
STL @ NYY






Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 1st
01/09/24 13:35:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Cardinals vs Yankees Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today
Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
In the majors, Yankee Stadium has the 6th-lowest average fence height.
Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas today.
Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Jordan Walker will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Jordan Walker has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92-mph average to last year’s 89.4-mph average.
Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Nolan Arenado will have the upper hand today.
Sporting a .267 batting average this year, Nolan Arenado is positioned in the 77th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Austin Wells is penciled in 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Anthony Volpe will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Anthony Volpe has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph to 95.7-mph over the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Masyn Winn will have the upper hand in today’s game.
The New York Yankees have been the 9th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games, The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 2nd-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for base hits.
With a 1.03 discrepancy between Miles Mikolas’s 5.23 ERA and his 4.20 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year and should see positive regression the rest of the season.
Miles Mikolas has put up a 4.61 K/BB rate this year, ranking in the 88th percentile.
Extreme groundball bats like Victor Scott tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nestor Cortes.
Over the last 7 days, Victor Scott’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.8% up to 20%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Masyn Winn has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his home run talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the league.
Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Aaron Judge will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Pedro Pages will have an edge in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Miles Mikolas in this game.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Oswaldo Cabrera will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Compared to last year, Oswaldo Cabrera has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 37.3% to 42.9% this season.
Pedro Pages’s launch angle of late (16° in the last 7 days) is considerably better than his 11.3° seasonal figure.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have the upper hand in today’s game.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Nestor Cortes in the 79th percentile among all SPs in the league.
Nestor Cortes has averaged 93.6 adjusted pitches per GS this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile.
Austin Wells, the Yankees’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Nestor Cortes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.
Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Compared to his seasonal average of 13.7°, Brendan Donovan has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23.4° figure in the last 14 days.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Brendan Donovan has had some very poor luck this year. His .315 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .340.
Alex Verdugo will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage over Miles Mikolas today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge in today’s game.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
There has been a significant improvement in Brendan Donovan’s launch angle from last season’s 10.4° to 13.7° this year.
In the last week, Victor Scott’s 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.4%.
Negative Match Player Stats with Cardinals vs Yankees Series Game 3
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Miles Mikolas in the 18th percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miles Mikolas to throw 84 pitches in today’s game (14th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Adam Beck grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone today.
This contest is projected to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.5-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for batters.
Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.
The #6 ballpark in the game for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.
Alex Verdugo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Over the past two weeks, Alex Verdugo’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 89.9 mph to 85.9 mph.
Jordan Walker is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jordan Walker today.
Nolan Arenado’s BABIP ability is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 5th-worst ballpark in the game for righty batting average.
Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Extreme groundball batters like Nolan Arenado are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nestor Cortes.
11% of the time that Austin Wells has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.
Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium’s CF dimensions are the 5th-deepest.
Austin Wells’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, falling from 47.8% on the season to 28.6% over the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Austin Wells’s true offensive talent to be a .322, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .020 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .342 wOBA.
Today, Juan Soto is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.5% rate (86th percentile).
Over the past 7 days, Juan Soto’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 98.9 mph to 96.1 mph.
Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.
Miles Mikolas will hold the platoon advantage over Anthony Volpe today.
Today, Anthony Volpe is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.7% rate (89th percentile).
Anthony Volpe has struggled with his Barrel%; his 9.1% rate last year has fallen to 4.1% this season.
When assessing his home run ability, Masyn Winn ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 89.7-mph average last year has lowered to 87.7-mph.
The 2nd-best projected offense of all teams today in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the New York Yankees.
When assessing his home run ability, Victor Scott ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Victor Scott is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Nestor Cortes throws from, Victor Scott encounters a tough challenge today.
Miles Mikolas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gleyber Torres in today’s game.
Gleyber Torres’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 92.9-mph EV last year has dropped to 90.6-mph.
Gleyber Torres’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 40.7% on the season to 30.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Masyn Winn’s launch angle in recent games (7.5° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 12.8° seasonal figure.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (13.6°) is considerably worse than his 17.6° figure last season.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .329 mark is quite a bit higher than his .313 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Miles Mikolas will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Judge in today’s game.
In the last week, Aaron Judge’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 27.2% down to 9.1%.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Pedro Pages ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Pedro Pages is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.
Oswaldo Cabrera is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.
Oswaldo Cabrera hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Oswaldo Cabrera’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 89.6-mph figure last season has dropped off to 86.6-mph.
As it relates to his home runs, Oswaldo Cabrera has had positive variance on his side this year. His 16.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 8.3.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pedro Pages in today’s matchup.
Aaron Judge has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 95.8-mph dropping to 92.2-mph in the last week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oswaldo Cabrera in the 25th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Yankee Stadium profiles as the #24 stadium in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Pedro Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 89-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 73.2-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Paul Goldschmidt today.
When it comes to plate discipline, Paul Goldschmidt’s skill is quite poor, sporting a 3.73 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 22nd percentile.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) may lead us to conclude that Jazz Chisholm Jr. has experienced some positive variance this year with his .254 actual batting average.
Aaron Judge has been lucky this year, notching a .483 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .429 — a .054 disparity.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 17.6°, Austin Wells has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (11.7°) over the past two weeks.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 15.7°, Gleyber Torres has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.9°) over the last two weeks.
Gleyber Torres has averaged 12.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 25th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
With 7 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Nestor Cortes encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
Out of all starters, Nestor Cortes’s fastball velocity of 91.4 mph is in the 20th percentile this year.
Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Hitting from the same side that Nestor Cortes throws from, Brendan Donovan encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
Brendan Donovan has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Nestor Cortes’s overall pitching ability is in the 86th percentile out of all SPs in the league currently.
In today’s game, Victor Scott is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.1% rate (77th percentile).
Alex Verdugo’s launch angle of late (5.3° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably worse than his 9.8° seasonal angle.
Paul Goldschmidt’s launch angle recently (4.6° in the last 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 13.6° seasonal mark.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brendan Donovan today.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Victor Scott ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 88.8-mph EV last season has dropped to 85.9-mph.
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