Tigers vs Royals match player stats Wednesday, September 18th 2024. Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals Series Game 3

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Tigers vs Royals match player stats Wednesday, September 18th 2024. Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals Series Game 3

DET @ KC

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 18th
18/09/24 19:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Tigers vs Royals Series Game 3 Matchup Today

When estimating his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 4th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for righty batting average.

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 85°.

Hunter Renfroe is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hunter Renfroe will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 86th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

On average, the fence height at Kauffman Stadium is the 9th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Colt Keith is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Alec Marsh throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Alec Marsh throws from, Trey Sweeney will have an edge today.

Trey Sweeney has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13.5% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Matt Vierling ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Matt Vierling is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Alec Marsh throws from, Colt Keith will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the best field in the league for walks.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tarik Skubal in today’s matchup.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Tarik Skubal has gone to his secondary pitches 5.6% less often this season (46.3%) than he did last year (51.9%).

Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Garrett Hampson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Robbie Grossman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Alec Marsh in the 79th percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.

The Detroit Tigers have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jake Rogers, Spencer Torkelson, Trey Sweeney).

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Alec Marsh will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In his previous GS, Alec Marsh was on point and accumulated 11 strikeouts.

Among all SPs, Alec Marsh’s fastball spin rate of 2500 rpm is in the 92nd percentile this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Riley Greene ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Parker Meadows has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Freddy Fermin has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Tommy Pham is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Alec Marsh throws from, Parker Meadows will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Matt Vierling’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Maikel Garcia will have an edge in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Maikel Garcia will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Jake Rogers’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (23.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 19.6° figure last year.

The switch-hitting Robbie Grossman will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Tarik Skubal.

Freddy Fermin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today’s game.

When estimating his home run skill, Jake Rogers ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Recording 92 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Tarik Skubal ranks in the 75th percentile.

When assessing his strikeout talent, Tarik Skubal projects as the 7th-best SP in MLB right now, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tarik Skubal’s fastball velocity has increased 1.2 mph this season (96.2 mph) over where it was last season (95 mph).

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Garrett Hampson will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Renfroe in the 76th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

It may be sensible to expect better results for the Detroit Tigers offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

Negative Match Player Stats with Tigers vs Royals Series Game 3

Bobby Witt Jr. has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Despite posting a .409 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bobby Witt Jr. has experienced some positive variance given the .030 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .379.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Renfroe in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Hunter Renfroe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.

In the last 7 days, Hunter Renfroe’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.1% up to 14.3%.

Hunter Renfroe has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 82.3-mph in the past 7 days.

Hunter Renfroe has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .235 mark is a fair amount higher than his .209 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Alec Marsh will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Torkelson in today’s game.

Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Spencer Torkelson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Spencer Torkelson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.

In today’s game, Colt Keith is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.5% rate (87th percentile).

Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In the past 14 days, Colt Keith’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 88.7 mph to 84.5 mph.

Colt Keith’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (2.5° in the last 14 days) is considerably lower than his 11.9° seasonal mark.

In terms of his home runs, Colt Keith has had some very good luck this year. His 14.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 12.4.

Kauffman Stadium projects as the #25 ballpark in the game for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The deepest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Kauffman Stadium.

Kerry Carpenter will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Kerry Carpenter has been lucky this year, putting up a .383 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .335 — a .048 discrepancy.

Trey Sweeney is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Trey Sweeney hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trey Sweeney in today’s matchup.

The #4 park in the league for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Alec Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Vierling today.

Matt Vierling has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Vierling in today’s game.

Matt Vierling has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 14 days.

Tarik Skubal projects as the 2nd-best starting pitcher in the game right now, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jake Rogers, the Tigers’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tarik Skubal has a reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 8 opposite-handed bats in this matchup.

In his last start, Tarik Skubal was rolling and gave up 1 ER.

When it comes to his home run skill, Garrett Hampson ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Garrett Hampson is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Garrett Hampson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

In notching a .265 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Garrett Hampson finds himself in the 22nd percentile for offensive ability.

Garrett Hampson’s 88.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to study power) grades out in the 17th percentile this year.

Robbie Grossman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 87th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Robbie Grossman’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 90.5-mph EV last year has fallen to 87.2-mph.

Robbie Grossman’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (10.2°) is considerably lower than his 15° mark last year.

This year, Robbie Grossman’s 3.5% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 25th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Marsh to throw 80 pitches in this matchup (7th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #29 venue in MLB for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Detroit Tigers have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage against Alec Marsh in this matchup.

Riley Greene hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Riley Greene will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Over the past 7 days, Riley Greene’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 96.3 mph to 93.8 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Riley Greene’s true offensive talent to be a .344, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .017 deviation between that mark and his actual .361 wOBA.

In today’s matchup, Parker Meadows is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.7% rate (97th percentile).

Parker Meadows will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Parker Meadows has been lucky this year, posting a .320 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .018 difference.

Trey Sweeney’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 25th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Freddy Fermin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.

Freddy Fermin’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (5.7°) is considerably worse than his 12.2° mark last year.

Over the past two weeks, Freddy Fermin’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.8%.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Freddy Fermin has been very fortunate this year. His .316 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .273.

Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 4th-deepest CF fences today.

Placing in the 23rd percentile for power, Tommy Pham has paced 12.1 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Matt Vierling’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 90.4 mph to 84.5 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 9th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Maikel Garcia has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.

Today, Maikel Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39.3% rate (96th percentile).

Maikel Garcia’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 90.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 88.1-mph in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Rogers in the 15th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Jake Rogers is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Alec Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Jake Rogers in today’s matchup.

Jake Rogers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Rogers in today’s game.

Maikel Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 92.7-mph EV last season has lowered to 90-mph.

Jake Rogers has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 10.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past two weeks.

The Kansas City Royals (20.1 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 5th-least strikeout-heavy group of hitters of all teams on the slate today.

Tommy Pham’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, going from 46.4% on the season to 35% in the past week.

Hunter Renfroe has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .307 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .287 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Maikel Garcia’s launch angle lately (-1° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit lower than his 6.5° seasonal angle.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Garrett Hampson ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In his last outing, Alec Marsh was in good form and gave up 1 ER.

Alec Marsh has had some very poor luck with his ERA this year; his 4.52 figure is a fair amount higher than his 4.22 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Latest Kansas City Royals Match Player Stats

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