BAL @ DAL







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 27th
27/09/26 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Baltimore Ravens Game Today
The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Cowboys since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).
,In this week’s game, Javonte Williams is forecasted by the projection model to slot into the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.2 carries.
,While Javonte Williams has accounted for 61.3% of his offense’s carries in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Dallas’s rushing attack this week at 74.5%.
,Javonte Williams has grinded out 73.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the league when it comes to RBs (98th percentile).
,The Baltimore defensive ends rank as the 6th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.
,The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
,The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (36.3 per game) since the start of last season.
,CeeDee Lamb grades out as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 76.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 98th percentile.
,The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
,Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the league.
,Our trusted projections expect Mark Andrews to garner 6.1 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs.
,Mark Andrews has been heavily involved in his team’s passing attack, earning a Target Share of 17.7% since the start of last season, which places him in the 89th percentile among tight ends.
,Mark Andrews’s ability to grind out extra yardage has been refined this year, accumulating 2.10 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 0.00 mark last year.
,With a fantastic 8.33 adjusted yards-per-target (87th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson places among the most efficient quarterbacks in the NFL.
,Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest rate in football against the Cowboys defense since the start of last season (75.8% Adjusted Completion%).
,When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Dallas’s unit has been very bad since the start of last season, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league.
,Dak Prescott has been one of the best passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 244.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 98th percentile.
,The model projects Derrick Henry to accrue 18.9 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
,After taking on 63.5% of his offense’s rush attempts last year, Derrick Henry has been more involved in the run game this year, now accounting for 74.0%.
,With a fantastic record of 91.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (100th percentile), Derrick Henry stands among the best running backs in the NFL since the start of last season.
,The Cowboys defense has produced the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, yielding 5.15 adjusted yards-per-carry.
,With an outstanding 34.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (82nd percentile) since the start of last season, Jake Ferguson has been as one of the best pass-game tight ends in the league.
Negatives with the Dallas Cowboys Game Today
A passing game script is implied by the Cowboys being a -3-point underdog in this week’s game.
,Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to run on 33.7% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
,The model projects the Cowboys to call the 10th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
,This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
,The opposing side have run for the 8th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 103.0 per game) versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season.
,As it relates to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys grades out as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season.
,The Baltimore Ravens cornerbacks rank as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.
,With a 3-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week’s contest, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
,Right now, the 7th-most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Ravens.
,In regards to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Ravens ranks as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
,The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 0.14 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-fewest in football.
,In averaging a mere 21.8 pass attempts per game since the start of last season, Lamar Jackson rates among the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL (22nd percentile) by this metric.
,The Dallas Cowboys defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 0.27 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-fewest in football.
,The Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 43.0) vs. TEs since the start of last season.
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