Brewers vs Reds match player stats Sunday, September 1st 2024. Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Series Game 4

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Brewers vs Reds match player stats Sunday, September 1st 2024. Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Series Game 4

MIL @ CIN

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Todays Series Game 4 Matchup Details

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds
Series Game 4
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 1st
01/09/24 12:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Brewers vs Reds Series Game 4 Series Game 4 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park’s RF fences are the 7th-shallowest.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Noelvi Marte has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.2% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

William Contreras is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 venue in the league for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

T.J. Friedl is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the opposite that Tobias Myers throws from, T.J. Friedl will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Joey Ortiz’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Joey Ortiz has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Rhys Hoskins pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

Dominic Smith is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Tobias Myers throws from, Dominic Smith will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Jackson Chourio has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Blake Perkins has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last week, Blake Perkins’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 93.1-mph in recent games.

As it relates to plate discipline, Joey Ortiz’s skill is quite strong, putting up a 1.58 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Perkins in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Jackson Chourio’s BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brice Turang is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

Brice Turang will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Martinez today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Jake Bauers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

As it relates to his home run talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Willy Adames is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage in today’s game.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tobias Myers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Ty France has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (58% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ty France ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Brewers vs Reds Series Game 4

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Batting from the same side that Tobias Myers throws from, Tyler Stephenson will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Among all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

Tyler Stephenson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 48.3% to 42.1%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.5) suggests that Tyler Stephenson has been very fortunate this year with his 25.7 actual HR/600.

In the last week, Elly De La Cruz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.9% down to 0%.

Elly De La Cruz’s launch angle in recent games (1.8° over the past week) is quite a bit lower than his 10.4° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Elly De La Cruz’s true offensive ability to be a .333, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .022 gap between that figure and his actual .355 wOBA.

Noelvi Marte is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Tobias Myers throws from, Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Noelvi Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.2% rate (79th percentile).

Noelvi Marte has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.9-mph dropping to 81.2-mph over the past two weeks.

Batting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, William Contreras will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and William Contreras will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks, William Contreras’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 96.6 mph to 89.1 mph.

William Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, going from 9.5% on the season to 6.3% in the past two weeks.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) implies that William Contreras has been lucky this year with his .286 actual batting average.

T.J. Friedl’s BABIP talent is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Over the last 14 days, T.J. Friedl’s 31.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.5%.

In notching a .220 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , T.J. Friedl is positioned in the 15th percentile.

Ranking in the 9th percentile, T.J. Friedl has notched a .205 batting average this year.

Joey Ortiz is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Joey Ortiz will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Joey Ortiz will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Over the past week, Joey Ortiz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.2% down to 0%.

Joey Ortiz has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph dropping to 83.4-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Nick Martinez will have the handedness advantage over Rhys Hoskins in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Rhys Hoskins will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the last 14 days, Tyler Stephenson’s 7.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 7th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

By putting up a .294 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Rhys Hoskins is positioned in the 24th percentile for offensive ability.

Tobias Myers will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Steer in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Spencer Steer’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.

In the last week’s worth of games, Spencer Steer’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 91.6 mph to 76.6 mph.

In the last 14 days, Spencer Steer’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (2.4°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.7°.

William Contreras has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .360 figure is considerably higher than his .338 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Dominic Smith has been pulled from the game early 29% of the time.

Dominic Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.210) implies that Dominic Smith has had some very good luck this year with his .233 actual batting average.

Dominic Smith has compiled a .223 batting average this year, grading out in the 18th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Today, Jackson Chourio is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40% rate (99th percentile).

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jackson Chourio will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Jackson Chourio has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 21.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly inflated relative to his 15.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jackson Chourio ranks in just the 9th percentile with a 7.3° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in the league.

As it relates to his home run skill, Blake Perkins ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Blake Perkins is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

The switch-hitting Blake Perkins will bat from his bad side (0) today against Nick Martinez, Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Blake Perkins will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Blake Perkins has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Ranking in the 22nd percentile, Dominic Smith sports a .359 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

T.J. Friedl has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 24.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount higher than his 16.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In notching a .358 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, T.J. Friedl has performed in the 20th percentile.

By putting up a .237 BABIP this year, Rhys Hoskins is ranked in the 4th percentile.

When it comes to his batting average, Blake Perkins has been very fortunate this year. His .263 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .237.

Jackson Chourio’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, going from 41.4% on the season to 23.5% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 5th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Brice Turang will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Brice Turang’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (4°) is a significant dropoff from his 10.2° mark last season.

Brice Turang’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 46.1% on the season to 33.3% over the last 7 days.

Brice Turang has paced 7.6 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 9th percentile for power.

As it relates to his home runs, Brice Turang has had some very good luck this year. His 8.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 4.2.

This year, Jake Bauers has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 16% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Jake Bauers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Sporting a .209 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Jake Bauers finds himself in the 6th percentile.

Placing in the 5th percentile, Jake Bauers has notched a .201 batting average this year.

Noelvi Marte has recorded a .228 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 7th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nick Martinez will have the handedness advantage over Willy Adames in today’s matchup.

Willy Adames will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Willy Adames’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 93.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 86.9-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.235) may lead us to conclude that Willy Adames has experienced some positive variance this year with his .254 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 14th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Willy Adames has been very fortunate this year. His .343 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .327.

Tyler Stephenson has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .347 mark is a good deal higher than his .317 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Jeremie Rehak) calling pitches in this game.

Projected catcher William Contreras projects as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Cincinnati’s 87.8-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the worst in the majors: #29 overall.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Tobias Myers is projected to throw 81 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 10th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

Grading out in the 22nd percentile, Tobias Myers recorded an 8.9% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Batting from the same side that Tobias Myers throws from, Ty France will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Ty France’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%.

Ty France has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph dropping to 80.9-mph over the past 7 days.

In the past week’s worth of games, Ty France’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.9%.

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