Rays vs Orioles match player stats Friday, September 6th 2024. Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles

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Rays vs Orioles match player stats Friday, September 6th 2024. Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles

TB @ BAL

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Todays Matchup Details

Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles

Todays Game is on Friday, September 6th
06/09/24 19:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Rays vs Orioles Matchup Today

This contest is projected to have the 12th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Ben Rortvedt’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (14.3° in the last week’s worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 9° seasonal figure.

Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Ben Rortvedt has compiled a .331 BABIP this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Junior Caminero is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Junior Caminero will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Junior Caminero has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 96.9-mph.

Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Cedric Mullins II will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Junior Caminero’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Ryan O’Hearn is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Ryan O’Hearn will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The Baltimore Orioles have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jackson Holliday, Colton Cowser, Coby Mayo).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Yandy Diaz will have the handedness advantage over Cole Irvin in today’s matchup.

Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Jose Caballero is penciled in 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Jose Caballero will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Irvin in today’s game.

Jose Caballero’s launch angle recently (37.7° in the last week’s worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 14.8° seasonal mark.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Anthony Santander will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Anthony Santander’s launch angle this year (23.2°) is considerably better than his 20° mark last season.

Jonny Deluca will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Irvin today.

Jonny Deluca has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85-mph to 87.3-mph over the past 14 days.

Despite posting a .259 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonny Deluca has been unlucky given the .037 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Adley Rutschman pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Josh Lowe is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

Josh Lowe has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.6% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Batting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Christopher Morel will have an edge in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Christopher Morel’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph recently.

When assessing his home run talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christopher Morel has big-time HR ability (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (27.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cole Irvin doesn’t generate many whiffs (25th percentile K%) — great news for Morel.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 18th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Colton Cowser is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Colton Cowser hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 13th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average talent.

When assessing his home run ability, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Colton Cowser ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jackson Holliday will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Jackson Holliday has been unlucky this year, putting up a .251 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .061 gap.

Josh Lowe has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 94.2-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Josh Lowe has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 20.6° mark in the last 14 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 16th-best batter in the game.

Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Gunnar Henderson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The 3rd-best projected batting order of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

The 9.3% Barrel% of the Baltimore Orioles grades them out as the #3 club in baseball this year by this metric.

Dylan Carlson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Cole Irvin.

Dylan Carlson has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph to 92.9-mph in the past 14 days.

Last year, Dylan Carlson had an average launch angle of 15° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 21.5°.

When assessing his home run talent, Anthony Santander ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Using Statcast metrics, Jackson Holliday grades out in the 78th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 23.500.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rays vs Orioles

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 17th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Ben Rortvedt is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Cole Irvin throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Ben Rortvedt has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Ben Rortvedt will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 8th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Junior Caminero will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Junior Caminero has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .353 figure is considerably higher than his .287 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins II in the 8th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Cedric Mullins II is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.

Cedric Mullins II’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 88.9-mph figure last year has decreased to 86.6-mph.

Cedric Mullins II’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 86.6-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 78.8-mph over the last 14 days.

This year, Ryan O’Hearn has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 19% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Ryan O’Hearn has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s deepest LF fences today.

Over the last two weeks, Ryan O’Hearn’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4.8°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 13.3°.

Grading out in the 22nd percentile, the hardest ball Ryan O’Hearn has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.8 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Shane Baz is projected to throw 80 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least on the slate.

The Baltimore Orioles have 7 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Shane Baz today.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Shane Baz in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yandy Diaz in today’s game.

Yandy Diaz’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (0.7°) is a significant dropoff from his 4.9° angle last season.

Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Caballero today.

Jose Caballero has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 5.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days.

Jose Caballero has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 83.7-mph dropping to 77.6-mph in the last 7 days.

Using Statcast data, Jose Caballero ranks in the 11th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .276.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 3rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Tampa Bay’s #2-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Anthony Santander, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Over the past two weeks, Anthony Santander’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 93.4 mph to 90.3 mph.

Anthony Santander has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 41.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 35.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonny Deluca in the 24th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Jonny Deluca is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

Jonny Deluca pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Jonny Deluca will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks, Jonny Deluca’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (1.8°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.1°.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Shane Baz in today’s game.

Adley Rutschman has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 80.3-mph in the last week.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Adley Rutschman’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (3.1°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 14.9°.

Batting from the same side that Cole Irvin throws from, Josh Lowe meets a tough challenge today.

Today, Josh Lowe is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.1% rate (92nd percentile).

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Lowe in today’s matchup.

Josh Lowe has displayed weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 23rd percentile with a 3.68 K/BB rate.

Christopher Morel has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christopher Morel in today’s matchup.

Christopher Morel has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 16.1% rate last year has fallen off to 11% this season.

Checking in at the 3rd percentile, Christopher Morel sits with a .234 BABIP this year.

In the last 7 days, Yandy Diaz’s 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 38.8%.

When it comes to his home runs, Cedric Mullins II has been lucky this year. His 20.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 14.8.

Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

Jackson Holliday has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s deepest LF fences today.

Over the last two weeks, Jackson Holliday’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.

Jackson Holliday’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 89-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 86.6-mph in the last two weeks.

With a .229 BABIP this year, Anthony Santander is positioned in the 2nd percentile.

In the last 14 days, Gunnar Henderson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.4% down to 0%.

Gunnar Henderson’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 94.6-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 85.1-mph over the last two weeks.

Over the last week, Gunnar Henderson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (22.3) provides evidence that Gunnar Henderson has been lucky this year with his 32.9 actual HR/600.

The Baltimore Orioles have been the 7th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward, Dylan Carlson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Dylan Carlson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, going from 9.6% on the season to 6.3% over the last 14 days.

Dylan Carlson has performed at a clip of 8.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Placing in the 23rd percentile, Dylan Carlson has notched a .287 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

Dylan Carlson has compiled a .206 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Gunnar Henderson has been lucky this year, posting a .379 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .363 — a .016 difference.

Jonny Deluca has been cold lately, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) in the past week’s worth of games.

Jackson Holliday’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 18.6% on the season to 8.7% over the past 14 days.

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