Braves vs Phillies match player stats Sunday, September 1st 2024. Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 4

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Braves vs Phillies match player stats Sunday, September 1st 2024. Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 4

ATL @ PHI

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Todays Series Game 4 Matchup Details

Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies
Series Game 4
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 1st
01/09/24 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Braves vs Phillies Series Game 4 Series Game 4 Matchup Today

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #5 stadium in baseball for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The weather report calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #5 park in the game for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers.

Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

Jorge Soler pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Bryson Stott is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Schwellenbach in today’s game.

Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as MLB’s 5th-best home run hitter.

Orlando Arcia pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Orlando Arcia’s launch angle this season (9°) is considerably higher than his 5.5° mark last year.

The Philadelphia Phillies projected batting order grades out as the 4th-strongest on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.

Edwin Moscoso projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone today.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #9 field in the majors for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 9th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citizens Bank Park.

When it comes to his home run skill, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ramon Laureano has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last year’s 88-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Ramon Laureano has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 93.2-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

As it relates to plate discipline, Jorge Soler’s skill is quite impressive, posting a 2.04 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 17th-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average ability.

Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best batter in the game.

Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Bryce Harper will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Schwellenbach today.

Whit Merrifield has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

Whit Merrifield has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 86.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 84-mph mark.

Nick Castellanos’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Aaron Nola’s overall pitching ability is in the 88th percentile among all starters in the league currently.

Throwing 96.3 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Aaron Nola places him the 94th percentile.

Aaron Nola will have the handedness advantage over 7 opposing hitters today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Aaron Nola will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Michael Harris II will have an edge in today’s game.

Michael Harris II has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Michael Harris II has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.4% seasonal rate to 40% over the past week.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Michael Harris II ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his home run ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Olson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Gio Urshela’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gio Urshela has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.7-mph average to last year’s 87.4-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Marcell Ozuna as the majors’s 17th-best home run batter.

Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Marcell Ozuna pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Aaron Nola in the 83rd percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Marcell Ozuna has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.7-mph average to last season’s 96.5-mph average.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.294) suggests that Gio Urshela has suffered from bad luck this year with his .273 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage today.

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Spencer Schwellenbach in the 92nd percentile among all SPs in the majors.

In his previous GS, Spencer Schwellenbach performed well and put up 8 strikeouts.

In terms of his batting average, Gio Urshela has been unlucky this year. His .248 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .273.

Negative Match Player Stats with Braves vs Phillies Series Game 4

Brandon Marsh is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense.

Edmundo Sosa is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Spencer Schwellenbach will hold the platoon advantage against Edmundo Sosa in today’s matchup.

Edmundo Sosa’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (8.4°) is significantly worse than his 12.6° mark last year.

Edmundo Sosa has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .262 rate is inflated compared to his .233 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Aaron Nola will have the handedness advantage over Sean Murphy in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Sean Murphy today.

In the last two weeks, Sean Murphy’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 0%.

Sean Murphy’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 87.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 85.5-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

Spencer Schwellenbach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Realmuto today.

J.T. Realmuto has shown poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile with a 3.72 K/BB rate.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #23 venue in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 17.5% to 12.5%.

Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, falling from 12.5% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Utilizing Statcast data, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 19th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .226.

Hitting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Jorge Soler will not have the upper hand today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jorge Soler in today’s game.

In the last two weeks, Jorge Soler’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 92.3 mph to 85.1 mph.

Jorge Soler’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 19.6% to 15.8%.

Bryson Stott’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 89.7-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 85.4-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.7°, Bryson Stott has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.4°) in the past two weeks.

Ranking in the 16th percentile, Bryson Stott sports a .176 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 23rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (10.1) suggests that Bryson Stott has had some very good luck this year with his 12.6 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Orlando Arcia is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Orlando Arcia will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Orlando Arcia will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Spencer Schwellenbach as the 19th-best starting pitcher in the majors currently.

In his previous game started, Spencer Schwellenbach was in good form and gave up 0 ER.

Spencer Schwellenbach’s 95.5-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 93rd percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Spencer Schwellenbach’s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (65.7% this year) figures to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

Ramon Laureano is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Ramon Laureano has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 12% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Hitting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Ramon Laureano will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Ramon Laureano will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Bryson Stott has compiled a .266 BABIP this year, ranking in the 20th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst stadium in the game for righty base hits.

Spencer Schwellenbach will have the handedness advantage against Trea Turner in today’s game.

Trea Turner has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Trea Turner’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (8.8°) is a significant dropoff from his 12.2° mark last season.

Trea Turner’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 16.5% on the season to 0% in the past week.

In the last 14 days, Bryce Harper’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.7% down to 0%.

Over the last 14 days, Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 93.9 mph to 86.8 mph.

Bryce Harper’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, falling from 12.6% on the season to 3.3% in the last two weeks.

In terms of his home runs, Bryce Harper has had positive variance on his side this year. His 29.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 20.7.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 9th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Aaron Nola will have the handedness advantage against Whit Merrifield in today’s matchup.

Whit Merrifield will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Whit Merrifield has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) over the past 7 days.

Batting from the same side that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Nick Castellanos will have a tough matchup today.

Nick Castellanos has shown bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 25th percentile with a 3.57 K/BB rate.

It may be best to expect positive regression for the Atlanta Braves offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies’s expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

Michael Harris II is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

In notching a .284 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Michael Harris II is ranked in the 16th percentile.

Posting a 4.37 K/BB rate this year, Michael Harris II has demonstrated poor plate discipline, ranking in the 13th percentile.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Olson in today’s game.

Matt Olson’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 93.7-mph figure last season has fallen off to 91-mph.

Gio Urshela is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Aaron Nola will hold the platoon advantage against Gio Urshela in today’s game.

Gio Urshela will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Gio Urshela’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 89.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 82.8-mph over the last two weeks.

In his last game started, Aaron Nola performed well and allowed 0 ER.

Over the last 7 days, Orlando Arcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 91.9 mph to 85.9 mph.

Aaron Nola will have the handedness advantage over Marcell Ozuna in today’s matchup.

Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Despite posting a .405 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcell Ozuna has been lucky given the .056 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .349.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Spencer Schwellenbach is projected to throw 83 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 14th-least of all pitchers today.

When assessing his home run ability, Gio Urshela ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Edmundo Sosa has been very fortunate this year. His .318 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .292.

Spencer Schwellenbach will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Considering the 0.71 discrepancy between Spencer Schwellenbach’s 10.55 K/9 and his 9.84 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and should see worse results the rest of the season.

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