Phillies vs Marlins match player stats Saturday, September 7th 2024. Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins Series Game 3

|
Phillies vs Marlins match player stats Saturday, September 7th 2024. Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins Series Game 3

PHI @ MIA

Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins Series Game 3Phillies vs MarlinsPhillies vs MarlinsPhillies vs MarlinsPhillies vs MarlinsPhillies vs MarlinsPhillies vs Marlins

Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Saturday, September 7th
07/09/24 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Phillies vs Marlins Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today

LoanDepot Park projects as the #4 field in MLB for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Given Darren McCaughan’s large platoon split, Kody Clemens will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Kody Clemens has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.9-mph average to last year’s 90.9-mph average.

Kody Clemens has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year’s 27.6 ft/sec to 28.06 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

Posting a .285 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Kody Clemens grades out in the 80th percentile.

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

Johan Rojas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Johan Rojas are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Darren McCaughan.

Johan Rojas’s footspeed has gotten better this season. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 30.08 ft/sec now.

Despite posting a .256 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Johan Rojas has experienced some negative variance given the .020 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .276.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Darren McCaughan in today’s matchup… and the cherry on top, McCaughan has a large platoon split.

In the past 7 days, Bryson Stott’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.8-mph over the course of the season to 93.8-mph recently.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in LoanDepot Park.

Over the last 14 days, Trea Turner’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

In the last week, Nick Castellanos’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph recently.

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 15% to 18.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Considering Darren McCaughan’s large platoon split, Kyle Schwarber will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Kyle Schwarber has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 14.2% seasonal rate to 23.3% over the past two weeks.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Darren McCaughan in today’s game… and even better, McCaughan has a large platoon split.

Brandon Marsh has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.7-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal EV of 93.4-mph.

Checking in at the 93rd percentile, Brandon Marsh has put up a .356 BABIP this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Aaron Nola’s overall pitching ability is in the 89th percentile out of all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball right now.

Recording 96.5 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Aaron Nola places in the 94th percentile.

The Miami Marlins projected lineup ranks as the 3rd-worst on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability.

The 4th-deepest right field dimensions among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park.

There has been a significant improvement in Bryson Stott’s launch angle from last year’s 9.9° to 14.3° this season.

Bryson Stott has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .298 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .316 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Darren McCaughan in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

The Philadelphia Phillies projected batting order projects as the 4th-best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as baseball’s 4th-best home run batter.

Kyle Schwarber has a ton of pop (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Darren McCaughan struggles to strike batters out (22nd percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Over the last 14 days, Nick Castellanos has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 19° compared to his seasonal mark of 14°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Considering Darren McCaughan’s large platoon split, Bryce Harper will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

In the past 14 days, Bryce Harper’s 59.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.2%.

Ranking in the 94th percentile, Bryce Harper has notched a .377 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Sporting a .374 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Bryce Harper has performed in the 95th percentile.

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Aaron Nola in the 86th percentile among all starting pitchers in the game.

The Miami Marlins have 5 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Cristian Pache, Connor Norby, Griffin Conine, Jake Burger, Kyle Stowers).

In his previous GS, Aaron Nola was firing on all cylinders and posted 9 strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Trea Turner has notched a .348 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 86th percentile.

Negative Match Player Stats with Phillies vs Marlins Series Game 3

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Kody Clemens is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Kody Clemens has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 19% of the time.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense.

In today’s game, Kody Clemens is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.8% rate (80th percentile).

When assessing his home run skill, Johan Rojas ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Johan Rojas is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Johan Rojas has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 23% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Darren McCaughan will have the handedness advantage against Johan Rojas today… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering McCaughan’s large platoon split.

Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryson Stott today.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.3°, Bryson Stott has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.7°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Posting a .265 BABIP this year, Bryson Stott finds himself in the 18th percentile.

Because of Darren McCaughan’s large platoon split, Trea Turner will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trea Turner in today’s game.

Trea Turner’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, going from 15.9% on the season to 0% over the past week.

Trea Turner’s speed has declined this year. His 30.23 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.5 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 8th-worst stadium in the majors for righty home runs.

Given Darren McCaughan’s large platoon split, Nick Castellanos will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.

Nick Castellanos has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Nick Castellanos will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Sporting a 3.56 K/BB rate this year, Nick Castellanos has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 25th percentile.

In today’s game, Kyle Schwarber is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.6% rate (98th percentile).

Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

From last season to this one, Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 17.5% to 13%.

Kyle Schwarber has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .248 figure is a good deal higher than his .232 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.

Today, Brandon Marsh is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.2% rate (93rd percentile).

Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Brandon Marsh has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 9.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies’s expected catcher today) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best park in the league for walks.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Aaron Nola in today’s game.

Given the 0.64 difference between Aaron Nola’s 3.29 ERA and his 3.93 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year and should perform worse in the future.

When it comes to his home run ability, Bryson Stott ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #8 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

Darren McCaughan is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.8% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #22 HR venue in MLB in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Darren McCaughan will hold that advantage today.

Darren McCaughan has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league on balls in play this year with a .340 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

Kyle Schwarber has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 32.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly inflated relative to his 29.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Darren McCaughan in the 10th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Darren McCaughan is projected to throw 82 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least of all pitchers on the slate.

The #8 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

Darren McCaughan struggled when it came to striking batters out in his last outing and put up 2 Ks.

Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Harper in today’s game.

Bryce Harper has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 2.7% in the last 14 days.

Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 93.6-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 82.5-mph over the past two weeks.

Aaron Nola turned in a great performance in his previous game started and gave up 2 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 17th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Latest Miami Marlins Match Player Stats

Latest Philadelphia Phillies Match Player Stats