KC @ MIA





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 27th
27/09/26 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Kansas City Chiefs Game Today
The Dolphins are an enormous 11.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
,Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run on 48.2% of their downs: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.
,In this week’s contest, De’Von Achane is expected by the projection model to finish in the 97th percentile among RBs with 20.3 rush attempts.
,Among all RBs, De’Von Achane ranks in the 96th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 71.8% of the workload in his offense’s run game.
,With an outstanding total of 67.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (95th percentile), De’Von Achane places as one of the leading RBs in the league since the start of last season.
,The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 65.8% pass rate.
,The Chiefs have called the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 59.1 plays per game.
,The model projects Rashee Rice to accumulate 7.0 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
,With a high 25.4% Target Rate (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Rashee Rice has been among the wideouts with the most usage in football.
,Rashee Rice rates as one of the top wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 73.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 96th percentile.
,Travis Kelce has run a route on 82.2% of his team’s passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile among tight ends.
,In this contest, Travis Kelce is expected by the projections to secure a spot in the 91st percentile among tight ends with 6.0 targets.
,Travis Kelce profiles as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 48.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 98th percentile.
Negatives with the Miami Dolphins Game Today
The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to be the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
,Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dolphins are predicted by the model to call only 60.7 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
,The fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Dolphins since the start of last season (a measly 51.6 per game on average).
,Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
,When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season.
,De’Von Achane’s ground efficiency has worsened this year, notching a measly 3.34 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.20 rate last year.
,The Chiefs defense owns the 5th-best efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, conceding just 4.01 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
,An extreme running game script is implied by the Chiefs being a heavy 11.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
,The projections expect the Chiefs to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.7 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
,Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
,The Miami Dolphins defense has given up the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 120.0) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season.
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