
WSH @ NYM






Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 18th
18/09/24 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Nationals vs Mets Series Game 3 Matchup Today
Dylan Crews is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.
Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Dylan Crews will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Dylan Crews pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.333) implies that Dylan Crews has experienced some negative variance this year with his .281 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as MLB’s 12th-best home run hitter.
Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.
Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against DJ Herz in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Jose Acuna will have the upper hand today.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jose Acuna will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Jose Iglesias has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Jose Iglesias will have an edge today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jose Iglesias will hold that advantage in today’s game.
When assessing his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.
James Wood has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
James Wood has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the last 7 days.
Juan Yepez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.
Juan Yepez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana today.
Juan Yepez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Juan Yepez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 5.8% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the last 7 days.
Jose Tena is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Jose Tena has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Jose Tena has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.9-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal average of 95.9-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte as the 20th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP ability.
Starling Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Starling Marte will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage today.
Andres Chaparro is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Andres Chaparro will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana in today’s game.
Andres Chaparro hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s shallowest CF fences today.
Over the past 14 days, Andres Chaparro’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 96-mph lately.
The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Jose Quintana.
Ildemaro Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Ildemaro Vargas has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 2.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount lower than his 5.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Tyrone Taylor is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Hitting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Tyrone Taylor will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Tyrone Taylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Tyrone Taylor has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph to 97.2-mph in the last 7 days.
Jacob Young will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today’s matchup.
Jacob Young has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85-mph to 94.6-mph in the past week.
By putting up a .325 BABIP this year, Jacob Young is ranked in the 86th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
James Wood has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.2-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal EV of 97.2-mph.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Jose Iglesias’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 84-mph over the course of the season to 86.1-mph of late.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, J.D. Martinez will have an edge today.
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and J.D. Martinez will hold that advantage in today’s game.
J.D. Martinez has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 15.6% seasonal rate to 25% in the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run talent.
When estimating his home run talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mark Vientos is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Mark Vientos will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against DJ Herz today.
Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage today.
Over the last week, Tyrone Taylor’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 16.7%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects DJ Herz in the 90th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.
Citi Field profiles as the #4 field in the league for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
DJ Herz has notched a 13% Swinging Strike rate this year, ranking in the 87th percentile.
Checking in at the 94th percentile, DJ Herz has notched a 29.6% K% this year.
As it relates to plate discipline, Ildemaro Vargas’s skill is quite impressive, posting a 1.78 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 85th percentile.
Compared to his seasonal average of 8.8°, Juan Yepez has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 21° figure in the past week.
Citi Field ranks as the #2 stadium in the majors for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Among all starting pitchers, Jose Quintana’s fastball velocity of 90.1 mph is in the 5th percentile this year.
Among all starting pitchers, Jose Quintana’s fastball spin rate of 2074 rpm ranks in the 12th percentile this year.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Starling Marte has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .314 mark is considerably lower than his .339 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jose Quintana has averaged 92.5 adjusted pitches per outing this year, ranking in the 77th percentile.
Negative Match Player Stats with Nationals vs Mets Series Game 3
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 8th-worst field in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.
Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.
Dylan Crews will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Over the past week, Dylan Crews’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.
Dylan Crews’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 94.7-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 83.7-mph over the past week.
Citi Field ranks as the #30 park in the league for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Out of every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.
In the past 7 days, Pete Alonso’s 7.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.2%.
When assessing his home run skill, Jose Acuna ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jose Acuna is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
When starting against a left-handed starter this year, Jose Iglesias has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time.
Citi Field profiles as the #30 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Jose Iglesias has been lucky this year, posting a .352 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .059 gap.
The #1 field in MLB for suppressing offensive stats to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.
Jose Quintana will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Wood in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for James Wood today.
James Wood’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, falling from 46.3% on the season to 37.5% in the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Juan Yepez in the 19th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Juan Yepez in today’s matchup.
Juan Yepez’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 86.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 82.9-mph in the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 8th-worst field in the game for left-handed home runs.
Batting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Jose Tena will not have the upper hand today.
Jose Tena will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Jose Tena has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 2.7% in the past two weeks.
Over the past 14 days, Starling Marte’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.5% down to 0%.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 4.7°, Starling Marte has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.1°) over the last 14 days.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andres Chaparro in today’s matchup.
Andres Chaparro has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.
Andres Chaparro’s launch angle lately (4.5° in the past week’s worth of games) is considerably lower than his 18° seasonal figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Ildemaro Vargas is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ildemaro Vargas in today’s matchup.
Tyrone Taylor has been pulled from the game early 22% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher this year.
Tyrone Taylor has displayed poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 10th percentile with a 4.46 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Jacob Young is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Jacob Young will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
James Wood has been lucky this year, posting a .345 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .025 discrepancy.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Chaparro in the 19th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
When assessing his home run talent, Jose Iglesias ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
J.D. Martinez is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
J.D. Martinez’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 93.4-mph figure last season has dropped off to 91.1-mph.
Mark Vientos has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 14.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.7°, Mark Vientos has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.5°) over the last two weeks.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, DJ Herz is projected to throw 83 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 12th-least of the day.
The New York Mets have 9 batters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against DJ Herz in this matchup.
DJ Herz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
DJ Herz’s high usage rate of his fastball (54.2% this year) is likely harming his results, considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
DJ Herz has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 10.98 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.09 — a 0.89 K/9 difference.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jose Acuna ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Juan Yepez has experienced some positive variance this year. His .345 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .305.
The weakest projected offense of the day in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the Washington Nationals.
The Washington Nationals have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season, Francisco Alvarez, the Mets’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Jose Quintana has a reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 7 opposite-handed batters today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst park in MLB for lefty batting average.
Jacob Young’s launch angle of late (-2.3° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit lower than his 3.7° seasonal mark.
When estimating his home run skill, Starling Marte ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.316) provides evidence that Mark Vientos has experienced some positive variance this year with his .359 actual wOBA.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, DJ Herz’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 76th percentile out of all starters in baseball currently.
The New York Mets have been the 4th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season, In his previous GS, DJ Herz was rolling and allowed 1 ER.
Ranking in the 10th percentile, Jose Quintana recorded an 8.4% Swinging Strike% this year.
Jose Quintana has compiled an 18.6% K% this year, placing in the 20th percentile.
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