Brewers vs Reds match player stats Saturday, August 31st 2024. Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Series Game 3

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Brewers vs Reds match player stats Saturday, August 31st 2024. Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Series Game 3

MIL @ CIN

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Saturday, August 31st
31/08/24 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Brewers vs Reds Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today

T.J. Friedl is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #2 stadium in baseball for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate (82%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.

T.J. Friedl will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Frankie Montas in today’s game.

T.J. Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Willy Adames is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

The #2 venue in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Willy Adames pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Joey Ortiz has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Garrett Mitchell will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Spiers in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Dominic Smith will have the upper hand today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the past week, Dominic Smith’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 28.6%.

In the last week, Joey Ortiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.7-mph over the course of the season to 98-mph lately.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Joey Ortiz’s 16.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell as the 17th-best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Among all parks, Great American Ball Park’s left field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

William Contreras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Rhys Hoskins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Rhys Hoskins pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

The 7th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Great American Ball Park.

Blake Perkins has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Grading out in the 95th percentile, Blake Perkins has put up a .346 BABIP this year.

The #5 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Frankie Montas in the 75th percentile among all starters in the league.

Frankie Montas has averaged 94.2 adjusted pitches per start this year, grading out in the 86th percentile.

Frankie Montas was on point in his last outing and compiled 7 strikeouts.

Over his last 3 starts, Frankie Montas has generated a substantial jump in his fastball velocity: from 94.9 mph over the entire season to 96 mph recently.

Among all starting pitchers, Frankie Montas’s fastball velocity of 94.9 mph is in the 82nd percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #5 stadium in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Tyler Stephenson has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Ty France will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Brice Turang is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Brice Turang will have the handedness advantage over Carson Spiers in today’s matchup.

Brice Turang has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Santiago Espinal has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Santiago Espinal will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Santiago Espinal has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.6-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 86.2-mph EV.

The Cincinnati Reds have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward, Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 stadium in the majors for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Perkins in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Santiago Espinal’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Brewers vs Reds Series Game 3

T.J. Friedl’s BABIP talent is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Among all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.

T.J. Friedl’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, falling from 39.6% on the season to 32.1% over the last two weeks.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.0) may lead us to conclude that T.J. Friedl has had some very good luck this year with his 26.1 actual HR/600.

In notching a .220 BABIP this year, T.J. Friedl is ranked in the 15th percentile.

Carson Spiers will hold the platoon advantage against Willy Adames in today’s matchup.

Willy Adames will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.233) suggests that Willy Adames has been lucky this year with his .253 actual batting average.

Joey Ortiz is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Carson Spiers will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Ortiz in today’s matchup.

Joey Ortiz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Joey Ortiz’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, falling from 41% on the season to 33.3% over the past 14 days.

Joey Ortiz has performed at a clip of 12.5 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Garrett Mitchell is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Garrett Mitchell has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time.

In today’s game, Garrett Mitchell is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.4% rate (84th percentile).

Garrett Mitchell will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

In the past 14 days, Garrett Mitchell’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.

Dominic Smith is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Dominic Smith has been pinch hit for 29% of the time.

In today’s game, Dominic Smith is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.4% rate (84th percentile).

With a .291 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Dominic Smith has performed in the 22nd percentile.

Dominic Smith has put up a .358 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, checking in at the 21st percentile.

Despite posting a .324 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Joey Ortiz has been lucky given the .015 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.

Batting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Jonathan India faces a tough challenge today.

Jonathan India’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 87.4-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 81.8-mph over the last week.

Jonathan India’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 92.4-mph EV last year has dropped to 90.1-mph.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.3°, Jonathan India has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1°) over the past 14 days.

Batting from the same side that Carson Spiers throws from, William Contreras meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

William Contreras’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 96.7-mph seasonal average has lowered to 80.9-mph in the last week.

William Contreras’s launch angle of late (-1.6° over the last week) is significantly worse than his 6.4° seasonal angle.

William Contreras has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .283 rate is considerably higher than his .265 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Carson Spiers will have the handedness advantage against Rhys Hoskins in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Rhys Hoskins in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Elly De La Cruz’s true offensive ability to be a .333, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .022 difference between that figure and his actual .355 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Perkins in the 24th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Blake Perkins is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

The switch-hitting Blake Perkins will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Carson Spiers, Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Blake Perkins today.

Blake Perkins’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 88.4-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 85.2-mph over the last week.

Posting a .239 BABIP this year, Rhys Hoskins is positioned in the 4th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Spencer Steer has a tough challenge today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Spencer Steer’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%.

In the past week, Spencer Steer’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 91.7 mph to 69.4 mph.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 15.5°, Spencer Steer has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-7.8°) over the last two weeks.

Clint Vondrak grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches today.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Frankie Montas today.

Joey Ortiz grades out in the 9th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (11.3% rate this year).

Frankie Montas will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Stephenson in today’s matchup.

Tyler Stephenson’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 48.3% to 42.4%.

Tyler Stephenson has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 24.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 18.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ty France is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Frankie Montas will have the handedness advantage over Ty France in today’s game.

In the past 14 days, Ty France’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.9% down to 0%.

Ty France’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 93.1-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 84-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 5th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brice Turang in today’s matchup.

Brice Turang’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (3.9°) is quite a bit worse than his 10.2° mark last year.

Brice Turang’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 46.1% on the season to 21.4% over the last 7 days.

Grading out in the 9th percentile for power, Brice Turang has averaged 7.7 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 6th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Santiago Espinal is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Santiago Espinal has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Santiago Espinal has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 16.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 6.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Tyler Stephenson has had positive variance on his side this year. His .346 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .319.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 10.3°, Tyler Stephenson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.4°) over the last 14 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Frankie Montas’s overall pitching talent is in the 78th percentile out of all SPs in the majors right now.

Given the 0.49 deviation between Frankie Montas’s 4.64 ERA and his 4.15 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year and ought to perform better going forward.

Blake Perkins’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, falling from 12.6% on the season to 0% over the past week.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.212) suggests that Dominic Smith has had positive variance on his side this year with his .230 actual batting average.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.338) provides evidence that William Contreras has had some very good luck this year with his .354 actual wOBA.

Rhys Hoskins’s BABIP talent is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Over the last two weeks, Ty France’s 8.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.1%.

Sporting a .193 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Santiago Espinal is ranked in the 24th percentile.

In terms of his home runs, Brice Turang has experienced some positive variance this year. His 8.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 4.4.

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