
MIN @ KC






Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, September 7th
07/09/24 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Twins vs Royals Series Game 2 Series Game 2 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Jose Miranda is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for run-scoring.
On average, the fence height at Kauffman Stadium is the 10th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.
When assessing his home run talent, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ryan Jeffers’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, rising from 38.8% on the season to 57.1% in the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Compared to his seasonal average of 12.7°, Willi Castro has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 22.5° figure in the last week’s worth of games.
Matt Wallner projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Matt Wallner is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.
When it comes to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 4th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Ober in today’s game.
The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Massey stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Extreme flyball bats like Maikel Garcia tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober.
Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.
As it relates to his home run skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Royce Lewis is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Royce Lewis’s launch angle lately (23° over the past 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 16.4° seasonal angle.
When assessing his home run talent, Hunter Renfroe ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hunter Renfroe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
Hunter Renfroe will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Over the last 7 days, Willi Castro’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.9-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph lately.
Willi Castro has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 11.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal lower than his 19.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 park in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Edouard Julien will have the handedness advantage over Alec Marsh in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal average of 12°, Edouard Julien has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 33.5° mark over the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in MLB for righty batting average.
Grading out in the 86th percentile, Jose Miranda has notched a .348 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today’s game.
The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Carlos Santana is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
Carlos Santana has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.3% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the past 7 days.
The Minnesota Twins have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Trevor Larnach, Matt Wallner, Edouard Julien).
Chris Conroy grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Alec Marsh will hold that advantage in today’s game.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Wallner ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage against Alec Marsh in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Yuli Gurriel will hold that advantage today.
When it comes to plate discipline, Yuli Gurriel’s ability is quite strong, posting a 1.78 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 87th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Trevor Larnach is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.
Trevor Larnach will have the handedness advantage over Alec Marsh today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
MJ Melendez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (61% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Tommy Pham is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.
Carlos Santana’s launch angle this year (15.8°) is significantly higher than his 12.5° figure last year.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Tommy Pham will hold that advantage today.
MJ Melendez will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Ober in today’s matchup.
Maikel Garcia will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Maikel Garcia has had bad variance on his side this year. His .276 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .308.
Trevor Larnach has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 10.3% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
The #1 field in baseball for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
Bailey Ober will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Bailey Ober’s 91.3-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 17th percentile among all SPs.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, MJ Melendez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Bailey Ober in the 89th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.
With 6 batters who bat from the same side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Bailey Ober ought to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.
Placing 3rd-highest in the league this year, Minnesota Twins batters as a group have notched a 14.7° launch angle (an advanced standard to assess the ability to lift the ball for power).
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Michael Massey will hold that advantage in today’s game.
With a .336 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ryan Jeffers has performed in the 77th percentile.
Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bobby Witt Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Maikel Garcia’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bailey Ober has averaged 17.1 outs per game per started this year, placing in the 77th percentile.
Willi Castro’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 41.9% to 47.5%.
Ryan Jeffers has put up a .342 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, placing in the 90th percentile.
Jose Miranda has posted a .469 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, placing in the 85th percentile.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Kyle Isbel’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 10.3% on the season to 30.8% over the past week.
Negative Match Player Stats with Twins vs Royals Series Game 2
Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-least humid conditions on the slate at 39%.
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.
Batting from the same side that Alec Marsh throws from, Jose Miranda has a tough challenge today.
Jose Miranda pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Miranda today.
Ryan Jeffers has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.
Alec Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Jeffers in today’s matchup.
Ryan Jeffers pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.
Willi Castro is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
Willi Castro pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Willi Castro will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Matt Wallner pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Wallner in today’s game.
Over the last week, Matt Wallner’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 22.5% down to 0%.
Hitting from the same side that Bailey Ober throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a disadvantage today.
Bobby Witt Jr. has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s deepest RF fences today.
Typically, batters like Bobby Witt Jr. who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Bailey Ober.
Michael Massey’s BABIP ability is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Michael Massey is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
This year, Michael Massey has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 13% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.
When assessing his home run ability, Maikel Garcia ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Maikel Garcia has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.
Batting from the same side that Bailey Ober throws from, Maikel Garcia encounters a tough challenge today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 6th-worst stadium in baseball for RHB home runs.
Alec Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Royce Lewis in today’s matchup.
Royce Lewis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Royce Lewis will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Bailey Ober will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Renfroe today.
Hunter Renfroe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 6th-worst field in the majors for lefty home runs.
Edouard Julien is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Today, Edouard Julien is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40.1% rate (97th percentile).
Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Edouard Julien today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 20th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Kyle Isbel is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
When starting against a righty hurler this year, Kyle Isbel has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 14% of the time.
Kauffman Stadium has the deepest right field fences among all stadiums.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Alec Marsh, Today, Carlos Santana is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.6% rate (97th percentile).
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Alec Marsh is projected to throw 82 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least on the slate.
The #1 ballpark in the game for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yuli Gurriel in the 12th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Yuli Gurriel is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.
Homers are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest among all major league parks.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trevor Larnach today.
This year, MJ Melendez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 15% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
MJ Melendez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s deepest RF fences today.
MJ Melendez’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 93.2-mph EV last year has decreased to 90.9-mph.
Hitting from the same side that Bailey Ober throws from, Tommy Pham will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-deepest CF fences today.
Tommy Pham has paced 11.8 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 22nd percentile for power.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bailey Ober in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.
The Kansas City Royals have been the 10th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse the rest of the season, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Renfroe in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 16th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
When assessing his home run skill, Yuli Gurriel ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Maikel Garcia has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.
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