Braves vs Phillies match player stats Saturday, August 31st 2024. Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 3

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Braves vs Phillies match player stats Saturday, August 31st 2024. Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 3

ATL @ PHI

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Saturday, August 31st
31/08/24 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Braves vs Phillies Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The #5 venue in the game for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 82°.

Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Johan Rojas will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Marcell Ozuna has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.7-mph average to last year’s 96.5-mph mark.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 17th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

When estimating his home run ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 5th-best venue in the majors for left-handed home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Orlando Arcia pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant improvement in Orlando Arcia’s launch angle from last year’s 5.5° to 9.1° this year.

Orlando Arcia’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 14.4% on the season to 22.9% over the past 14 days.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

Bryce Harper has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

J.T. Realmuto’s BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

J.T. Realmuto will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

When assessing his home run skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Jorge Soler pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Edmundo Sosa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Ramon Laureano’s BABIP ability is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ramon Laureano is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Ramon Laureano has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year’s 88-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as MLB’s 4th-best home run hitter.

Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Alec Bohm is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Michael Harris II will have an edge today.

Michael Harris II has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an advantage today.

Whit Merrifield has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

Whit Merrifield has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 89.8-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 87.5-mph.

Max Fried projects as the 6th-best starter in Major League Baseball right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Throwing 96.8 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Max Fried places in the 95th percentile.

Adam Hamari profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in today’s game.

Max Fried has a large reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 7 opposite-handed batters today.

Marcell Ozuna projects as the 17th-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Harris II’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Harris II has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.1% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage today.

Alec Bohm will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today’s game.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Max Fried in the 81st percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.

Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Trea Turner will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Jorge Soler’s launch angle in recent games (50.5° in the last week) is quite a bit higher than his 18.4° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today’s matchup.

Negative Match Player Stats with Braves vs Phillies Series Game 3

When it comes to his home run skill, Johan Rojas ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Johan Rojas is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

Citizens Bank Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

Typically, hitters like Johan Rojas who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Max Fried.

Johan Rojas’s launch angle in recent games (1.1° in the last 14 days) is significantly worse than his 5.1° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 6th-worst field in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP.

Aaron Nola will hold the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna today.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcell Ozuna in today’s matchup.

Marcell Ozuna has been lucky this year, compiling a .406 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .350 — a .056 gap.

Trea Turner has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week.

In the past two weeks, Trea Turner’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (0.1°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 8.3°.

When it comes to his batting average, Trea Turner has had some very good luck this year. His .305 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .255.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Olson in today’s matchup.

Matt Olson’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 93.7-mph mark last year has dropped off to 91.1-mph.

As it relates to plate discipline, Nick Castellanos’s talent is quite weak, posting a 3.66 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 23rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Orlando Arcia is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Aaron Nola will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Orlando Arcia in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Orlando Arcia today.

Batting from the same side that Max Fried throws from, Bryce Harper will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Over the past two weeks, Bryce Harper’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.9% down to 0%.

Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 94-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 86.5-mph over the past 14 days.

In the past week, Bryce Harper’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.5%.

J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.6°, J.T. Realmuto has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.6°) in the last two weeks.

J.T. Realmuto has displayed poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 24th percentile with a 3.64 K/BB rate.

Batting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Jorge Soler will not have the upper hand today.

Jorge Soler will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Jorge Soler has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last week.

Jorge Soler’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 90-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 79.8-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Edmundo Sosa is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Edmundo Sosa’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (8.6°) is significantly lower than his 12.6° angle last year.

In terms of his batting average, Edmundo Sosa has been lucky this year. His .271 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233.

This year, Edmundo Sosa’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 16th percentile at 89.5 mph.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Trea Turner has had some very good luck this year. His .351 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .313.

Matt Olson’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, decreasing from 43.6% on the season to 36.1% over the past two weeks.

Checking in at the 21st percentile, Matt Olson has posted a .228 batting average this year.

Hitting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Ramon Laureano will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Ramon Laureano will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.230) implies that Ramon Laureano has experienced some positive variance this year with his .249 actual batting average.

By putting up a 5.97 K/BB rate this year, Ramon Laureano has shown poor plate discipline, checking in at the 17th percentile.

Max Fried will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Schwarber in today’s matchup.

Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 17.5% to 12.6%.

Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, going from 12.6% on the season to 3.1% over the last two weeks.

In terms of his batting average, Kyle Schwarber has been lucky this year. His .242 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .227.

Alec Bohm has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 7% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week.

Alec Bohm’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 90.4-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 84.3-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Despite posting a .345 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Bohm has been lucky given the .020 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.

Michael Harris II is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Michael Harris II’s launch angle of late (1.9° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit lower than his 6.4° seasonal figure.

Checking in at the 18th percentile, Michael Harris II has notched a .285 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #24 stadium in the majors for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When assessing his home run talent, Whit Merrifield ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Whit Merrifield will be in a tough position today.

Whit Merrifield will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

By putting up a 7.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Whit Merrifield grades out in the 7th percentile for power.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #10 park in the majors for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 9th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Citizens Bank Park.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Max Fried in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Johan Rojas ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Edmundo Sosa has had positive variance on his side this year. His .327 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .294.

Orlando Arcia’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 88.4-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 79.3-mph in the past week.

Max Fried’s 2217-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 24th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Whit Merrifield’s 84-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in Major League Baseball this year: 1st percentile.

Max Fried is an extreme groundball pitcher (51.8% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Citizens Bank Park — the #10 HR venue among all major league stadiums — in this game.

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