Phillies vs Blue Jays match player stats Tuesday, September 3rd 2024. Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays

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Phillies vs Blue Jays match player stats Tuesday, September 3rd 2024. Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays

PHI @ TOR

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Todays Matchup Details

Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays

Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 3rd
03/09/24 19:07:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Phillies vs Blue Jays Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Nick Castellanos is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB.

In the last week’s worth of games, Nick Castellanos’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph of late.

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 15% to 19.2%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in baseball.

Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand today.

Bryce Harper’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 43.8% on the season to 58.8% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant improvement in Bryson Stott’s launch angle from last year’s 9.9° to 14.5° this year.

Rogers Centre ranks as the #7 stadium in the game for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Rogers Centre projects as the #9 park in the game for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Will Wagner will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Will Wagner will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Will Wagner has been hot recently, notching a an 18.8% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Alejandro Kirk’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today’s game.

There has been a significant improvement in Alejandro Kirk’s launch angle from last season’s 6.2° to 9.2° this year.

As it relates to his home runs, Alejandro Kirk has been unlucky this year. His 9.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.3.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 6th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Kyle Schwarber hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Kyle Schwarber has posted a .343 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

The #9 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Chris Bassitt in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.

Compared to the average hurler, Chris Bassitt has been granted a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying an additional 6.4 adjusted pitches each game.

Alejandro Kirk, the Blue Jays’s expected catcher today, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When assessing his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 95.6-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 92.7-mph over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Trea Turner ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Over the past week, Trea Turner’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph lately.

George Springer has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9.8% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Addison Barger has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Addison Barger will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage today.

Addison Barger’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 41.1% on the season to 53.7% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Daulton Varsho will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alejandro Kirk’s true offensive skill to be a .321, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .032 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .289 wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

J.T. Realmuto’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

J.T. Realmuto has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9.7% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last week.

J.T. Realmuto has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 94.4-mph.

J.T. Realmuto has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .315 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .338 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Chris Bassitt will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Tyler Phillips’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 21st percentile out of all starting pitchers in the league currently.

Tyler Phillips gave up a monstrous 5 earned runs in his last game started.

Daulton Varsho will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Daulton Varsho has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6.1% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his batting average skill.

With a .346 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Trea Turner is ranked in the 84th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 5th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Phillips in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Brandon Marsh has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.5% seasonal rate to 21.1% in the past 14 days.

Over the past two weeks, Brandon Marsh’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 96-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Negative Match Player Stats with Phillies vs Blue Jays

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 8th-worst ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats to RHB.

In MLB, the 8th-highest fence height (on average) are at Rogers Centre.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions on the slate.

Chris Bassitt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Castellanos in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Castellanos today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 8th-worst venue in MLB for RHB batting average.

The #8 field in MLB for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryce Harper in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Bryce Harper’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.9% down to 3%.

The #8 ballpark in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryson Stott in today’s game.

Bryson Stott has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph dropping to 83.7-mph in the last 7 days.

Bryson Stott has posted a .265 BABIP this year, placing in the 19th percentile.

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tyler Phillips in the 11th percentile among all SPs in baseball.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 19.7% underlying K%.

Projected catcher J.T. Realmuto profiles as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tyler Phillips will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 17th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Will Wagner is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 5.5°, Will Wagner’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (-4.2° in the past 14 days).

Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the same side that Tyler Phillips throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Over the past week, Kyle Schwarber’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.3% down to 0%.

Batting from the same side that Tyler Phillips throws from, George Springer will have a tough matchup today.

George Springer’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 93.3-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 88-mph over the past 7 days.

George Springer’s launch angle lately (5.5° over the last 7 days) is significantly worse than his 8.9° seasonal angle.

The 4th-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Chris Bassitt’s 2160-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 25th percentile among all starters.

Chris Bassitt has recorded an 8.6% Swinging Strike% this year, ranking in the 14th percentile.

Chris Bassitt’s 21st percentile walk rate (9% this year) shows his poor control ability.

Hitting from the same side that Tyler Phillips throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. meets a tough challenge today.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle this season (6.8°) is quite a bit worse than his 10.2° mark last season.

In the last week’s worth of games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.5%.

Over the past week, Alejandro Kirk’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 93.4 mph to 79.5 mph.

Chris Bassitt will have the handedness advantage against Trea Turner in today’s game.

Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Trea Turner’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (8.8°) is a significant dropoff from his 12.2° mark last year.

Addison Barger’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 84.9-mph over the last week.

With a 6.24 K/BB rate this year, Addison Barger has displayed poor plate discipline, checking in at the 15th percentile.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Daulton Varsho has had some very good luck this year. His .308 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .276.

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Hitting from the same side that Chris Bassitt throws from, J.T. Realmuto meets a tough challenge today.

Chris Bassitt has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching an 8.84 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.49 — a 0.36 K/9 deviation.

Ranking in the 75th percentile, Tyler Phillips has notched a 3.49 K/BB rate this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

George Springer’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, falling from 40.4% on the season to 24.2% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Over the past week, Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 93.9 mph to 89.2 mph.

When estimating his home run skill, Bryson Stott ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Spencer Horwitz’s true offensive ability to be a .319, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .016 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .335 wOBA.

Brandon Marsh is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Marsh today.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 10.7°, Addison Barger has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.2°) in the past 14 days.

Ranking in the 14th percentile, Daulton Varsho sits with a .218 batting average this year.

Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 17.5% to 12.4%.

Spencer Horwitz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 19% on the season to 5.9% over the past week.

J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

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