Orioles @ Athletics Matchup Details

Positives for the Baltimore Orioles Game Today

Thomas White is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the best stadium in the game for right-handed home runs.

,Among all parks, Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.

,The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 98°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

,The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.

,Lawrence Butler is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the best field in MLB for LHB home runs.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The Athletics outfield defense profiles as the 6th-worst among all the teams in action today.

,Batting from the opposite that Brandon Young throws from, Carlos Cortes will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Christian Encarnacion-Strand is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB batting average.

,Because of Jacob Lopez’s large platoon split, Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

,Jeff McNeil has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

,When assessing his BABIP skill, Henry Bolte is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Henry Bolte is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,The #2 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Coby Mayo ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Coby Mayo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Dylan Beavers ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 17th-best hitter in MLB.

,Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Coby Mayo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Carlos Cortes will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Jackson Holliday’s BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jackson Holliday is penciled in 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Zack Gelof has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Zack Gelof will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jackson Holliday ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Samuel Basallo has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last year’s 92.6-mph EV.

,Batting from the opposite that Brandon Young throws from, Donovan Walton will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Donovan Walton will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Basallo in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Given Jacob Lopez’s large platoon split, Christian Franklin will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Franklin in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Thomas White will hold that advantage today.

,Leody Taveras’s launch angle lately (21° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is a significant increase over his 16° seasonal figure.

,Lawrence Butler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Young in today’s matchup.

Negatives with the Athletics Game Today

When estimating his home run skill, Thomas White ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brandon Young will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Thomas White in today’s game.

,Thomas White hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Grading out in the 16th percentile, Thomas White has put up a .106 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

,In today’s matchup, Lawrence Butler is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.5% rate (96th percentile).

,Lawrence Butler has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Lawrence Butler’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 92.8-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 64.7-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 6.6°, Lawrence Butler has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.8°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Ranking in the 15th percentile, Lawrence Butler has put up a .348 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Jonah Heim is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will bat from his bad side (0) today against Brandon Young,Jonah Heim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Over the past two weeks, Jonah Heim’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%.

,Leody Taveras is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.

,Sutter Health Park has the 6th-deepest LF dimensions in MLB.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Leody Taveras will face a mismatch against Jacob Lopez and his large platoon split today.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Leody Taveras in today’s game.

,In the past 14 days, Leody Taveras’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 90.3 mph to 83.3 mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 20th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Carlos Cortes is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,This year, Carlos Cortes has been pulled from the game early in 36% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

,Carlos Cortes hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Over the last 14 days, Carlos Cortes’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.

,Christian Encarnacion-Strand hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Christian Encarnacion-Strand in today’s matchup.

,In the past 7 days, Christian Encarnacion-Strand’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17.4% down to 0%.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Christian Encarnacion-Strand’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.9%.

,Christian Encarnacion-Strand has been lucky this year, notching a .320 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .296 — a .024 difference.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Young to throw 84 pitches in this matchup (9th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,Samuel Basallo, the Orioles’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 7th-worst field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

,When assessing his home run skill, Jeff McNeil ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Long-balls are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and Sutter Health Park has the 9th-deepest among all major league stadiums.

,Jeff McNeil’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 89.6-mph figure last year has fallen to 87.5-mph.

,Jeff McNeil’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 17.6% to 14.4%.

,Jeff McNeil’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, going from 14.4% on the season to 0% in the past week.

,Batting from the same side that Brandon Young throws from, Henry Bolte will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

,In today’s game, Henry Bolte is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 41% rate (100th percentile).

,Over the last 7 days, Henry Bolte’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 93.6 mph to 73.5 mph.

,Henry Bolte’s launch angle recently (-7.4° in the last 14 days) is considerably worse than his 0.6° seasonal figure.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Henry Bolte’s true offensive skill to be a .302, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .023 disparity between that mark and his actual .325 wOBA.

,Sporting a .288 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jeff McNeil grades out in the 15th percentile.

,Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.8% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Extreme flyball hitters like Coby Mayo usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Jacob Lopez.

,Coby Mayo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Coby Mayo’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 95.2-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 79.6-mph in the last week.

,Coby Mayo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 17.4% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

,Dylan Beavers is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,Jacob Lopez will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Beavers today… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Lopez’s large platoon split.

,Extreme flyball hitters like Dylan Beavers tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Jacob Lopez.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dylan Beavers today.

,Jacob Lopez will have the handedness advantage over Gunnar Henderson in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Lopez’s large platoon split.

,Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Gunnar Henderson has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 7 days.

,Over the past 7 days, Gunnar Henderson’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 93.1 mph to 80.4 mph.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pete Alonso in today’s game.

,Pete Alonso has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 13.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 7.1% in the last week.

,In the past 7 days, Pete Alonso’s 7.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.6%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Alonso’s true offensive talent to be a .354, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .021 disparity between that mark and his actual .375 wOBA.

,Considering Jacob Lopez’s large platoon split, Jackson Holliday will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

,Jackson Holliday has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Holliday in today’s matchup.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Jackson Holliday’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.8% down to 0%.

,Brandon Young will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Gelof today.

,Zack Gelof hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Despite posting a .338 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Zack Gelof has had some very good luck given the .034 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.

,With a .145 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Zack Gelof grades out in the 4th percentile.

,With a 3.66 K/BB rate this year, Zack Gelof has demonstrated bad plate discipline, checking in at the 14th percentile.

,Jackson Holliday has posted a .182 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, placing in the 13th percentile.

,Samuel Basallo is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,Because of Jacob Lopez’s large platoon split, Samuel Basallo will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.

,Samuel Basallo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Samuel Basallo has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph dropping to 86.6-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 9°, Carlos Cortes has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.8°) over the past two weeks.

,Donovan Walton’s BABIP ability is projected in the 15th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Donovan Walton is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,23% of the time that Donovan Walton has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,Over the past 7 days, Donovan Walton’s 7.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Walton in the 18th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Christian Franklin ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Christian Franklin is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

,Christian Franklin will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Zack Gelof has recorded a .220 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 8th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas White in the 20th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Checking in at the 18th percentile, Lawrence Butler has put up a .294 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

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