
ARI @ SF





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 3rd
03/09/24 21:45:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for D-Backs vs Giants Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.
Randal Grichuk will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Harrison today.
Randal Grichuk has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.9% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Tyler Fitzgerald will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Tyler Fitzgerald’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (24.8° in the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 20.3° seasonal angle.
Tyler Fitzgerald has recorded a .541 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, placing in the 96th percentile.
Matt Chapman projects as the 15th-best home run batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
Matt Chapman will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Matt Chapman has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 98.6-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 93.1-mph figure.
As it relates to his home run talent, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Mike Yastrzemski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today.
Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
The 2nd-shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Oracle Park.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Patrick Bailey has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last season’s 88.7-mph mark.
Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 15.5% on the season to 42.9% in the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Over the last 7 days, Corbin Carroll’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 46.7%.
Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 11.2% on the season to 53.3% over the past week.
Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Kyle Harrison.
Geraldo Perdomo has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.1-mph average to last year’s 87.1-mph mark.
Sporting a 1.97 K/BB rate this year, Geraldo Perdomo has displayed good plate discipline, grading out in the 78th percentile.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.
Josh Bell has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Over the past 7 days, Josh Bell’s 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.8%.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Conforto ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Michael Conforto is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Michael Conforto will have an advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jerar Encarnacion in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Jerar Encarnacion has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
Jerar Encarnacion will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Jerar Encarnacion has been hot of late, posting a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) over the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 9th-best field in the majors for righty batting average.
Batting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Eugenio Suarez’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (23.5° in the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 19° seasonal mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Using Statcast data, Eugenio Suarez grades out in the 78th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 24.900.
Jake McCarthy is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.
Jake McCarthy has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 89.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 87.3-mph.
Jake McCarthy’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (14.6°) is considerably higher than his 11.1° figure last season.
Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Brett Wisely will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Brett Wisely will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Kevin Newman will have an edge today.
Kevin Newman has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Kevin Newman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 10.4% on the season to 28.6% in the last 7 days.
Checking in at the 81st percentile, Kevin Newman has put up a .272 batting average this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Corbin Carroll has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.4-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.1-mph figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the worst park in MLB for walks.
In his previous start, Ryne Nelson was in good form and allowed 2 ER.
Among all starting pitchers, Ryne Nelson’s fastball velocity of 94.5 mph is in the 75th percentile this year.
Considering the 0.47 discrepancy between Ryne Nelson’s 4.22 ERA and his 3.76 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and figures to see better results in the future.
The San Francisco Giants have 4 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Heliot Ramos, Matt Chapman, Tyler Fitzgerald, Jerar Encarnacion).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
As it relates to his home run ability, Tyler Fitzgerald ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Checking in at the 95th percentile, Tyler Fitzgerald has posted a .379 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
When it comes to his home run ability, Jerar Encarnacion ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Negative Match Player Stats with D-Backs vs Giants
The #5 venue in baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
In the league, the tallest fence height (on average) are at Oracle Park.
Oracle Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense.
Randal Grichuk will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Randal Grichuk’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, going from 38.5% on the season to 28.6% in the past week.
Tyler Fitzgerald is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Ryne Nelson will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Fitzgerald in today’s game.
Ryne Nelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Chapman today.
Matt Chapman’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (2.4° over the past 14 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 8.8° seasonal figure.
Mike Yastrzemski has been pulled from the game early 20% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.
Oracle Park projects as the #26 ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.280) implies that Mike Yastrzemski has been lucky this year with his .318 actual wOBA.
Patrick Bailey has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.
Patrick Bailey’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (8.4°) is considerably lower than his 12.3° angle last season.
Patrick Bailey has paced 12.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Kyle Harrison will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Carroll in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Corbin Carroll in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 16th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Geraldo Perdomo today.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Bell in today’s matchup.
Josh Bell’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 88.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 86-mph in the last two weeks.
Michael Conforto’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 16% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.
With a .230 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Michael Conforto is positioned in the 24th percentile.
Sporting a .229 batting average this year, Michael Conforto is positioned in the 21st percentile.
Jerar Encarnacion is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.
Ryne Nelson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jerar Encarnacion in today’s matchup.
Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Eugenio Suarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 92.2-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 88.3-mph in the past week.
Sporting a .272 BABIP this year, Eugenio Suarez has performed in the 22nd percentile.
Patrick Bailey has recorded a .278 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 14th percentile.
Patrick Bailey has put up a .229 batting average this year, checking in at the 21st percentile.
In the last two weeks, Tyler Fitzgerald’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 0%.
Tyler Fitzgerald’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 91.1-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 88.3-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 13th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
As it relates to his home run ability, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the same side that Kyle Harrison throws from, Jake McCarthy encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
Jake McCarthy will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Geraldo Perdomo has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph dropping to 80.8-mph in the last week.
Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, decreasing from 13.1% on the season to 0% in the past week.
Brett Wisely is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
When starting against a righty hurler this year, Brett Wisely has been pulled from the game early 15% of the time.
As it relates to his batting average, Brett Wisely has had positive variance on his side this year. His .246 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .208.
When it comes to his home run skill, Kevin Newman ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kevin Newman is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.
Matt Chapman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.2% to 11.2%.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Kevin Newman ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kevin Newman in today’s matchup.
Over the last week, Kevin Newman’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 85.3 mph to 71.3 mph.
Jerar Encarnacion’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 9.8% on the season to 0% over the past week.
Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 40.3% to 33.8%.
Brett Wisely’s 88.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 8th percentile this year.
Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryne Nelson today.
Ryne Nelson’s 2216-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 24th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Ryne Nelson has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 55.3% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.
The #3 field in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
In the last week’s worth of games, Jake McCarthy’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.5%.
Despite posting a .351 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake McCarthy has had positive variance on his side given the .045 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .306.
Randal Grichuk has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .274 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .241 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Josh Bell’s speed has fallen off this season. His 25.92 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.47 ft/sec now.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.290) provides evidence that Josh Bell has been very fortunate this year with his .314 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 16th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Mike Yastrzemski is in the 12th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (11.8% rate this year).
Brett Wisely has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .280 mark is quite a bit higher than his .248 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
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