the slate at 81%.

Jake Meyers has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.4-mph average to last year’s 86-mph mark.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.326) provides evidence that Jake Meyers has experienced some negative variance this year with his .286 actual wOBA.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Kyle Manzardo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Manzardo will hold that advantage today.

Will Brennan will hold the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander in today’s matchup.

Will Brennan will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Will Brennan’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Justin Verlander has averaged 94.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 87th percentile.

Jim Wolf profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate today.

Justin Verlander has a large reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 8 opposite-handed batters today.

Given that groundball pitchers hold a significant advantage over groundball hitters, Justin Verlander and his 41.4% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good spot in this outing being matched up with 3 opposing GB hitters.

Justin Verlander has relied on his change-up 5% more often this season (9.7%) than he did last season (4.7%).

Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball hitters like Andres Gimenez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Justin Verlander.

Andres Gimenez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Andres Gimenez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 106-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 88.8-mph.

With a .271 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Jeremy Pena has performed in the 80th percentile.

Bo Naylor, the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ben Lively will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his metrics in all categories.

Jose Altuve’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

With a 2.1 K/BB rate this year, Victor Caratini has shown impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Will Brennan’s launch angle this year (13°) is significantly better than his 9.4° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Yainer Diaz has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Considering Ben Lively’s large platoon split, Kyle Tucker will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

When assessing his home run ability, Bo Naylor ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Over the past 7 days, Jason Heyward’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.8% up to 20%.

Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (42% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Jake Meyers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 19.9% on the season to 26.7% in the past 7 days.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Kyle Manzardo’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 95-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Negative Match Player Stats with Astros vs Guardians Series Game 2

Progressive Field has the 7th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all parks.

Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the majors.

In the last 7 days, Josh Naylor’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.8%.

Josh Naylor has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 29.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 23.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Posting a .244 BABIP this year, Josh Naylor is ranked in the 4th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 7th-worst field in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs.

Justin Verlander will have the handedness advantage against Lane Thomas today.

Ben Lively will hold the platoon advantage over Yainer Diaz in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Lively’s large platoon split.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yainer Diaz today.

Yainer Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 21.6% to 11.8%.

As it relates to his home run ability, Steven Kwan ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #7 ballpark in the game for suppressing home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (5.7) provides evidence that Steven Kwan has had some very good luck this year with his 15.7 actual HR/600.

Steven Kwan’s 2.6% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 6th percentile this year.

Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Because of Ben Lively’s large platoon split, Jeremy Pena will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeremy Pena today.

Jeremy Pena has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 5.5% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 14 days.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Tucker today.

Despite posting a .416 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Tucker has had some very good luck given the .044 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .372.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Brayan Rocchio has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 10% of the time.

The switch-hitting Brayan Rocchio will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Justin Verlander, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Singleton in the 5th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Jon Singleton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jon Singleton in today’s game.

Over the last 14 days, Jon Singleton’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Bo Naylor is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

Bo Naylor has been pinch hit for 15% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Bo Naylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jason Heyward in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Jason Heyward is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Jason Heyward will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Victor Caratini is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Victor Caratini will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Ben Lively… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Lively’s large platoon split.

Victor Caratini hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .347 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Steven Kwan has experienced some positive variance given the .037 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

Jake Meyers is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Given Ben Lively’s large platoon split, Jake Meyers will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians.

Kyle Manzardo’s BABIP ability is projected in the 12th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Manzardo has been pulled from the game early 24% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Extreme groundball hitters like Kyle Manzardo generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Justin Verlander.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 8th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Will Brennan is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Will Brennan has been pinch hit for 29% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Will Brennan hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Ben Lively will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Bregman in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Lively’s large platoon split.

Alex Bregman will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

When it comes to his home runs, Alex Bregman has been lucky this year. His 24.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 19.9.

When it comes to his home run talent, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Will Brennan’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 88.4 mph to 83.2 mph.

Will Brennan’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 49.1% to 44%.

The Cleveland Guardians (18.2 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone set of hitters of all teams on the slate today.

Yainer Diaz, the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Justin Verlander in today’s game.

When estimating his home run talent, Andres Gimenez ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Andres Gimenez is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

Jake Meyers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Lively to throw 82 pitches today (16th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Houston Astros with a 18.6% underlying K%.

In his last outing, Ben Lively wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.

Because of Ben Lively’s large platoon split, Jose Altuve will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.

Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Jose Altuve’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 92.9-mph figure last year has dropped to 90.4-mph.

There has been a significant decline in Andres Gimenez’s launch angle from last season’s 12.9° to 8.5° this year.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.5°, Andres Gimenez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.6°) over the past two weeks.

Typically, hitters like Jose Ramirez who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Justin Verlander.

Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 44.3% to 38.8%.

Jose Ramirez has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .279 mark is a fair amount higher than his .251 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andres Gimenez has posted a .277 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 10th percentile.

Extreme flyball batters like Bo Naylor tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Justin Verlander.

Sporting a .266 BABIP this year, Alex Bregman is ranked in the 17th percentile.

As it relates to plate discipline, Yainer Diaz’s talent is quite poor, putting up a 4.48 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 11th percentile.

Jose Altuve’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 90.4-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 87.9-mph in the last 7 days.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 21.5°, Kyle Tucker has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (17.1°) in the last 14 days.

Jason Heyward’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (7.7°) is quite a bit lower than his 12.1° figure last year.

Victor Caratini is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Cleveland (#1-best on the slate).

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Ramirez has had positive variance on his side this year. His .360 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .336.

When it comes to his home run skill, Jeremy Pena ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Manzardo has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 9.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week.

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