
MIL @ CIN



Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Friday, August 30th
30/08/24 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Brewers vs Reds Series Game 2 Series Game 2 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.
Joey Ortiz has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Among all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.
In the past week’s worth of games, Joey Ortiz’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.3% up to 12.5%.
Hitting from the opposite that D.L. Hall throws from, Noelvi Marte will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Noelvi Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
In the last 14 days, Noelvi Marte has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 19.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 7.4°.
Noelvi Marte has been unlucky this year, putting up a .240 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .290 — a .050 disparity.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jonathan India ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.
Great American Ball Park projects as the #6 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In the majors, Great American Ball Park’s left field fences are the 7th-shallowest.
Batting from the opposite that D.L. Hall throws from, Jonathan India will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Jackson Chourio’s BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Jackson Chourio has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.6-mph average.
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Amed Rosario is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that D.L. Hall throws from, Amed Rosario will have an edge today.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage today.
Amed Rosario’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 10.3% on the season to 33.3% in the past week’s worth of games.
Brice Turang is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs.
Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Brice Turang will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Brice Turang has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Brice Turang has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.8-mph average to last season’s 85.5-mph mark.
Blake Perkins has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
In notching a .343 BABIP this year, Blake Perkins is ranked in the 93rd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that D.L. Hall throws from, Spencer Steer will have an advantage in today’s game.
Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
William Contreras is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
William Contreras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Perkins in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
The #6 park in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that D.L. Hall throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Tyler Stephenson has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP talent.
Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Elly De La Cruz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Ty France’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ty France is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
Ty France will hold the platoon advantage against D.L. Hall in today’s matchup.
Batting from the opposite that D.L. Hall throws from, Santiago Espinal will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Santiago Espinal has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Santiago Espinal has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 86.3-mph EV.
Batting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Sal Frelick will have an advantage in today’s game.
In the last 14 days, Sal Frelick has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 20.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 6.5°.
When it comes to plate discipline, Sal Frelick’s talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.81 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 84th percentile.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Willy Adames is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.
Willy Adames pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Over the last week, Joey Ortiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.7-mph over the course of the season to 98-mph of late.
Joey Ortiz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 11.3% on the season to 17.4% in the past two weeks.
William Contreras has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.9-mph average to last season’s 94.7-mph average.
Hitting from the opposite that D.L. Hall throws from, Rece Hinds will have an advantage today.
Rece Hinds has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Rece Hinds will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Ranking in the 93rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.19 ft/sec this year, Rece Hinds is notably quick.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Sal Frelick’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 40.9% on the season to 61.5% in the past week’s worth of games.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jackson Chourio ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
In the past 7 days, Jackson Chourio’s 10.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.2%.
Willy Adames has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 95.6-mph in the last 7 days.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ty France ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Santiago Espinal’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Negative Match Player Stats with Brewers vs Reds Series Game 2
Joey Ortiz is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.
Rhett Lowder will have the handedness advantage against Joey Ortiz in today’s matchup.
Joey Ortiz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
In the last 7 days, Joey Ortiz’s 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41%.
Joey Ortiz has averaged 12.5 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Noelvi Marte is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
Noelvi Marte hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 79th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams playing today.
Noelvi Marte’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 85.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 80.7-mph in the last 14 days.
Posting a .230 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Noelvi Marte is ranked in the 7th percentile for hitting ability.
Jonathan India’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 89.3-mph average last season has dropped to 87.3-mph.
Jonathan India’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 87.3-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 84.9-mph in the past 14 days.
Rhett Lowder will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Chourio in today’s game.
Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jackson Chourio in today’s game.
Jackson Chourio’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 41.8% on the season to 63.2% in the past week.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jackson Chourio ranks in just the 9th percentile with a 7.3° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in the league.
Amed Rosario is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Amed Rosario hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
Amed Rosario’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 86.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 83.5-mph over the last 7 days.
Amed Rosario’s launch angle this year (3.2°) is quite a bit worse than his 7.5° angle last year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 5th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brice Turang today.
Brice Turang’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (4°) is significantly worse than his 10.2° mark last season.
Brice Turang has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 8.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 4.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Brice Turang has paced 7.7 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 9th percentile for power.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Perkins in the 24th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Blake Perkins is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.
As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Blake Perkins will bat from his weak side against Rhett Lowder today.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Blake Perkins today.
Blake Perkins has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 86.2-mph over the last 14 days.
Spencer Steer has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week.
In the past 7 days, Spencer Steer’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 91.5 mph to 70 mph.
Over the past two weeks, Spencer Steer’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.6°.
Placing in the 18th percentile, Spencer Steer has posted a .264 BABIP this year.
Brice Turang’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, going from 46% on the season to 25% over the last week.
Hitting from the same side that Rhett Lowder throws from, William Contreras meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for William Contreras in today’s game.
Over the last 14 days, William Contreras’s 6.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9.6%.
William Contreras has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .285 figure is inflated compared to his .266 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Blake Perkins’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 12.9% on the season to 7.7% in the last 14 days.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Tyler Stephenson’s 8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.7%.
When it comes to his home runs, Tyler Stephenson has been very fortunate this year. His 26.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.1.
The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against D.L. Hall, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Elly De La Cruz’s true offensive skill to be a .333, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .020 gap between that figure and his actual .353 wOBA.
In the last 14 days, Ty France’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.9% down to 0%.
Ty France’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 93.1-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 84-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
Ty France’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, falling from 42.8% on the season to 27.3% in the past week’s worth of games.
From last year to this one, Tyler Stephenson’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 48.3% to 42.3%.
Jackson Chourio has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 21.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 15.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 6th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Santiago Espinal is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Santiago Espinal has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 15.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 6.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Santiago Espinal has notched a .191 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.
When it comes to his home run skill, Sal Frelick ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Sal Frelick is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
This year, Sal Frelick has been pinch hit for in 17% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
Today, Sal Frelick is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.2% rate (99th percentile).
Sal Frelick will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Rhett Lowder will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Willy Adames today.
Willy Adames will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) implies that Willy Adames has had some very good luck this year with his .252 actual batting average.
Despite posting a .324 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Joey Ortiz has had some very good luck given the .015 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.
In the last two weeks, William Contreras’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 96.9 mph to 93.2 mph.
William Contreras has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .354 figure is inflated compared to his .338 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Rece Hinds’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Rece Hinds is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
When estimating his home run talent, Amed Rosario ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When it comes to power, Jonathan India grades out in the 25th percentile, having averaged 12.3 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.
Tyler Stephenson has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .346 mark is a fair amount higher than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Rece Hinds ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Noelvi Marte has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 6.2° mark is among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season (13th percentile).
Willy Adames’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 19% on the season to 9.1% in the last week.
Ty France’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, going from 14% on the season to 8.3% in the past 14 days.
Sal Frelick has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 82.9-mph dropping to 77.8-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
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