Red Sox vs Mets match player stats Tuesday, September 3rd 2024. Boston Red Sox at New York Mets Series Game 2

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Red Sox vs Mets match player stats Tuesday, September 3rd 2024. Boston Red Sox at New York Mets Series Game 2

BOS @ NYM

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Boston Red Sox at New York Mets
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 3rd
03/09/24 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Red Sox vs Mets Series Game 2 Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Danny Jansen will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson today.

Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.6% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Batters such as Danny Jansen with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like David Peterson who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Among all the teams in action today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

There has been a significant improvement in Danny Jansen’s launch angle from last season’s 19.5° to 23.2° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today.

Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an edge today.

Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s shallowest CF fences today.

Jeff McNeil will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jeff McNeil’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 12.7% to 16.3%.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jesse Winker is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Jesse Winker will have an advantage in today’s game.

Jesse Winker has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Triston Casas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks, Triston Casas has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 25.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 16°.

Grading out in the 91st percentile, Triston Casas has notched a .354 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums.

Connor Wong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today.

Over the past week, Connor Wong’s 70% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.5%.

Sporting a .344 BABIP this year, Connor Wong is positioned in the 94th percentile.

When estimating his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pete Alonso ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Rafael Devers may have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.

Rafael Devers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s shallowest CF fences today.

Rafael Devers has compiled a .378 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 94th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have the upper hand today.

In the past week, Ceddanne Rafaela’s 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 87th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

Francisco Lindor will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jose Iglesias has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

Extreme flyball hitters like Jose Iglesias usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kutter Crawford.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Iglesias will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have an edge today.

Rob Refsnyder has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 3.9% rate last season to 10% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Jarren Duran is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.

Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jarren Duran has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10.1% seasonal rate to 22.7% in the past week’s worth of games.

Pete Alonso projects as the 12th-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today.

Romy Gonzalez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Romy Gonzalez will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Jeff McNeil’s 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Over the last week, Francisco Lindor’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.5% up to 18.8%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tyler O’Neill is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Tyler O’Neill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today.

Tyler O’Neill pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Tyler O’Neill projects as the 11th-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

David Peterson has recorded 17.3 outs per start this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.

It may be best to expect worse results for the Boston Red Sox offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

Francisco Alvarez, the Mets’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citi Field ranks as the #30 stadium in Major League Baseball for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When estimating his BABIP talent, Jarren Duran is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

The Boston Red Sox have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Triston Casas, Romy Gonzalez, Tyler O’Neill).

Citi Field projects as the #10 venue in MLB for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kutter Crawford in the 78th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

Kutter Crawford’s 2502-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 92nd percentile among all starting pitchers.

Jeff McNeil’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12.7% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 84th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

In the last 14 days, Jose Iglesias’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 83-mph over the course of the season to 86.7-mph of late.

This season, Tyler O’Neill has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.7 mph compared to last year’s 92.8 mph mark.

Jesse Winker will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Ceddanne Rafaela and his 17.5° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 89th percentile, among the highest in baseball this year.

Jose Iglesias’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Red Sox vs Mets Series Game 2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Danny Jansen has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (62% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching of the day.

Citi Field profiles as the #30 field in MLB for overall left-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the last 14 days, Brandon Nimmo’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.

Over the past 7 days, Brandon Nimmo’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 93 mph to 79.6 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 13th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

11% of the time that Jesse Winker has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

The #1 stadium in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Jesse Winker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 14.7% to 9.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 24th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Triston Casas has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

Connor Wong has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Connor Wong will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

Kutter Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Francisco Alvarez in today’s matchup.

Citi Field grades out as the #30 stadium in the majors for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the same side that Kutter Crawford throws from, Pete Alonso will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that David Peterson throws from, Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage today.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Rafael Devers today.

Over the last week, Rafael Devers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14% down to 0%.

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

Ceddanne Rafaela will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that David Peterson throws from, Triston Casas will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

In the last week, Francisco Alvarez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.6% down to 0%.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will bat from his bad side against Kutter Crawford today.

Connor Wong has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 5.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Kutter Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Iglesias in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Rob Refsnyder in today’s matchup.

Rob Refsnyder has been lucky this year, posting a .343 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .015 deviation.

David Peterson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jarren Duran today.

Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Despite posting a .374 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jarren Duran has had some very good luck given the .034 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .340.

Pete Alonso has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 30.5 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 27.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Over the last 14 days, Brandon Nimmo’s 8.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 24th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Typically, hitters like Romy Gonzalez who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as David Peterson.

Romy Gonzalez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Romy Gonzalez has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Jeff McNeil’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 87-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 83.7-mph in the past 14 days.

Tyler O’Neill will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.321) may lead us to conclude that Tyler O’Neill has been very fortunate this year with his .362 actual wOBA.

With 6 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, David Peterson meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

David Peterson’s higher usage percentage of his fastball this season (57.3 compared to 52.3% last year) is not ideal considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Among all starters, David Peterson’s fastball spin rate of 2136 rpm is in the 21st percentile this year.

Grading out in the 13th percentile, David Peterson has put up a 17.3% K% this year.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kutter Crawford is projected to throw 82 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of all pitchers today.

Because groundball hitters hold a significant advantage over flyball pitchers, Kutter Crawford and his 42.7% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome position in today’s game matching up with 0 opposing GB batters.

Kutter Crawford will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Kutter Crawford’s curveball rate has decreased by 5.5% from last year to this one (12.1% to 6.6%) .

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kutter Crawford in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent.

The New York Mets have been the 4th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward, Triston Casas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Danny Jansen today.

Danny Jansen has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 14 days.

Jose Iglesias’s launch angle lately (4.1° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably lower than his 9.7° seasonal figure.

Despite posting a .351 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jesse Winker has had positive variance on his side given the .027 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .324.

Ceddanne Rafaela has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph dropping to 80.7-mph in the past week.

Jose Iglesias’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, going from 47.7% on the season to 22.2% over the last two weeks.

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