Rays vs Red Sox match player stats Friday, September 27th 2024. Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox

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Rays vs Red Sox match player stats Friday, September 27th 2024. Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox

TB @ BOS

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Todays Matchup Details

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox

Todays Game is on Friday, September 27th
27/09/24 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Rays vs Red Sox Matchup Today

When assessing his home run ability, Triston Casas ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Triston Casas is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Triston Casas will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Triston Casas will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Triston Casas ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage today.

Connor Wong’s launch angle lately (26.5° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 12.4° seasonal angle.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have an edge in today’s game.

The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ben Rortvedt has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Ben Rortvedt has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Ranking in the 79th percentile, Ben Rortvedt sports a .318 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Josh Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Pivetta in today’s game.

The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Lowe stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Josh Lowe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Josh Lowe has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 94.4-mph in the last two weeks.

Nick Sogard pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Nick Sogard will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

In the past week, Nick Sogard’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.9-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph lately.

Nick Sogard’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 18.6% on the season to 33.3% in the past week’s worth of games.

When it comes to his home run ability, Trevor Story ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trevor Story will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Grading out in the 82nd percentile, Trevor Story has notched a .321 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage today.

Brandon Lowe is apt to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP.

Brandon Lowe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Junior Caminero’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Junior Caminero hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Junior Caminero are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Pivetta.

Junior Caminero has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 12.4% seasonal rate to 23.3% over the last 14 days.

When it comes to his home run skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand today.

Wilyer Abreu will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his home runs, Wilyer Abreu has been unlucky this year. His 20.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 27.6.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Over the past week, Connor Wong’s 63.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.1%.

By putting up a .347 BABIP this year, Connor Wong has performed in the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 11th-best batter in the majors when assessing his BABIP ability.

Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today’s matchup.

Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O’Neill in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Tyler O’Neill is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Tyler O’Neill pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Tyler O’Neill will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Tyler O’Neill has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 12.4% rate last season to 17.6% this season.

Tyler O’Neill projects as the 10th-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Josh Lowe’s launch angle this season (17.3°) is a significant increase over his 14.3° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 77th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jonathan Aranda will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today’s game.

Jonathan Aranda is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP.

In the last week, Jonathan Aranda’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.1-mph over the course of the season to 104.4-mph of late.

Taylor Walls hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (8.2) provides evidence that Taylor Walls has had some very poor luck this year with his 2.4 actual HR/600.

In terms of plate discipline, Taylor Walls’s skill is quite strong, sporting a 2.02 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 82nd percentile.

The Tampa Bay Rays have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games, Projected catcher Connor Wong grades out as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Taj Bradley in the 89th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

Taj Bradley has averaged 93.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

The Boston Red Sox have 5 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Wong, Tyler O’Neill, Wilyer Abreu, Triston Casas, Trevor Story).

Taj Bradley has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed batters in this matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile with a 18.9° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in the league.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jarren Duran ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nick Pivetta in the 94th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Josh Lowe, Jose Siri, Christopher Morel).

Boston Red Sox hitters as a unit grade out 3rd- in MLB for power this year when using their 9.2% Barrel%.

Boston’s 92.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #4 group of hitters in the game this year by this metric.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rays vs Red Sox

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate today.

The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among every team on the slate today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.293) provides evidence that Triston Casas has been very fortunate this year with his .342 actual wOBA.

Connor Wong is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Hitting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Connor Wong will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Connor Wong’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 89.1-mph EV last season has lowered to 86.4-mph.

Connor Wong’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 86.4-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 78.8-mph in the last two weeks.

Ben Rortvedt’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ben Rortvedt is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

This year, Ben Rortvedt has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 18% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Ben Rortvedt will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Josh Lowe has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (87% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

18% of the time that Josh Lowe has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Typically, batters like Josh Lowe who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Nick Pivetta.

Josh Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

When estimating his home run talent, Nick Sogard ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nick Sogard is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Nick Sogard has been pulled from the game early 21% of the time.

The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Taj Bradley, Trevor Story is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

Taj Bradley will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Story in today’s game.

Trevor Story’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 88.5-mph mark last year has fallen to 85.2-mph.

Typically, batters like Brandon Lowe who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Nick Pivetta.

Brandon Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Brandon Lowe has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph dropping to 83.4-mph over the past week.

Nick Pivetta will have the handedness advantage against Junior Caminero in today’s game.

Junior Caminero will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In the past week, Trevor Story’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 89.3 mph to 82.7 mph.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Wilyer Abreu has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 34% of the time.

Over the last two weeks, Wilyer Abreu’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 4%.

Wilyer Abreu’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (1.5° over the past two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 14.2° seasonal figure.

Jarren Duran’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 94-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 91.1-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Despite posting a .357 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jarren Duran has had some very good luck given the .019 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .338.

Hitting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Tyler O’Neill will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Tyler O’Neill has been lucky this year, notching a .360 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .338 — a .022 deviation.

10% of the time that Jonathan Aranda has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jonathan Aranda in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 7th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Taylor Walls is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Nick Pivetta, Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Taylor Walls today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Nick Pivetta’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 75th percentile out of all starting pitchers in MLB right now.

Given his reverse platoon split, Nick Pivetta figures to be at an advantage facing 6 bats in the projected offense of the opposite hand today.

Nick Pivetta is an extreme flyball pitcher (38% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #21 HR venue among all major league parks in this game.

Because flyball batters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Nick Pivetta (38% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 2 FB hitters in the opposing team’s projected batting order.

Taj Bradley will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 19th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 10th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Taj Bradley’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 79th percentile out of all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball currently.

The Boston Red Sox have been the 4th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward

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