
NYM @ ARI





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Tuesday, August 27th
27/08/24 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs D-Backs Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Mark Vientos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.
Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
Mark Vientos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today.
Jose Iglesias will hold the platoon advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s matchup.
Ranking in the 92nd percentile, Jose Iglesias sits with a .362 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Placing in the 98th percentile, Jose Iglesias sports a .324 batting average this year.
As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Geraldo Perdomo will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Sean Manaea today.
The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team today.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
The #2 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
In the past 14 days, Brandon Nimmo’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 96.3-mph in recent games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Francisco Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez today.
In the past week, Francisco Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph lately.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the majors’s 17th-best home run hitter.
Pete Alonso is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.
Pete Alonso will have the handedness advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s matchup.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
J.D. Martinez will have the handedness advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s matchup.
This season, Geraldo Perdomo has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.4 mph compared to last year’s 87.1 mph mark.
Compared to his seasonal average of 17.1°, Geraldo Perdomo has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.1° mark in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Harrison Bader will have an advantage today.
Harrison Bader has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.1-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 89.4-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an advantage in today’s game.
Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Throwing 94.7 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Sean Manaea ranks in the 89th percentile.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Arizona Diamondbacks in today’s game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .313, which is a good deal lower than their actual wOBA of .331 this year.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games, Projected catcher Francisco Alvarez projects as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Eduardo Rodriguez.
Grading out in the 85th percentile, Jose Iglesias has posted a .459 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.
Utilizing Statcast data, Pete Alonso grades out in the 78th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .338.
When estimating his home run talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Kevin Newman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today.
Kevin Newman will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Over the last two weeks, Brandon Nimmo’s 19.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.2%.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Randal Grichuk is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.
Randal Grichuk will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Francisco Lindor has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 13.4% seasonal rate to 22% in the past two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Over the last week, J.D. Martinez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15% up to 30%.
Eduardo Rodriguez’s 91-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 20th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
With a 0.69 discrepancy between Eduardo Rodriguez’s 3.36 ERA and his 4.05 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game since the start of last season and should see negative regression going forward.
Eduardo Rodriguez has been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB on balls in play this year with a .264 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.
Starling Marte’s BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Starling Marte will have the upper hand today.
Starling Marte has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 94.2-mph over the past 7 days.
In the past 7 days, Starling Marte’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 14.3%.
Starling Marte has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .317 figure is deflated compared to his .344 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Eduardo Rodriguez has averaged 92.5 adjusted pitches per start since the start of last season, grading out in the 85th percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez’s change-up utilization has increased by 6.1% from last year to this one (18.9% to 25%) .
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Jake McCarthy’s BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jake McCarthy is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Mark Vientos has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 91.1-mph mark.
Kevin Newman has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.8-mph to 88.6-mph in the past 14 days.
In the last 14 days, Kevin Newman’s 18.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 9.8%.
When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Sean Manaea in the 82nd percentile among all SPs in the majors.
In his last outing, Sean Manaea was on point and notched 9 strikeouts.
Over the last week, Harrison Bader’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.6%.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage today.
Jake McCarthy has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 90.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 87.2-mph.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today.
Eugenio Suarez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 92.4-mph.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs D-Backs
The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -6, ° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.
Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mark Vientos in today’s matchup.
Mark Vientos’s launch angle recently (6.8° over the past 7 days) is considerably worse than his 11.3° seasonal mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mark Vientos’s true offensive ability to be a .317, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .056 difference between that figure and his actual .373 wOBA.
When estimating his home run ability, Jose Iglesias ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jose Iglesias is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF dimensions in the majors.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Iglesias in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 14th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.
From last year to this one, Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 19% to 13.4%.
Eduardo Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Nimmo today.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Nimmo in today’s game.
Brandon Nimmo has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 10% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week.
Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Alvarez in today’s matchup.
There has been a significant decline in Francisco Alvarez’s launch angle from last year’s 12.3° to 6.2° this season.
Over the last two weeks, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 91.9 mph to 88.5 mph.
In the last week, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42%.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .275 rate is quite a bit higher than his .256 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Pete Alonso has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 12.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.
In the last 7 days, Pete Alonso’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 92.9 mph to 77.1 mph.
J.D. Martinez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for J.D. Martinez today.
J.D. Martinez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 96.9-mph mark last season has lowered to 94.7-mph.
Chase Field projects as the #29 stadium in the game for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Josh Bell has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Josh Bell has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week.
Josh Bell’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 88.6-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 85.2-mph over the past 7 days.
Josh Bell’s launch angle lately (0° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is a significant dropoff from his 11.1° seasonal angle.
Harrison Bader is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.
In today’s game, Harrison Bader is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39% rate (91st percentile).
Harrison Bader will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Last season, Harrison Bader had a launch angle of 12.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 8.8°.
Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
With 6 batters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Sean Manaea will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Sean Manaea today.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Lindor in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 15th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 14th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Kevin Newman is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.
Kevin Newman has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 21% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year.
Kevin Newman has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the worst field in the majors for left-handed home runs.
Randal Grichuk has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 40% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher this year.
Jose Iglesias’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 82.8-mph seasonal average has dropped to 80.6-mph in the last 14 days.
When estimating his home run talent, Kevin Newman ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Eduardo Rodriguez in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.
The New York Mets have been the 7th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games, Eduardo Rodriguez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats across the board.
Starling Marte has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.
Starling Marte has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Starling Marte today.
Starling Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, falling from 11.3% on the season to 0% in the past week.
When it comes to his home run talent, Starling Marte ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The standard deviation of Randal Grichuk’s launch angle this year (30.9°) is in the 9th percentile. A high deviation like this tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits.
Chase Field profiles as the #21 venue in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In the past 14 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s 6.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.5%.
Hitting from the same side that Sean Manaea throws from, Jake McCarthy will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
Jake McCarthy’s launch angle lately (3.8° over the past two weeks) is considerably lower than his 11.3° seasonal figure.
Jake McCarthy has been lucky this year, compiling a .354 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .047 disparity.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 21% underlying K%.
When assessing his home run talent, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Randal Grichuk has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .265 rate is inflated compared to his .242 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
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