Pirates vs Cardinals match player stats Wednesday, September 18th 2024. Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals Series Game 3

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Pirates vs Cardinals match player stats Wednesday, September 18th 2024. Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals Series Game 3

PIT @ STL

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 18th
18/09/24 19:45:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Pirates vs Cardinals Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Nick Yorke’s BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Nick Gonzales is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.2) may lead us to conclude that Nick Gonzales has experienced some negative variance this year with his 8.8 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Andrew McCutchen hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Nick Gonzales has been unlucky this year. His .295 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .322.

By putting up a .276 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Nick Gonzales has performed in the 87th percentile.

Joey Bart has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Joey Bart has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.1-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 93.8-mph.

Joey Bart has compiled a .356 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 91st percentile.

Joey Bart has recorded a .263 batting average this year, checking in at the 80th percentile.

When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Sonny Gray in the 93rd percentile among all SPs in the majors.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-most strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the Pittsburgh Pirates with a 25.9% underlying K%.

With 7 hitters of the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Sonny Gray figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

Sonny Gray will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats across the board.

Sonny Gray was in good form in his previous outing and posted 9 strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Sonny Gray.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Bryan De La Cruz has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 95.6-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Despite posting a .282 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bryan De La Cruz has suffered from bad luck given the .029 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Sonny Gray’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 94th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors right now.

Generating 17.9 outs per outing this year on average, Sonny Gray places him the 93rd percentile.

Busch Stadium projects as the #29 park in the majors for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Rowdy Tellez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an edge in today’s game.

Rowdy Tellez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Rowdy Tellez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 92.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 80th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

The Barrel% of Andrew McCutchen has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.8% last year to 12.8% this season.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Over the past 7 days, Bryan Reynolds’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Negative Match Player Stats with Pirates vs Cardinals Series Game 3

Nick Yorke is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the 2nd-worst park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.

HRs are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in the league.

Hitting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Nick Yorke will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Among every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.

When assessing his home run ability, Nick Yorke ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Sonny Gray will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Gonzales in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Gonzales today.

Sonny Gray will have the handedness advantage over Andrew McCutchen in today’s matchup.

Andrew McCutchen will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Andrew McCutchen has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph dropping to 86.1-mph over the last 14 days.

Nick Gonzales’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 87.3-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 85.2-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Batting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Joey Bart will have a tough matchup today.

Today, Joey Bart is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.7% rate (86th percentile).

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Joey Bart today.

In the last week, Joey Bart’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11% down to 0%.

Busch Stadium ranks as the #25 stadium in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Over his last 3 outings, Sonny Gray has experienced a notable drop off in his fastball spin rate: from 2515 rpm over the entire season to 2415 rpm recently.

Sonny Gray has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, compiling a 10.92 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.99 — a 0.93 K/9 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 2nd-worst ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs.

The 2nd-deepest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Busch Stadium.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryan Reynolds today.

Bryan De La Cruz has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Bryan De La Cruz will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Bryan De La Cruz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.9% rate (83rd percentile).

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future, The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Pittsburgh Pirates has been 121.5 mph this year, putting them as the #1 offense in the majors by this metric.

Rowdy Tellez’s BABIP skill is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rowdy Tellez has been pinch hit for 23% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Rowdy Tellez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

From last season to this one, Rowdy Tellez’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.1% to 12.5%.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nick Yorke in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryan De La Cruz in today’s matchup.

Andrew McCutchen’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, falling from 40.9% on the season to 12.5% over the last 7 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.289) implies that Rowdy Tellez has had some very good luck this year with his .306 actual wOBA.

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