Marlins vs Giants match player stats Friday, August 30th 2024. Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants

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Marlins vs Giants match player stats Friday, August 30th 2024. Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants

MIA @ SF

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Todays Matchup Details

Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants

Todays Game is on Friday, August 30th
30/08/24 22:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Marlins vs Giants Matchup Today

David Hensley is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15.6-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Batting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, David Hensley will have an advantage today.

David Hensley has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.248) suggests that David Hensley has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .216 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Blake Snell as the 17th-best SP in MLB currently.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Blake Snell is projected to throw 98 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the most of all pitchers today.

The Miami Marlins projected lineup ranks as the worst on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) profiles as an elite pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the worst venue in the majors for walks.

Batting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Otto Lopez will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Otto Lopez has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Otto Lopez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 91.2-mph in the last two weeks.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) suggests that Otto Lopez has experienced some negative variance this year with his .243 actual batting average.

Jonah Bride is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Jonah Bride will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell today.

Jonah Bride has put up a .326 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 76th percentile.

Jonah Bride has displayed strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 89th percentile with a 1.72 K/BB rate.

Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Cristian Pache will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Cristian Pache has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Ranked in the 87th percentile, Cristian Pache has one of the highest average exit velocities in the league since the start of last season (91-mph).

Connor Norby is penciled in 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Batting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Connor Norby will have an advantage today.

Connor Norby has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 88.7-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 85.6-mph mark.

Connor Norby’s launch angle in recent games (21.6° in the last week’s worth of games) is a significant increase over his 18.2° seasonal angle.

Oracle Park grades out as the #9 ballpark in MLB for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Michael Conforto ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Conforto is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Adam Oller throws from, Michael Conforto will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as the league’s 13th-best home run hitter.

Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his home runs, Matt Chapman has had some very poor luck this year. His 22.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 25.6.

Cristian Pache’s footspeed has gotten better this season. His 27.84 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.38 ft/sec now.

Patrick Bailey will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Patrick Bailey has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year’s 88.7-mph figure.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) provides evidence that Patrick Bailey has had bad variance on his side this year with his .236 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.305) implies that Patrick Bailey has experienced some negative variance this year with his .285 actual wOBA.

The San Francisco Giants have 5 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Heliot Ramos, Grant McCray, Jerar Encarnacion, Matt Chapman, Tyler Fitzgerald).

Projected catcher Nick Fortes grades out as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Given the 0.8 deviation between Adam Oller’s 6.30 K/9 and his 7.10 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and should see positive regression going forward.

Derek Hill has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Derek Hill will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Derek Hill has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

In the last week, Derek Hill’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Jake Burger is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Jake Burger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Batting from the opposite that Adam Oller throws from, Grant McCray will have the upper hand today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Grant McCray will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Otto Lopez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .269 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .031 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Heliot Ramos has strong power (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (28.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Adam Oller has a pitch-to-contact profile (19th percentile K%) — great news for Ramos.

Heliot Ramos has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Adam Oller throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an advantage today.

Thairo Estrada will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Thairo Estrada’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 40.8% on the season to 54.5% over the last two weeks.

Despite posting a .257 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Thairo Estrada has had some very poor luck given the .036 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Adam Oller’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 3rd percentile out of all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball right now.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Blake Snell projects as the 6th-best starter in the game right now when assessing his strikeout skill, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Miami Marlins have 5 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Derek Hill, Griffin Conine, David Hensley, Connor Norby, Cristian Pache).

Oracle Park grades out as the #9 park in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When it comes to his home run talent, Tyler Fitzgerald ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler Fitzgerald is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Tyler Fitzgerald has strong power (79th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (31.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Adam Oller doesn’t generate many whiffs (8th percentile K%) — great news for Fitzgerald.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Tyler Fitzgerald will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Jake Burger’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (24.6° in the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 12.3° seasonal mark.

Tyler Fitzgerald’s BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Thairo Estrada’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, going from 12.3% on the season to 22.7% in the past two weeks.

Grant McCray has been hot lately, compiling a a 23.5% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

When assessing his home run talent, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Marlins vs Giants

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hensley in the 14th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Oracle Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The league’s tallest average fence height can be found at Oracle Park.

Oracle Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the most favorable pitching conditions of the day.

The shallowest right field dimensions in the league are found in Oracle Park.

Blake Snell has compiled a .268 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the league on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

When assessing his home run skill, Otto Lopez ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Otto Lopez is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run talent, Jonah Bride ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Cristian Pache ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cristian Pache is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Connor Norby in today’s matchup.

The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best among every team playing today.

Jonah Bride will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Jonah Bride’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 90.5-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 84.1-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 4th-worst park in the game for lefty home runs.

Michael Conforto has recorded a .228 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Grading out in the 23rd percentile, Michael Conforto has posted a .230 batting average this year.

Batting from the same side that Adam Oller throws from, Matt Chapman meets a tough challenge today.

Patrick Bailey has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

Patrick Bailey’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (7.6°) is quite a bit worse than his 12.3° angle last season.

Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

David Hensley will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Adam Oller in the 19th percentile among all starters in MLB.

The #5 stadium in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Adam Oller in today’s game.

Adam Oller’s high usage rate of his fastball (58.3% since the start of last season) is likely dampening his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 19th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Burger in today’s game.

Jake Burger has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph dropping to 89.6-mph in the last two weeks.

Grant McCray is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

Adam Oller will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Heliot Ramos in today’s game.

21% of the time that LaMonte Wade Jr. has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Thairo Estrada is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

In his last game started, Adam Oller performed well and gave up 1 ER.

Adam Oller will have the handedness advantage over Thairo Estrada in today’s matchup.

Thairo Estrada has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86-mph dropping to 81.2-mph in the last week.

Matt Chapman’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 93-mph seasonal average has lowered to 90.6-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Matt Chapman’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (8.7°) is quite a bit lower than his 13.3° figure last season.

This year, there has been a decline in Patrick Bailey’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.17 ft/sec last year to 25.33 ft/sec currently.

Batting from the same side that Adam Oller throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

LaMonte Wade Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 16.8% to 13.5%.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Derek Hill today.

Ranked in the 19th percentile, Derek Hill’s average exit velocity of 86.1 mph ranks among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Grant McCray ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Despite posting a .358 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Heliot Ramos has had some very good luck given the .038 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .320.

Over the past two weeks, Tyler Fitzgerald’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.7% down to 0%.

Tyler Fitzgerald’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 91-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 86.2-mph in the past two weeks.

Despite posting a .349 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes LaMonte Wade Jr. has been very fortunate given the .019 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

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