Todays Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Marlins vs Blue Jays Matchup Today

Connor Norby’s BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Connor Norby is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Connor Norby has seen a big increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 88.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 86-mph average.

Connor Norby’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 27.3% on the season to 37% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Connor Norby has been hot in recent games, putting up a an 18.5% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) over the last 14 days.

Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Xavier Edwards hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Xavier Edwards’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 50.5% on the season to 55.6% in the last 14 days.

Xavier Edwards is in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (50.5% rate this year).

Xavier Edwards has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 91st percentile with a 1.62 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Ernie Clement’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (25.3° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably higher than his 14.3° seasonal mark.

When assessing his home run talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Jose Berrios today.

Jesus Sanchez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.3-mph average to last season’s 90.3-mph average.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.346) implies that Jesus Sanchez has had bad variance on his side this year with his .312 actual wOBA.

Nathan Lukes is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Nathan Lukes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Oller in today’s game.

Nathan Lukes has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Nathan Lukes will hold that advantage in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Adam Oller’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 6th percentile among all starting pitchers in the league right now.

It may be best to expect stronger performance for the Toronto Blue Jays offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Adam Oller will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Toronto has been the #5 team in MLB when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (16.3% rate this year).

The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Toronto Blue Jays has been 117.6 mph this year, making them the #5 group of hitters in the game by this metric.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average ability.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 14.8% on the season to 23.7% over the last two weeks.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand today.

Kyle Stowers hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Kyle Stowers has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.2-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.1-mph EV.

In the past 14 days, Kyle Stowers’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.1%.

When it comes to his home runs, Kyle Stowers has suffered from bad luck this year. His 8.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 20.5.

Addison Barger has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage against Adam Oller today.

The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Addison Barger has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Addison Barger’s launch angle in recent games (35° over the last week) is significantly higher than his 11.1° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Leo Jimenez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Leo Jimenez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Leo Jimenez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 91.3-mph.

Leo Jimenez grades out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (50.9% rate this year).

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jake Burger is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Jake Burger has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.5-mph figure.

Jake Burger’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 15% on the season to 41.7% over the last 7 days.

Jake Burger’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to study power) has been 115.5 mph this year, checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Throwing 94 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Jose Berrios ranks in the 85th percentile.

The Miami Marlins have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Norby, Kyle Stowers, Jake Burger, Derek Hill).

With 6 batters who share his hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Jose Berrios should benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Jose Berrios will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Leo Jimenez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Leo Jimenez is in the 78th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.2% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Otto Lopez’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Otto Lopez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 92.8-mph.

In the last 7 days, Otto Lopez’s 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.279) suggests that Otto Lopez has experienced some negative variance this year with his .264 actual batting average.

Joey Loperfido’s BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Joey Loperfido will hold the platoon advantage over Adam Oller in today’s game.

The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Loperfido can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Joey Loperfido hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Joey Loperfido will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Alejandro Kirk has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.3-mph mark.

There has been a significant improvement in Alejandro Kirk’s launch angle from last season’s 6.2° to 9.9° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

With a 29.500 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Jake Burger grades out in the 89th percentile for power.

Jonah Bride is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

In the past 14 days, Jonah Bride’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 95.1-mph of late.

Compared to his seasonal average of 11.9°, Jonah Bride has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27.8° figure over the past 14 days.

Placing in the 82nd percentile, Jonah Bride sports a .332 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Jonah Bride has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 87th percentile with a 1.8 K/BB rate.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in MLB.

Over the last two weeks, Joey Loperfido’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 95-mph of late.

Alejandro Kirk’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 77th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Kyle Stowers has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .262 figure is a good deal lower than his .295 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

By putting up a 34.200 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Connor Norby grades out in the 97th percentile for power.

Xavier Edwards has compiled a .337 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.

Negative Match Player Stats with Marlins vs Blue Jays

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Hitting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Connor Norby will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of every team today.

Connor Norby will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Despite posting a .333 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Connor Norby has had some very good luck given the .028 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Nick Fortes is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

This year, Nick Fortes has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 17% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Batting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Nick Fortes has a tough challenge in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run talent.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will bat from his worse side against Jose Berrios in today’s matchup.

Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Ernie Clement is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the same side that Adam Oller throws from, Ernie Clement has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Ernie Clement’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 85.4-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 83-mph over the last 14 days.

Ernie Clement has been cold recently, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jesus Sanchez today.

Jesus Sanchez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph dropping to 76.3-mph over the past 7 days.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 7.2°, Jesus Sanchez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-4°) in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 18th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 6th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Nathan Lukes has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph dropping to 83.9-mph in the past week.

Nathan Lukes’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 5.2% on the season to 0% in the last week.

In the past two weeks, Nathan Lukes has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

The 5th-worst projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the Toronto Blue Jays.

Batting from the same side that Adam Oller throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have a tough challenge today.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 93.8-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 90.7-mph in the last two weeks.

There has been a significant decline in Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle from last year’s 10.2° to 7.1° this season.

By putting up a 3.66 K/BB rate this year, Jesus Sanchez has displayed poor plate discipline, checking in at the 21st percentile.

Kyle Stowers’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Stowers is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Kyle Stowers has been pinch hit for 12% of the time.

This year, Addison Barger has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 15% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Addison Barger’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 88-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 84.7-mph over the past 7 days.

By putting up a .246 BABIP this year, Addison Barger finds himself in the 24th percentile.

Despite posting a .338 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nathan Lukes has had positive variance on his side given the .053 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .285.

Leo Jimenez is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

Adam Oller will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Leo Jimenez today.

Leo Jimenez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, falling from 18.2% on the season to 11.8% over the past two weeks.

When it comes to plate discipline, Leo Jimenez’s skill is quite weak, putting up a 4.69 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 24th percentile.

Jose Berrios will have the handedness advantage against Jake Burger today.

Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

With a 4.65 K/BB rate this year, Jake Burger has displayed weak plate discipline, checking in at the 9th percentile.

Over the last week, Xavier Edwards’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 86.6 mph to 84.5 mph.

Otto Lopez is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jose Berrios will hold the platoon advantage against Otto Lopez today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Otto Lopez in today’s matchup.

Joey Loperfido is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Joey Loperfido has been pulled from the game early 18% of the time.

Joey Loperfido’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 16.2% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Joey Loperfido has been cold in recent games, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) in the past 14 days.

Hitting from the same side that Adam Oller throws from, Alejandro Kirk faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 9.9°, Alejandro Kirk has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.8°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Alejandro Kirk has paced 7.8 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 9th percentile for power.

The 4th-worst projected offense of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Miami Marlins.

Jose Berrios will hold the platoon advantage against Jonah Bride in today’s game.

Jonah Bride will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jonah Bride has had some very good luck this year. His .336 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .301.

Jonah Bride’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to measure power) has been 105.9 mph this year, placing in the 21st percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Joey Loperfido ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Kyle Stowers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Posting a 7.3 K/BB rate this year, Kyle Stowers has shown poor plate discipline, grading out in the 13th percentile.

With a .270 wOBA in the past 14 days, Addison Barger has been struggling at the plate.

Alejandro Kirk has compiled a .274 BABIP this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

When assessing his home run ability, Otto Lopez ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

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